Luton v Burnley result
Luton 1–2 Burnley — Burnley won this Premier League match.
The result
Burnley won 2–1 at Kenilworth Road in the Premier League on Tuesday 3 October.
The goals
Burnley led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Burnley: L. Foster (45’, assisted by Sander Berge) and Jacob Bruun Larsen (85’, assisted by Connor Roberts); Luton: Elijah Adebayo (84’, assisted by R. Burke).
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Luton 1.34, Burnley 1.11, from 18 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
P. Bankes showed six yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Luton: Jacob Brown (36’), R. Burke (59’), Tahith Chong (90+2’) and M. Nakamba (90+3’); Burnley: Connor Roberts (66’) and Charles Taylor (90+4’).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Sander Berge (Burnley) 6.2, L. Foster (Burnley) 5.5 and Zeki Amdouni (Burnley) 5.5 led the match.
Next up
Luton next host Barnsley on 20 October 2026.
Burnley next travel to Lincoln on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Luton: Luton v Barnsley, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Burnley: Lincoln v Burnley, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Luton 1–2 Burnley · Premier League
- Venue: Kenilworth Road · Luton, Bedfordshire
- Referee: P. Bankes
- Head-to-head (last 2): Luton 0 · draws 1 · Burnley 1 · 1.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Luton 1W 1D 3L · Burnley 1W 1D 3L
Luton 1–2 Burnley (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 September 2023. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Luton for / against | Line | Burnley for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.57 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.13 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11 for · 16.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.88 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.57 for · 5.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.25 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.71 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.5 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: P. Bankes — 3.76 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 21.59 fouls over 17 matches (1.76 to the home side, 2 to the away side).
Luton
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Berry n 8 | 39.6 | 2.6 | 0.9 | — |
| M. Nakamba n 8 | 85.1 | 2 | 1.3 | — |
| A. Doughty n 8 | 56.1 | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| E. Adebayo n 8 | 41.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 | — |
| A. Sambi Lokonga n 8 | 69.8 | 1.5 | 1.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Woodrow n 8 | 37.3 | 3 | 1.2 |
| R. Barkley n 8 | 40.9 | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| J. Brown n 8 | 51 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| C. Morris n 8 | 80.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| E. Adebayo n 8 | 41.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Berry n 8 | 39.6 | 0 | 0.6 |
| C. Morris n 8 | 80.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| A. Doughty n 8 | 56.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| T. Lockyer n 8 | 70.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| R. Barkley n 8 | 40.9 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Nakamba n 8 | 85.1 | 4.2 |
| A. Bell n 8 | 82.1 | 3.6 |
| T. Chong n 8 | 76 | 2.5 |
| I. Kaboré n 8 | 59.3 | 2.5 |
| L. Berry n 8 | 39.6 | 2 |
Burnley
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rodríguez n 8 | 35.4 | 2.5 | 0.3 | — |
| J. Cork n 8 | 31.3 | 2.2 | 1.8 | — |
| Zeki Amdouni n 8 | 59 | 1.9 | 1.9 | — |
| L. Foster n 8 | 70.1 | 1.8 | 0.8 | — |
| M. Trésor n 8 | 61.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rodríguez n 8 | 35.4 | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| Zeki Amdouni n 8 | 59 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| J. Bruun Larsen n 8 | 35.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| L. Foster n 8 | 70.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| W. Odobert n 8 | 64 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Redmond n 8 | 56.5 | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| A. Zaroury n 8 | 63.6 | 0 | 0.7 |
| M. Trésor n 8 | 61.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| A. Ramsey n 8 | 54 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| J. Brownhill n 8 | 73.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Beyer n 8 | 85.6 | 3.5 |
| J. Cullen n 8 | 80.1 | 2.2 |
| A. Ramsey n 8 | 54 | 1.9 |
| L. Foster n 8 | 70.1 | 1.8 |
| S. Berge n 8 | 57.8 | 1.8 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Luton | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| 49% | Possession | 51% |
| 1.34 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.11 |
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 10 | Shots off target | 8 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 15 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 6 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 370 | Passes | 412 |
| 69% | Pass accuracy | 72% |
Luton player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Kaminski | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| T. Mengi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| T. Lockyer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| P. Mpanzu | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Nakamba | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Y | 6.6 |
| A. Doughty | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| C. Ogbene | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| C. Morris | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| J. Brown | 69 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | Y | 6.9 |
| I. Kaboré | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Bell | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| R. Burke sub | 69 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Y | 7 |
| E. Adebayo sub | 28 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| T. Chong sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.6 |
Burnley player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Trafford | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Connor Roberts | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Y | 7 |
| A. Al Dakhil | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Beyer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| C. Taylor | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 7.2 |
| S. Berge | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| J. Cullen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| J. Brownhill | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| L. Foster | 80 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| L. Koleosho | 74 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Zeki Amdouni | 74 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Bruun Larsen sub | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Ramsey sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Rodríguez sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| H. Delcroix sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Luton v Burnley — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2023-02-18 Luton 0–1 Burnley
- 2022-08-06 Burnley 1–1 Luton
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Luton and Burnley?
- In their last 2 meetings, Luton won 0, Burnley won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Luton and Burnley?
- Recent form — Luton 1W 1D 3L; Burnley 1W 1D 3L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.