Aston Villa v Viking prediction
Team pages: Aston Villa · Viking
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Aston Villa vs Viking, UEFA Champions League on Wed, 21 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.
The match
Aston Villa host Viking in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 21 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
Aston Villa have scored in seven consecutive matches. Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last five matches.
Viking have scored in 15 consecutive matches — every result checked.
Form and the table
12 of Aston Villa’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in nine of Aston Villa’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Aston Villa have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 home matches — 1.40 points per game, scoring 2.60 and conceding 1.40.
Viking are unbeaten in their last five matches. 12 of Viking’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 12 of Viking’s last 15 results (80%). Away from home, Viking have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.25.
Aston Villa (third) and Viking (27th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far.
Team news
Predicted Aston Villa XI (4-4-2): Z. Suzuki, V. Lindelöf, P. Torres, A. Wan-Bissaka, M. Cash, J. McGinn, B. Kamara, J. Gomes, R. Barkley, N. Jackson, G. Hemmings — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Johan Manzambi (5.4 per match over six appearances, three goals and two assists) and Nicolas Jackson (4.5 per match over nine appearances, five goals) have been Aston Villa’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Aston Villa (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Johan Manzambi averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1023 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Nicolas Jackson averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 1008 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Viking XI (4-3-3): A. Østbø, G. Stensness, H. Heggheim, K. Haugen, H. Falchener, K. Askildsen, J. Bell, T. Moi, P. Christiansen, Z. Tripić, E. Austbø — derived from the last 4 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Zlatko Tripić (6.1 per match over 26 appearances, nine goals and 21 assists) and Henrik Bjørdal (6.0 per match over seven appearances, two goals and three assists) have been Viking’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Viking (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Zlatko Tripić averages 4.4 key passes per 90 over 2110 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Henrik Bjørdal averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 1800 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Champions League · Villa Park
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Aston Villa 4W 1D 0L · Viking 4W 1D 0L
TACTIX runs Aston Villa v Viking (UEFA Champions League) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 17 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Aston Villa for / against | Line | Viking for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.75our book | 2.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.13 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.88 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16.13 for · 15.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.75 for · 15.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.38 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.63 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.63 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.63 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Aston Villa
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Gomes n 8 | 70.5 | 2.7 | 1.4 | — |
| M. Cash n 8 | 75.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 | — |
| R. Barkley n 8 | 49 | 2.1 | 1.1 | — |
| B. Kamara n 8 | 84.4 | 1.9 | 2.3 | — |
| George Hemmings n 8 | 70.5 | 1.9 | 1.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| I. Mbaye n 8 | 41.6 | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| N. Jackson n 8 | 72.3 | 3.4 | 1.7 |
| J. Manzambi n 8 | 70.5 | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| R. Barkley n 8 | 49 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| E. Buendía n 8 | 68.5 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Abraham n 8 | 24.8 | 1.4 | 0 |
| R. Barkley n 8 | 49 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Alysson Edward n 8 | 23.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| J. Manzambi n 8 | 70.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| N. Jackson n 8 | 72.3 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Garnacho n 8 | 22.8 | 4.5 |
| João Gomes n 8 | 70.5 | 3.2 |
| E. Buendía n 8 | 68.5 | 3 |
| A. Wan-Bissaka n 8 | 64.3 | 3 |
| M. Cash n 8 | 75.9 | 2.7 |
Viking
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Botheim n 8 | 57.9 | 2.5 | 1.9 | — |
| Vetle Auklend n 8 | 52.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 | — |
| Joe Bell n 8 | 70 | 1.6 | 1.3 | — |
| J. Hansen n 8 | 14.9 | 1.5 | 0 | — |
| J. Daland n 8 | 40.8 | 1.4 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Botheim n 8 | 57.9 | 3.9 | 1.7 |
| Peter Christiansen n 8 | 83.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| R. Postema n 8 | 25.4 | 2.7 | 0.4 |
| Simen Kvia-Egeskog n 8 | 32.5 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Niklas Kemp Fuglestad n 8 | 29.8 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simen Kvia-Egeskog n 8 | 32.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| Peter Christiansen n 8 | 83.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Zlatko Tripić n 8 | 76.5 | 0.1 | 1 |
| Henrik Bjørdal n 8 | 73.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Erik Botheim n 8 | 57.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Daland n 8 | 40.8 | 2.8 |
| V. Vevatne n 8 | 19.9 | 2.8 |
| Kristoffer Askildsen n 8 | 79.5 | 2.7 |
| Henrik Bjørdal n 8 | 73.5 | 2.6 |
| Joe Bell n 8 | 70 | 2.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Østbø n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
| Ľubomír Belko n 8 | 90 | 2 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Aston Villa v Viking — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Aston Villa vs Viking?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Aston Villa v Viking is Over 2.5 goals.
- What is the recent form of Aston Villa and Viking?
- Recent form — Aston Villa 4W 1D 0L; Viking 4W 1D 0L.
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