Hull City v Brentford prediction

Premier League · · MKM Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Hull City v Brentford, Premier League on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.25 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4561 landed (95% range 76.2–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Hull City host Brentford in the Premier League on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Hull City or Brentford (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Brentford have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions. Hull City are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Hull City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Hull City’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Hull City have three wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 0.50. Hull City have scored eight goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Hull City have conceded seven goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

11 of Brentford’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Brentford’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Brentford have two wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 1.63. Brentford have scored 13 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Brentford have conceded eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Hull City (ninth) and Brentford (sixth) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Brentford the stronger side, 134 rating points above Hull City (Brentford 1664, Hull City 1530, after at least seven rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Brentford are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Hull City. The most recent meeting, on 1 February 2020, finished Hull City 1–5 Brentford.

Team news

Predicted Hull City XI (5-4-1): K. Tzolakis, J. Egan, S. Ajayi, R. Giles, L. Coyle, N. Mendy, R. Slater, M. Belloumi, M. Crooks, E. Stroud, O. McBurnie — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mohamed Belloumi (5.6 per match over eight appearances, three goals and two assists) and Konstantinos Tzolakis (4.0 per match over seven appearances) have been Hull City’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hull City (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mohamed Belloumi averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 527 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last eight appearances. Konstantinos Tzolakis averages 3.6 saves per 90 over 1148 minutes, with two or more saves in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Brentford XI (4-2-3-1): C. Kelleher, K. Ajer, K. Lewis-Potter, M. Kayode, J. Schuster, V. Janelt, K. Schade, M. Sangaré, J. Anthony, Y. Yarmolyuk, Thiago — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nathan Collins (4.3 per match over four appearances, two goals) and Vitaly Janelt (4.1 per match over eight appearances, two goals) have been Brentford’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Brentford (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nathan Collins averages 0.8 tackles per 90 over 479 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last seven appearances. Vitaly Janelt averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 703 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League · MKM Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Hull City 2 · draws 2 · Brentford 2 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Hull City 0W 2D 3L · Brentford 2W 2D 1L

Hull City v Brentford (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.13 / 4.13
Corners
against 6 / 5.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 2.75
Cards
against 1 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHull City for / againstLineBrentford for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
3our book
2.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
11.5 for · 13 against n 8
19.5standard
15.13 for · 15.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 7.88 against n 8
21.5standard
13.63 for · 8.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.88 for · 1 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
Hull City
Hull City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Gelhardt n 838
3.35/4
0.92/1
—
T. Iroegbunam n 848.9
2.58/2
0.21/0
—
L. Gourna-Douath n 864.1
2.17/3
1.85/3
—
M. Crooks n 872
27/4
0.53/0
—
Oliver McBurnie n 876.5
1.98/4
1.56/3
—
Hull City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Belloumi n 865.9
2.47/5
14/2
J. Gelhardt n 838
2.45/1
1.52/1
M. Cho n 838.3
2.15/2
0.93/0
L. Millar n 871.1
1.76/3
1.13/2
Jens Hjertø-Dahl n 870.5
1.45/3
0.64/0
Hull City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Millar n 871.1
0.63/1
0.52/1
M. Belloumi n 865.9
0.52/1
0.32/0
J. Gelhardt n 838
0.62/0
00/0
Jens Hjertø-Dahl n 870.5
0.32/0
0.21/0
Oliver McBurnie n 876.5
00/0
0.32/0
Hull City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Belloumi n 865.9
3.46/5
M. Crooks n 872
3.18/7
C. Drameh n 854.4
3.15/3
T. Iroegbunam n 848.9
36/4
L. Gourna-Douath n 864.1
2.57/3
Hull City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Tzolakis n 890
48/8
D. Phillips n 894.4
2.57/5
Brentford
Brentford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Fábio Carvalho n 836.9
2.43/3
1.53/1
—
M. Sangaré n 852.4
2.16/3
0.63/0
—
Thiago n 872.6
25/4
0.63/1
—
Y. Yarmolyuk n 850.6
23/2
0.21/0
—
E. Diouf n 833
23/1
1.43/1
—
Brentford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Thiago n 872.6
2.58/4
1.15/2
C. Wilson n 838.9
24/2
1.74/2
D. Ouattara n 837.9
1.83/1
0.62/0
Fábio Carvalho n 836.9
1.84/2
1.24/0
K. Schade n 873
1.44/3
0.84/1
Brentford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Fábio Carvalho n 836.9
1.24/0
0.31/0
C. Wilson n 838.9
0.93/0
00/0
J. Anthony n 864
0.21/0
0.72/1
Y. Yarmolyuk n 850.6
0.21/0
0.42/0
D. Ouattara n 837.9
00/0
0.61/1
Brentford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Sangaré n 852.4
3.97/4
V. Janelt n 876.6
2.87/6
E. Diouf n 833
2.43/2
D. Ouattara n 837.9
1.84/1
M. Damsgaard n 870
1.64/3
Brentford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Kelleher n 890
4.17/6
E. Balcombe n 890
3.57/5
H. Valdimarsson n 890
2.64/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Hull City v Brentford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Hull CityLDLDL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
BrentfordDWWDL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Hull City 2 · 2 draws · Brentford 2 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2020-02-01 Hull City 1–5 Brentford
  • 2019-08-17 Brentford 1–1 Hull City
  • 2019-02-23 Brentford 5–1 Hull City
  • 2018-12-15 Hull City 2–0 Brentford
  • 2018-05-06 Brentford 1–1 Hull City
  • 2017-12-09 Hull City 3–2 Brentford
League standing · 2026/27
Hull City#9 pos9 pts7 pl+1 GD
Brentford#6 pos10 pts7 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Hull City scored1.14
Brentford scored1.86
Hull City conceded1
Brentford conceded1.14

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Hull City v Brentford?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Hull City v Brentford is Home or Away (best price 1.25 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Hull City and Brentford?
In their last 6 meetings, Hull City won 2, Brentford won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hull City and Brentford?
Recent form — Hull City 0W 2D 3L; Brentford 2W 2D 1L.

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