Liverpool v Newcastle prediction

Premier League · · Anfield

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Liverpool v Newcastle, Premier League on Sat, 10 Apr 2027 15:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Liverpool host Newcastle in the Premier League on Saturday 10 April (kick-off 15:00 UK).

Form and the table

10 of Liverpool’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Liverpool’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Liverpool have three wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.25. Liverpool have scored nine goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Liverpool have conceded eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Newcastle’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Newcastle’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Newcastle have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.71. Newcastle have scored 10 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Newcastle have conceded 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Liverpool (fifth) and Newcastle (11th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Liverpool the stronger side, 225 rating points above Newcastle (Liverpool 1712, Newcastle 1487, after at least 349 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Liverpool are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Newcastle. The most recent meeting, on 23 August 2026, finished Newcastle 2–2 Liverpool.

Team news

Predicted Liverpool XI (4-2-3-1): A. Becker, V. van Dijk, J. Jacquet, M. Kerkez, R. Araújo, F. Wirtz, A. Mac Allister, D. Szoboszlai, V. Muñoz, C. Gakpo, A. Isak — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cody Gakpo (6.5 per match over six appearances, two goals and four assists) and Dominik Szoboszlai (4.5 per match over eight appearances, three goals) have been Liverpool’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Liverpool (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Cody Gakpo averages 1.5 shots per 90 over 1237 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances. Dominik Szoboszlai averages 3.1 key passes per 90 over 1300 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Newcastle XI (4-2-3-1): L. Horníček, S. Botman, M. Thiaw, L. Hall, A. Dedić, H. Barnes, J. Willock, N. González, L. Miley, J. Murphy, Y. Wissa — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lewis Hall (5.7 per match over nine appearances, one goal and two assists) and Harvey Barnes (4.4 per match over nine appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Newcastle’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Newcastle (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lewis Hall averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 1102 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Harvey Barnes averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 785 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League · Anfield
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Liverpool 3 · draws 2 · Newcastle 1 · 4.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Liverpool 4W 0D 1L · Newcastle 2W 0D 3L

Liverpool v Newcastle (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6 / 6.38
Corners
against 5.13 / 4.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLiverpool for / againstLineNewcastle for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
6.38 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
15.25 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
14.25 for · 14.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.38 for · 9.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
Liverpool
Liverpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Chiesa n 89.5
3.63/0
2.42/0
—
J. Gomez n 823.5
2.43/2
00/0
—
L. Koumas n 853.3
2.36/4
1.34/2
—
J. McConnell n 835.1
1.94/1
1.93/2
—
Víctor Muñoz n 842.9
1.84/2
1.64/2
—
Liverpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Víctor Muñoz n 842.9
2.97/2
1.34/1
B. Barcola n 862.3
2.55/4
1.34/1
F. Wirtz n 876.5
2.46/4
0.62/2
A. Mac Allister n 867.1
2.35/5
0.84/1
A. Isak n 873.3
2.28/5
1.16/1
Liverpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Isak n 873.3
0.95/1
0.21/0
C. Gakpo n 871
0.53/0
0.63/1
B. Barcola n 862.3
0.51/1
0.21/0
Jeremie Frimpong n 851.4
0.21/0
0.41/1
A. Mac Allister n 867.1
0.21/0
0.32/0
Liverpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 880.6
2.87/6
T. Nyoni n 836.4
2.86/2
Jeremie Frimpong n 851.4
2.25/2
J. McConnell n 835.1
2.26/1
C. Gakpo n 871
1.96/4
Liverpool — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Mamardashvili n 886
3.98/5
Alisson Becker n 890
2.14/3
Newcastle
Newcastle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Joelinton n 870.1
2.98/5
0.52/1
—
Nico González n 867.3
2.86/5
0.83/1
—
A. Bamba n 841
2.75/1
1.44/1
—
J. Ramsey n 856.4
25/3
12/1
—
B. Touré n 822.9
23/1
0.51/0
—
Newcastle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Woltemade n 848.8
36/4
1.23/1
J. Willock n 865.1
2.98/5
0.93/1
H. Barnes n 884.3
2.58/7
1.26/2
B. Touré n 822.9
2.53/2
23/1
Y. Wissa n 876.5
2.47/4
0.43/0
Newcastle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Touré n 822.9
12/0
00/0
W. Osula n 856.8
0.62/1
0.21/0
H. Barnes n 884.3
0.42/1
0.31/1
A. Elanga n 862.5
0.74/0
00/0
J. Ramsey n 856.4
0.21/0
0.42/0
Newcastle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Ramsey n 856.4
3.86/5
A. Bamba n 841
3.66/2
B. Touré n 822.9
34/2
Lewis Hall n 886.4
2.38/4
T. Livramento n 851
24/3
Newcastle — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Horníček n 890
2.87/5
E. Jaouen n 890
2.35/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Liverpool v Newcastle — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LiverpoolWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
NewcastleWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Liverpool 3 · 2 draws · Newcastle 1 · 4.17 goals/game
  • 2026-08-23 Newcastle 2–2 Liverpool
  • 2026-01-31 Liverpool 4–1 Newcastle
  • 2025-08-25 Newcastle 2–3 Liverpool
  • 2025-03-16 Liverpool 1–2 Newcastle
  • 2025-02-26 Liverpool 2–0 Newcastle
  • 2024-12-04 Newcastle 3–3 Liverpool
League standing · 2026/27
Liverpool#5 pos12 pts7 pl+1 GD
Newcastle#11 pos8 pts7 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Liverpool scored1.29
Newcastle scored1.43
Liverpool conceded1.14
Newcastle conceded2

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool and Newcastle?
In their last 6 meetings, Liverpool won 3, Newcastle won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Liverpool and Newcastle?
Recent form — Liverpool 4W 0D 1L; Newcastle 2W 0D 3L.

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