Aston Villa v Liverpool prediction
Team pages: Aston Villa · Liverpool · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Aston Villa v Liverpool, Premier League on Wed, 30 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Aston Villa host Liverpool in the Premier League on Wednesday 30 December (kick-off 20:00 UK).
The key numbers
12 of Aston Villa’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).
Aston Villa have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Liverpool have won their last three matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Both teams scored in nine of Aston Villa’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Aston Villa have three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 2.67 and conceding 1.33. Aston Villa have scored seven goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Aston Villa have conceded 11 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs.
10 of Liverpool’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Liverpool’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Liverpool have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.43 and conceding 1.86. Liverpool have scored nine goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Liverpool have conceded eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Aston Villa (12th) and Liverpool (fifth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Liverpool the stronger side, 72 rating points above Aston Villa (Liverpool 1712, Aston Villa 1640, after at least 273 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 15 May 2026, finished Aston Villa 4–2 Liverpool.
Team news
Predicted Aston Villa XI (4-2-3-1): Z. Suzuki, V. Lindelöf, M. Cash, T. Mings, I. Maatsen, B. Kamara, J. McGinn, E. Buendía, R. Barkley, G. Hemmings, N. Jackson — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Johan Manzambi (5.5 per match over six appearances, three goals and two assists) and Nicolas Jackson (4.4 per match over 10 appearances, five goals) have been Aston Villa’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Aston Villa (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Johan Manzambi averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1023 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Nicolas Jackson averages 3.0 shots per 90 over 1078 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Liverpool XI (4-2-3-1): A. Becker, V. van Dijk, J. Jacquet, M. Kerkez, R. Araújo, F. Wirtz, A. Mac Allister, D. Szoboszlai, V. Muñoz, C. Gakpo, A. Isak — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cody Gakpo (7.0 per match over seven appearances, two goals and five assists) and Florian Wirtz (4.6 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Liverpool’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Liverpool (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Cody Gakpo averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 1327 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances. Florian Wirtz averages 3.1 key passes per 90 over 1656 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Premier League · Villa Park
- Head-to-head (last 6): Aston Villa 1 · draws 2 · Liverpool 3 · 3.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Aston Villa 4W 1D 0L · Liverpool 4W 0D 1L
Aston Villa v Liverpool (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Aston Villa for / against | Line | Liverpool for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.63 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 17.13 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 16.75 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 7.5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.38 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.88 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.25 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
Aston Villa
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Barkley n 8 | 46.5 | 2.7 | 1.5 | — |
| João Gomes n 8 | 68 | 2.3 | 1.7 | — |
| M. Cash n 8 | 72.8 | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| B. Kamara n 8 | 84.4 | 1.9 | 2.3 | — |
| George Hemmings n 8 | 60.4 | 1.9 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Jackson n 8 | 70.4 | 4 | 2.2 |
| I. Mbaye n 8 | 43.5 | 3.6 | 1.6 |
| E. Buendía n 8 | 68.5 | 3 | 1.1 |
| J. Manzambi n 8 | 70.5 | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| R. Barkley n 8 | 46.5 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Barkley n 8 | 46.5 | 1 | 0.5 |
| T. Abraham n 8 | 24.3 | 1.4 | 0 |
| J. Manzambi n 8 | 70.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| N. Jackson n 8 | 70.4 | 0.8 | 0 |
| I. Mbaye n 8 | 43.5 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Garnacho n 8 | 19.4 | 5.2 |
| João Gomes n 8 | 68 | 3.6 |
| A. Wan-Bissaka n 8 | 64.3 | 3 |
| M. Cash n 8 | 72.8 | 2.8 |
| E. Buendía n 8 | 68.5 | 2.8 |
Liverpool
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Chiesa n 8 | 9.5 | 3.6 | 2.4 | — |
| J. McConnell n 8 | 33.4 | 2.4 | 2 | — |
| J. Gomez n 8 | 24.1 | 2.3 | 0 | — |
| L. Koumas n 8 | 60.4 | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| Víctor Muñoz n 8 | 42.9 | 1.8 | 1.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Wirtz n 8 | 70.9 | 2.9 | 1 |
| Víctor Muñoz n 8 | 42.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| B. Barcola n 8 | 55.3 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| A. Mac Allister n 8 | 67.1 | 2.5 | 1 |
| A. Isak n 8 | 65 | 2.4 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Gakpo n 8 | 71 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| A. Isak n 8 | 65 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| B. Barcola n 8 | 55.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Jeremie Frimpong n 8 | 51.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| K. Tsimikas n 8 | 74.1 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Gomez n 8 | 24.1 | 3.3 |
| Jérémy Jacquet n 8 | 78.6 | 3.1 |
| T. Nyoni n 8 | 44.3 | 2.8 |
| Jeremie Frimpong n 8 | 51.4 | 2.2 |
| J. McConnell n 8 | 33.4 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Mamardashvili n 8 | 86 | 3.9 |
| Alisson Becker n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Aston Villa v Liverpool — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-15 Aston Villa 4–2 Liverpool
- 2025-11-01 Liverpool 2–0 Aston Villa
- 2025-02-19 Aston Villa 2–2 Liverpool
- 2024-11-09 Liverpool 2–0 Aston Villa
- 2024-05-13 Aston Villa 3–3 Liverpool
- 2023-09-03 Liverpool 3–0 Aston Villa
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Aston Villa and Liverpool?
- In their last 6 meetings, Aston Villa won 1, Liverpool won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Aston Villa and Liverpool?
- Recent form — Aston Villa 4W 1D 0L; Liverpool 4W 0D 1L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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