Luton v Aston Villa result

Full-time · Luton 2–3 Aston Villa

Premier League · · Kenilworth Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

Luton 2–3 Aston Villa — Aston Villa won this Premier League match.

Match report, in numbers

The result

Aston Villa won 3–2 at Kenilworth Road in the Premier League on Saturday 2 March. Luton have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions. Aston Villa have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Aston Villa led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Aston Villa: O. Watkins (24’, assisted by L. Bailey; 38’, assisted by Douglas Luiz) and Lucas Digne (89’, assisted by Moussa Diaby); Luton: Tahith Chong (66’, assisted by R. Burke) and Carlton Morris (72’, assisted by Alfie Doughty).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Luton 1.77, Aston Villa 1.95, from 14 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Oliver showed five yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 24 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Luton: R. Burke (38’); Aston Villa: Douglas Luiz (45’), L. Bailey (45+5’), Morgan Rogers (50’) and Nicolò Zaniolo (90+2’).

What it changes

Luton are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Aston Villa have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, O. Watkins (Aston Villa) 10.0, L. Bailey (Aston Villa) 7.5 and Tahith Chong (Luton) 6.3 led the match.

Next up

Luton next host Barnsley on 20 October 2026.

Aston Villa next host Viking on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Luton: Luton v Barnsley, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Aston Villa: Aston Villa v Viking, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Luton 2–3 Aston Villa · Premier League
  • Venue: Kenilworth Road · Luton, Bedfordshire
  • Referee: M. Oliver
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Luton 0 · draws 0 · Aston Villa 1 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Luton 0W 1D 4L · Aston Villa 3W 0D 2L

Luton 2–3 Aston Villa (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.13 / 1.75
Goals
against 2.63 / 1.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.14 / 6.5
Corners
against 5.43 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.71 / 6.25
Shots on target
against 7.14 / 4.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.86 / 2
Cards
against 1.86 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.25 yellows
Referee · M. Oliver
1.29 home / 1.96 away
over 24 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 February 2024. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 February 2024. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLuton for / againstLineAston Villa for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 2.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.14 for · 5.43 against n 7
9.5standard
6.5 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
15.86 for · 16.57 against n 7
19.5standard
15.13 for · 12.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.71 for · 7.14 against n 7
8.5standard
6.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 13.29 against n 7
21.5standard
9.75 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
1.86 for · 1.86 against n 7
3.5standard
2 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: M. Oliver — 3.25 yellow cards a game, 0.04 red cards, 22.75 fouls over 24 matches (1.29 to the home side, 1.96 to the away side).

Luton
Luton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 February 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Berry n 828.6
2.43/2
23/2
—
I. Kaboré n 869
2.15/4
1.14/2
—
C. Woodrow n 831.8
2.15/1
0.41/0
—
T. Mengi n 890
1.66/4
0.53/1
—
J. Brown n 855.4
1.65/2
25/3
—
Luton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 February 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Morris n 878
2.97/7
1.77/4
E. Adebayo n 882
2.17/5
1.16/1
D. Hashioka n 876
1.66/4
0.95/1
A. Townsend n 835.6
1.63/2
0.93/0
R. Barkley n 887.3
1.57/5
0.64/1
Luton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 February 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Morris n 878
0.64/0
0.32/0
L. Berry n 828.6
00/0
0.81/1
E. Adebayo n 882
0.73/1
00/0
R. Barkley n 887.3
0.11/0
0.53/1
J. Clark n 849.6
0.51/1
00/0
Luton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 February 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Bell n 883.6
3.26/6
I. Kaboré n 869
3.18/4
R. Barkley n 887.3
2.78/6
T. Mengi n 890
2.67/5
J. Johnson n 534.2
2.64/1
Aston Villa
Aston Villa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 February 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Zaniolo n 812.4
3.62/1
2.73/0
—
M. Rogers n 868.8
26/5
1.14/3
—
L. Digne n 846.6
1.74/1
1.75/1
—
B. Kamara n 883.1
1.67/2
1.97/4
—
T. Iroegbunam n 841.6
1.64/1
2.46/2
—
Aston Villa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 February 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Duran n 831.3
3.64/3
2.23/2
O. Watkins n 889.9
2.88/6
1.88/5
M. Diaby n 837.3
2.16/1
1.55/0
L. Bailey n 860.5
1.97/3
0.94/1
M. Rogers n 868.8
1.87/4
0.84/1
Aston Villa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 February 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Watkins n 889.9
0.64/1
0.31/1
L. Bailey n 860.5
0.42/0
0.42/0
M. Rogers n 868.8
0.21/0
0.53/0
Douglas Luiz n 884.4
0.42/1
0.11/0
Y. Tielemans n 863.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
Aston Villa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 February 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Kamara n 883.1
3.28/5
N. Zaniolo n 812.4
2.72/1
T. Iroegbunam n 841.6
2.45/2
J. McGinn n 884.9
1.77/4
J. Ramsey n 867.6
1.75/2

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LutonAston Villa
47%Possession53%
1.77Expected goals (xG)1.95
14Shots12
5Shots on target8
4Shots off target4
5Blocked shots0
11Shots inside the box12
8Corners6
3Offsides1
8Fouls19
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
5Saves2
365Passes444
84%Pass accuracy85%

Luton player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Kaminski9000000007.2
R. Burke90012210Y6.7
T. Mengi9000100307
I. Kaboré9000000106.6
J. Clark9000002306.6
R. Barkley9000101106.9
A. Doughty9001003006.9
C. Morris9010323007.9
T. Chong8410110207.3
A. Townsend5300100006.3
A. Bell50000000–
C. Ogbene sub8500000006.9
D. Hashioka sub3700000106.5
P. Mpanzu sub1300000006.5

Aston Villa player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Martínez9000000007.2
M. Cash9000000407.2
E. Konsa9000000206.7
Clément Lenglet9000100007
J. McGinn9000002307
Douglas Luiz90011010Y7
O. Watkins9020540108.3
Álex Moreno7900000206.6
L. Bailey79011142Y7.7
Y. Tielemans7900001006.6
J. Ramsey2900210006.9
M. Rogers sub50001120Y7.2
L. Digne sub1110110007.7
N. Zaniolo sub11000000Y6.2
T. Iroegbunam sub1100000106.7
M. Diaby sub1101001007.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Luton v Aston Villa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LutonDLLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 1.8 scored / 3.8 conceded per game
Aston VillaWLLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Luton 0 · 0 draws · Aston Villa 1 · 4 goals/game
  • 2023-10-29 Aston Villa 3–1 Luton
League standing · 2023/24
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Luton#18 pos26 pts38 pl-33 GD
Aston Villa#4 pos68 pts38 pl+15 GD
Goals per game
Luton scored1.37
Aston Villa scored2
Luton conceded2.24
Aston Villa conceded1.61

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Luton and Aston Villa?
In their last 1 meetings, Luton won 0, Aston Villa won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Luton and Aston Villa?
Recent form — Luton 0W 1D 4L; Aston Villa 3W 0D 2L.

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