Brentford v Newcastle prediction

Premier League · · Brentford Community Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Brentford v Newcastle, Premier League on Sat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Brentford host Newcastle in the Premier League on Saturday 19 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Brentford have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Brentford’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Brentford’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Brentford have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 0.71. Brentford have scored 13 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Brentford have conceded eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Newcastle’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Newcastle’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Newcastle have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.71. Newcastle have scored 10 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Newcastle have conceded 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Brentford (sixth) and Newcastle (11th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Brentford the stronger side, 176 rating points above Newcastle (Brentford 1664, Newcastle 1487, after at least 197 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 7 February 2026, finished Newcastle 2–3 Brentford.

Team news

Predicted Brentford XI (4-2-3-1): C. Kelleher, K. Ajer, K. Lewis-Potter, M. Kayode, J. Schuster, V. Janelt, K. Schade, M. Sangaré, J. Anthony, Y. Yarmolyuk, Thiago — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nathan Collins (4.3 per match over four appearances, two goals) and Vitaly Janelt (4.1 per match over eight appearances, two goals) have been Brentford’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Brentford (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nathan Collins averages 0.8 tackles per 90 over 479 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last seven appearances. Vitaly Janelt averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 703 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Newcastle XI (4-2-3-1): L. Horníček, S. Botman, M. Thiaw, L. Hall, A. Dedić, H. Barnes, J. Willock, N. González, L. Miley, J. Murphy, Y. Wissa — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lewis Hall (5.7 per match over nine appearances, one goal and two assists) and Harvey Barnes (4.4 per match over nine appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Newcastle’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Newcastle (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lewis Hall averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 1102 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Harvey Barnes averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 785 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League · Brentford Community Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Brentford 3 · draws 0 · Newcastle 3 · 4.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Brentford 2W 2D 1L · Newcastle 2W 0D 3L

Brentford v Newcastle (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 6.38
Corners
against 5.25 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBrentford for / againstLineNewcastle for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
6.38 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
15.13 for · 15.5 against n 8
19.5standard
14.25 for · 14.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.63 for · 8.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
Brentford
Brentford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Fábio Carvalho n 836.9
2.43/3
1.53/1
—
M. Sangaré n 852.4
2.16/3
0.63/0
—
Thiago n 872.6
25/4
0.63/1
—
Y. Yarmolyuk n 850.6
23/2
0.21/0
—
E. Diouf n 833
23/1
1.43/1
—
Brentford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Thiago n 872.6
2.58/4
1.15/2
C. Wilson n 838.9
24/2
1.74/2
D. Ouattara n 837.9
1.83/1
0.62/0
Fábio Carvalho n 836.9
1.84/2
1.24/0
K. Schade n 873
1.44/3
0.84/1
Brentford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Fábio Carvalho n 836.9
1.24/0
0.31/0
C. Wilson n 838.9
0.93/0
00/0
J. Anthony n 864
0.21/0
0.72/1
Y. Yarmolyuk n 850.6
0.21/0
0.42/0
D. Ouattara n 837.9
00/0
0.61/1
Brentford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Sangaré n 852.4
3.97/4
V. Janelt n 876.6
2.87/6
E. Diouf n 833
2.43/2
D. Ouattara n 837.9
1.84/1
M. Damsgaard n 870
1.64/3
Brentford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Kelleher n 890
4.17/6
E. Balcombe n 890
3.57/5
H. Valdimarsson n 890
2.64/4
Newcastle
Newcastle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Joelinton n 870.1
2.98/5
0.52/1
—
Nico González n 867.3
2.86/5
0.83/1
—
A. Bamba n 841
2.75/1
1.44/1
—
J. Ramsey n 856.4
25/3
12/1
—
B. Touré n 822.9
23/1
0.51/0
—
Newcastle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Woltemade n 848.8
36/4
1.23/1
J. Willock n 865.1
2.98/5
0.93/1
H. Barnes n 884.3
2.58/7
1.26/2
B. Touré n 822.9
2.53/2
23/1
Y. Wissa n 876.5
2.47/4
0.43/0
Newcastle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Touré n 822.9
12/0
00/0
W. Osula n 856.8
0.62/1
0.21/0
H. Barnes n 884.3
0.42/1
0.31/1
A. Elanga n 862.5
0.74/0
00/0
J. Ramsey n 856.4
0.21/0
0.42/0
Newcastle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Ramsey n 856.4
3.86/5
A. Bamba n 841
3.66/2
B. Touré n 822.9
34/2
Lewis Hall n 886.4
2.38/4
T. Livramento n 851
24/3
Newcastle — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Horníček n 890
2.87/5
E. Jaouen n 890
2.35/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Brentford v Newcastle — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BrentfordDWWDL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
NewcastleWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Brentford 3 · 0 draws · Newcastle 3 · 4.67 goals/game
  • 2026-02-07 Newcastle 2–3 Brentford
  • 2025-11-09 Brentford 3–1 Newcastle
  • 2025-04-02 Newcastle 2–1 Brentford
  • 2024-12-18 Newcastle 3–1 Brentford
  • 2024-12-07 Brentford 4–2 Newcastle
  • 2024-05-19 Brentford 2–4 Newcastle
League standing · 2026/27
Brentford#6 pos10 pts7 pl+5 GD
Newcastle#11 pos8 pts7 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Brentford scored1.86
Newcastle scored1.43
Brentford conceded1.14
Newcastle conceded2

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Brentford and Newcastle?
In their last 6 meetings, Brentford won 3, Newcastle won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Brentford and Newcastle?
Recent form — Brentford 2W 2D 1L; Newcastle 2W 0D 3L.

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