Shakhtar Donetsk v Polessya result

Full-time · Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Polessya

Premier League – Ukraine · · Arena Lviv

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Polessya — Shakhtar Donetsk won this Premier League – Ukraine match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Next for Shakhtar Donetsk: Inter v Shakhtar Donetsk, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Polessya: Polessya v Obolon'-Brovar, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Polessya · Premier League – Ukraine
  • Venue: Arena Lviv · Lviv
  • Referee: V. Kopiyevsky
  • Model coverage: 232 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Shakhtar Donetsk 0 · draws 2 · Polessya 3 · 0.8 goals/game
  • Recent form: Shakhtar Donetsk 2W 2D 1L · Polessya 3W 1D 1L

Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Polessya (Premier League – Ukraine): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 232 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 2.25
Goals
against 0.88 / 0.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.67 / 6.25
Corners
against 3.67 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 4 matches
6 / 6.5
Shots on target
against 3 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 4 matches
2.5 / 1
Cards
against 2 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 4 matches
2.14 yellows
Referee · V. Kopiyevsky
1.43 home / 0.71 away
over 7 matches
232
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 April 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameShakhtar Donetsk for / againstLinePolessya for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
2.25 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.67 for · 3.67 against n 6
9.5standard
6.25 for · 2.5 against n 4
Shots
15.67 for · 8 against n 6
19.5standard
17 for · 7.75 against n 4
Shots on target
6 for · 3 against n 6
8.5standard
6.5 for · 3 against n 4
Fouls committed
9.67 for · 10.83 against n 6
21.5standard
9.5 for · 9 against n 4
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2 against n 6
3.5standard
1 for · 1.5 against n 4

Referee: V. Kopiyevsky — 2.14 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 4.43 fouls over 7 matches (1.43 to the home side, 0.71 to the away side).

Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Marlon Gomes n 864.8
2.17/3
1.25/2
—
Isaque n 838
1.83/2
1.83/1
—
Y. Konoplya n 854.8
1.64/2
0.41/1
—
P. Obah n 740.7
1.64/1
1.32/2
—
Newerton Palmares n 873.1
1.55/3
1.16/1
—
Shakhtar Donetsk — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Eguinaldo n 848.8
35/4
2.55/4
Luca Meirelles n 835
2.34/2
1.94/2
Alisson Santana n 872.4
26/3
1.14/2
Kauã Elias n 867.1
1.86/2
1.35/1
Yehor Nazaryna n 866.1
1.76/3
0.72/1
Shakhtar Donetsk — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Isaque n 838
0.62/0
0.62/0
L. Traore n 845.3
12/1
00/0
Luca Meirelles n 835
13/0
00/0
Eguinaldo n 848.8
0.72/1
0.21/0
Alisson Santana n 872.4
0.52/1
0.31/1
Shakhtar Donetsk — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Isaque n 838
35/3
Lucas Ferreira n 849.9
25/3
Vinícius Tobias n 881.5
1.85/2
Oleg Ocheretko n 867.8
1.75/4
Marlon Gomes n 864.8
1.76/2
Shakhtar Donetsk — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Dmytro Riznyk n 890
1.83/2
Polessya
Polessya — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Melnychenko n 325
3.62/1
00/0
—
G. Maisuradze n 560.8
2.44/2
0.31/0
—
B. Mykhailichenko n 874.9
1.86/5
0.63/1
—
L. Emërllahu n 872
1.76/4
0.21/0
—
O. Fedor n 845.3
1.54/1
14/0
—
Polessya — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Gayduchyk n 847.9
3.57/3
1.96/1
O. Andrievskyi n 878.6
27/5
1.14/3
O. Nazarenko n 868
26/3
0.52/1
M. Bragaru n 843.3
1.83/2
0.31/0
O. Filippov n 854.6
1.64/2
14/1
Polessya — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Gutsulyak n 866.8
0.74/0
0.53/0
Igor Krasnopir n 844.6
0.83/0
0.31/0
O. Andrievskyi n 878.6
0.64/0
00/0
O. Nazarenko n 868
0.32/0
0.21/0
M. Gayduchyk n 847.9
0.52/0
00/0
Polessya — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Babenko n 879.9
1.75/5
B. Mykhailichenko n 874.9
1.77/2
O. Andrievskyi n 878.6
1.64/3
O. Gutsulyak n 866.8
1.23/2
L. Emërllahu n 872
1.14/3
Polessya — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Volynets n 889.9
2.15/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Shakhtar Donetsk v Polessya — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Shakhtar DonetskLWWDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
PolessyaLWWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Shakhtar Donetsk 0 · 2 draws · Polessya 3 · 0.8 goals/game
  • 2025-10-18 Polessya 0–0 Shakhtar Donetsk
  • 2024-12-15 Polessya 1–0 Shakhtar Donetsk
  • 2024-08-11 Shakhtar Donetsk 0–1 Polessya
  • 2024-05-25 Polessya 2–0 Shakhtar Donetsk
  • 2023-11-24 Shakhtar Donetsk 0–0 Polessya
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Shakhtar Donetsk#1 pos72 pts30 pl+50 GD
Polessya#3 pos59 pts30 pl+30 GD
Goals per game
Shakhtar Donetsk scored2.37
Polessya scored1.7
Shakhtar Donetsk conceded0.7
Polessya conceded0.7

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Shakhtar Donetsk v Polessya?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Shakhtar Donetsk v Polessya was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Shakhtar Donetsk and Polessya?
In their last 5 meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk won 0, Polessya won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 0.8 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Shakhtar Donetsk and Polessya?
Recent form — Shakhtar Donetsk 2W 2D 1L; Polessya 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 232 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →