Brighton v Newcastle prediction
Team pages: Brighton · Newcastle · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Brighton vs Newcastle, Premier League on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Brighton host Newcastle in the Premier League on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).
The key numbers
Brighton have scored in eight consecutive matches. Brighton have scored 18 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Newcastle have scored in eight consecutive matches.
Form and the table
Brighton are unbeaten in their last five matches. 11 of Brighton’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in five of Brighton’s last 15 results (33%). At home, Brighton have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.57 and conceding 0.57. Brighton have conceded five goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
10 of Newcastle’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Newcastle’s last 15 results (73%). Away from home, Newcastle have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 away matches — 0.88 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.75. Newcastle have scored 10 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Newcastle have conceded 13 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Brighton (third) and Newcastle (11th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Brighton the stronger side, 272 rating points above Newcastle (Brighton 1854, Newcastle 1581, after at least 348 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Newcastle 3–1 Brighton.
Team news
Predicted Brighton XI (4-2-3-1): B. Verbruggen, L. Vušković, F. Kadıoğlu, O. Boscagli, L. Dunk, P. Groß, D. Gómez, M. De Cuyper, Y. Ayari, M. Yalcouyé, C. Kostoulas — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mats Wieffer (5.8 per match over four appearances, one goal) and Pascal Groß (5.7 per match over nine appearances, four goals and four assists) have been Brighton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Brighton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mats Wieffer averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 362 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last five appearances. Pascal Groß averages 3.4 key passes per 90 over 898 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Newcastle XI (4-2-3-1): L. Horníček, S. Botman, M. Thiaw, L. Hall, A. Dedić, H. Barnes, J. Willock, L. Miley, N. González, J. Murphy, Y. Wissa — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lewis Hall (5.6 per match over eight appearances, one goal and two assists) and Harvey Barnes (4.6 per match over eight appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Newcastle’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Newcastle (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lewis Hall averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 1012 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Harvey Barnes averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 695 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Premier League · Amex Stadium
- Head-to-head (last 6): Brighton 3 · draws 2 · Newcastle 1 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Brighton 4W 1D 0L · Newcastle 2W 1D 2L
Brighton v Newcastle (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Brighton for / against | Line | Newcastle for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 3.13 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.25 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.13 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 18.38 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.88 for · 16 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.75 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.63 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.13 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Brighton
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| José María Andrés Baixauli n 8 | 60.5 | 2.6 | 0.7 | — |
| P. David n 8 | 28.5 | 2.4 | 0.8 | — |
| M. Svoboda n 8 | 72.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 | — |
| J. Hadjam n 8 | 48.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 | — |
| Costinha n 8 | 29 | 1.9 | 1.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. David n 8 | 28.5 | 3.9 | 0.8 |
| C. Kostoulas n 8 | 67.1 | 2.8 | 1 |
| J. Hinshelwood n 8 | 71.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| G. Rutter n 8 | 30.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| D. Gómez n 8 | 77.3 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Groß n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| J. Hinshelwood n 8 | 71.5 | 0.8 | 0 |
| P. David n 8 | 28.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| C. Kostoulas n 8 | 67.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| G. Rutter n 8 | 30.9 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Gómez n 8 | 77.3 | 3.3 |
| J. Hadjam n 8 | 48.1 | 2.6 |
| M. Wieffer n 8 | 64.4 | 2.3 |
| G. Rutter n 8 | 30.9 | 2.2 |
| M. Svoboda n 8 | 72.5 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Steele n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
| B. Verbruggen n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
Newcastle
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joelinton n 8 | 70.3 | 2.9 | 0.3 | — |
| A. Bamba n 8 | 41 | 2.7 | 1.4 | — |
| Nico González n 8 | 65.4 | 2.6 | 0.7 | — |
| J. Ramsey n 8 | 56.4 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Y. Wissa n 8 | 76.4 | 1.8 | 2.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Willock n 8 | 62.4 | 3.6 | 1.1 |
| N. Woltemade n 8 | 36 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| H. Barnes n 8 | 84.3 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| B. Touré n 8 | 25.8 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| Y. Wissa n 8 | 76.4 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Touré n 8 | 25.8 | 0.9 | 0 |
| W. Osula n 8 | 60.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| H. Barnes n 8 | 84.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| A. Elanga n 8 | 62.5 | 0.7 | 0 |
| J. Ramsey n 8 | 56.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Ramsey n 8 | 56.4 | 3.8 |
| A. Bamba n 8 | 41 | 3.6 |
| Joelinton n 8 | 70.3 | 2.2 |
| Lewis Hall n 8 | 86.3 | 2.1 |
| T. Livramento n 8 | 51 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Horníček n 8 | 90 | 3 |
| E. Jaouen n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Brighton v Newcastle — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-02 Newcastle 3–1 Brighton
- 2025-10-18 Brighton 2–1 Newcastle
- 2025-05-04 Brighton 1–1 Newcastle
- 2025-03-02 Newcastle 1–2 Brighton
- 2024-10-19 Newcastle 0–1 Brighton
- 2024-05-11 Newcastle 1–1 Brighton
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Brighton and Newcastle?
- In their last 6 meetings, Brighton won 3, Newcastle won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Brighton and Newcastle?
- Recent form — Brighton 4W 1D 0L; Newcastle 2W 1D 2L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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