Chelsea v Fulham result
Team pages: Chelsea · Fulham · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Chelsea 2–0 Fulham — Chelsea won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.
What xG said
xG said Chelsea: 2.43 to 0.74 in expected goals, from 13 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the 53rd minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Chelsea beat Fulham 2–0 at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League on Saturday 30 August. Chelsea are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.
The goals
Chelsea led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Chelsea: João Pedro (45’, assisted by Enzo Fernández) and Enzo Fernández (56’ pen).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with João Pedro’s goal on 45 minutes.
Discipline
R. Jones showed four yellow cards — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Chelsea: M. Caicedo (38’) and Andrey Santos (90+3’); Fulham: Alexander Iwobi (73’) and Saša Lukić (90+6’).
What it changes
Chelsea stay first after this result (three league matches played).
Fulham move down from 13th to 14th (three league matches played).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Enzo Fernández (Chelsea) 10.2, Trevoh Chalobah (Chelsea) 8.1 and João Pedro (Chelsea) 7.1 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Chelsea or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1168 of 1546).
Next up
Chelsea next host Tottenham on 24 October 2026.
Fulham next travel to Coventry on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Chelsea: Chelsea v Tottenham, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Fulham: Coventry v Fulham, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Chelsea 2–0 Fulham · Premier League
- Venue: Stamford Bridge · London
- Referee: R. Jones
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Chelsea 3 · draws 1 · Fulham 2 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Chelsea 4W 1D 0L · Fulham 2W 2D 1L
Chelsea 2–0 Fulham (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Chelsea for / against | Line | Fulham for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.5 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.5 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.75 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.38 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.13 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.25 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.63 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.13 for · 9.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.25 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: R. Jones — 4.71 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.57 fouls over 14 matches (2.29 to the home side, 2.43 to the away side).
Chelsea
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Caicedo n 8 | 93 | 2.2 | 1.5 | S. Berge |
| João Pedro n 8 | 63 | 2 | 1.4 | — |
| L. Delap n 8 | 48.3 | 1.9 | 1.2 | — |
| E. Fernández n 8 | 79.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | S. Lukić |
| Marc Cucurella n 8 | 91.1 | 1.7 | 1.5 | R. Sessegnon |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| João Pedro n 8 | 63 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| Marc Guiu n 8 | 37.6 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| C. Palmer n 8 | 91.8 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Andrey Santos n 8 | 46.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| L. Delap n 8 | 48.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| João Pedro n 8 | 63 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| C. Palmer n 8 | 91.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| K. Dewsbury-Hall n 8 | 44.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Pedro Neto n 8 | 89.1 | 0.5 | 0 |
| E. Fernández n 8 | 79.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Santos n 8 | 46.8 | 3.6 |
| M. Caicedo n 8 | 93 | 3.5 |
| M. Gusto n 8 | 67.5 | 2.7 |
| J. Bynoe-Gittens n 8 | 30.5 | 1.8 |
| Marc Cucurella n 8 | 91.1 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Robert Sánchez n 8 | 93.8 | 3.5 |
Fulham
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lukić n 8 | 71.5 | 2.8 | 0.9 | E. Fernández |
| R. Sessegnon n 8 | 57.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | Marc Cucurella |
| K. Tete n 8 | 85.6 | 1.7 | 1.1 | — |
| S. Berge n 8 | 63 | 1.6 | 0.5 | M. Caicedo |
| R. Jiménez n 8 | 75.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Muniz n 8 | 47.4 | 3.6 | 1.9 |
| R. Jiménez n 8 | 75.6 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| H. Wilson n 8 | 62.4 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| A. Iwobi n 8 | 66.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| T. Cairney n 8 | 38.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Muniz n 8 | 47.4 | 0.9 | 0 |
| E. Smith Rowe n 8 | 41.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| H. Wilson n 8 | 62.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Adama Traoré n 8 | 47.1 | 0 | 0.5 |
| R. Jiménez n 8 | 75.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Sessegnon n 8 | 57.6 | 4.7 |
| Joshua King n 8 | 39.3 | 3.2 |
| K. Tete n 8 | 85.6 | 2.8 |
| A. Robinson n 8 | 82.3 | 2.5 |
| T. Castagne n 8 | 56.4 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Leno n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Chelsea | Fulham | |
|---|---|---|
| 54% | Possession | 46% |
| 2.35 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.02 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 1 | Shots off target | 6 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 494 | Passes | 415 |
| 87% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
Chelsea player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Sánchez | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Gusto | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| T. Chalobah | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8.2 |
| T. Adarabioyo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Marc Cucurella | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7.7 |
| M. Caicedo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Y | 7.5 |
| E. Fernández | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| João Pedro | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| Pedro Neto | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Estêvão | 68 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| L. Delap | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Tyrique George sub | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Bynoe-Gittens sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| R. James sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Andrey Santos sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
Fulham player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Leno | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8.3 |
| K. Tete | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Andersen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.7 |
| C. Bassey | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| S. Lukić | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | Y | 6.9 |
| S. Berge | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Iwobi | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.3 |
| R. Sessegnon | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Joshua King | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| T. Castagne | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Rodrigo Muniz | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| R. Jiménez sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| H. Wilson sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| A. Robinson sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| E. Smith Rowe sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Adama Traoré sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Chelsea v Fulham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-04-20 Fulham 1–2 Chelsea
- 2024-12-26 Chelsea 1–2 Fulham
- 2024-01-13 Chelsea 1–0 Fulham
- 2023-10-02 Fulham 0–2 Chelsea
- 2023-02-03 Chelsea 0–0 Fulham
- 2023-01-12 Fulham 2–1 Chelsea
Shot map and expected goals
Chelsea 2.43 xG from 13 shots, Fulham 0.74 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 13 | 2 | 2.43 |
| Fulham | 11 | 0 | 0.74 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.
Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Chelsea v Fulham?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Chelsea v Fulham was Home or Draw.
- What is the head-to-head record between Chelsea and Fulham?
- In their last 6 meetings, Chelsea won 3, Fulham won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Chelsea and Fulham?
- Recent form — Chelsea 4W 1D 0L; Fulham 2W 2D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.