Brighton v Crystal Palace prediction

The match

Brighton host Crystal Palace in the Premier League on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Brighton to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Brighton have scored in eight consecutive matches. Brighton have scored 18 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Brighton are unbeaten in their last five matches.

Form and the table

11 of Brighton’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in five of Brighton’s last 15 results (33%). At home, Brighton have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.57 and conceding 0.57. Brighton have conceded five goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last three matches. 12 of Crystal Palace’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in eight of Crystal Palace’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Crystal Palace have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 away matches — 0.83 points per game, scoring 0.83 and conceding 2.00. Crystal Palace have scored nine goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Crystal Palace have conceded 12 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Brighton (third) and Crystal Palace (12th) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Brighton the stronger side, 301 rating points above Crystal Palace (Brighton 1854, Crystal Palace 1553, after at least 348 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Crystal Palace are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Brighton. The most recent meeting, on 8 February 2026, finished Brighton 0–1 Crystal Palace.

Team news

Predicted Brighton XI (4-2-3-1): B. Verbruggen, L. Vušković, F. Kadıoğlu, O. Boscagli, L. Dunk, P. Groß, D. Gómez, M. De Cuyper, Y. Ayari, M. Yalcouyé, C. Kostoulas — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mats Wieffer (5.8 per match over four appearances, one goal) and Pascal Groß (5.7 per match over nine appearances, four goals and four assists) have been Brighton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Brighton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mats Wieffer averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 362 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last five appearances. Pascal Groß averages 3.4 key passes per 90 over 898 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Crystal Palace XI (3-4-2-1): D. Henderson, C. Richards, J. Canvot, T. Tomiyasu, A. Wharton, T. Mitchell, A. Khalaili, Q. Timber, D. Kamada, Y. Pino, J. Strand Larsen — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Anan Khalaili (4.4 per match over seven appearances, one goal) and Quinten Timber (4.3 per match over six appearances, one assist) have been Crystal Palace’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Crystal Palace (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Anan Khalaili averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 775 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances. Quinten Timber averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 809 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.