This Matchweek

LincolnBurnley

Lincoln v Burnley result

Full-time · Lincoln 4–1 Burnley

Championship · · LNER Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lincoln · Burnley

The model’s pre-match pick

Lincoln 4–1 Burnley — Lincoln won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.31 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Lincoln beat Burnley 4–1 at LNER Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 24 October. Burnley have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Burnley: Andréas Hountondji (39’, assisted by Lucas Pires); Lincoln: Benjamin House (45’, assisted by Andrei Coubiș), Mikkel Ladefoged (49’; 67’, assisted by Benjamin House) and Dominic Jefferies (57’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Mikkel Ladefoged’s goal on 49 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Lincoln 2.13, Burnley 2.46, from 21 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Thomas Parsons, England showed two yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Lincoln: Benjamin House (73’); Burnley: Grégoire Coudert (67’).

What it changes

Lincoln move up from 16th to 14th (12 league matches played). Lincoln have scored 14 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Lincoln have conceded 24 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Burnley move down from 21st to 22nd (12 league matches played). Burnley have scored 18 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Burnley have conceded 26 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Burnley are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mikkel Ladefoged (Lincoln) 9.0, Lucas Pires (Burnley) 8.2 and Benjamin House (Lincoln) 8.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Lincoln or Burnley (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.6% of the time in the last 90 days (3983 of 5130).

Next up

Lincoln next travel to QPR on 7 November 2026.

Burnley next travel to Cardiff on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lincoln: QPR v Lincoln, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Burnley: Cardiff v Burnley, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Lincoln 4–1 Burnley · Championship
  • Venue: LNER Stadium · Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Referee: Thomas Parsons, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Lincoln 1W 1D 3L · Burnley 1W 2D 2L

Lincoln 4–1 Burnley (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.5
Goals
against 2.25 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
2.5 / 4.5
Corners
against 8.88 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 5.75 / 5.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLincoln for / againstLineBurnley for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.75our book
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
2.5 for · 8.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
9.75 for · 18.88 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 14.13 against n 8
Shots on target
2.75 for · 5.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12 for · 11.88 against n 8
21.5standard
10.25 for · 9.38 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8

Referee: Thomas Parsons, England.

Lincoln

Lincoln Goalkeeper

Lincoln — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Wickens12901085 min413.4 /90121 /9000 /90
J. Gauci290180 min63 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Lincoln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Wickens n 890
2.98/3

Lincoln Defensive

Lincoln — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Elerewe13841096 min141.1 /90201.6 /9080.7 /90625.1 /90131.1 /9020.2 /90
R. Towler1177842 min91 /90151.6 /90111.2 /90353.7 /9050.5 /9020.2 /90
S. Bradley874594 min40.6 /9030.5 /9060.9 /90324.8 /9010.2 /9000 /90
Andrei Coubiș868544 min91.5 /9091.5 /9000 /90284.6 /9071.2 /9010.2 /90
C. Elder587433 min122.5 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90214.4 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90
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Lincoln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Elerewe n 880.1
15/2
0.83/2
K. Walker
F. Draper n 867.3
3.77/4
2.26/4
—
R. Street n 859.5
1.35/2
1.75/3
—
G. Wickens n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
R. Hackett n 866.8
0.32/0
0.53/0
J. Laurent
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Lincoln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Elerewe n 880.1
15/2
F. Draper n 867.3
0.84/1
R. Street n 859.5
1.55/1
R. Hackett n 866.8
2.26/5
A. Reach n 881.4
1.87/4
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Lincoln Attacking

Lincoln — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Draper1364835 min20.2 /9010.1 /90161.7 /9070.8 /90111.2 /9030.3 /90
R. Street1354706 min20.3 /9000 /90101.3 /9030.4 /9070.9 /9010.1 /90
B. House1173801 min20.2 /9010.1 /90131.5 /9060.7 /9030.3 /9040.4 /90
C. Ogbene646274 min00 /9000 /9041.3 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9041.3 /90
I. Olaofe535177 min10.5 /9000 /9021 /9010.5 /9000 /9021 /90
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Lincoln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Elerewe n 880.1
0.75/0
0.11/0
F. Draper n 867.3
27/3
0.84/1
R. Street n 859.5
1.14/1
0.42/0
G. Wickens n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Hackett n 866.8
1.33/2
0.51/1
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Lincoln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Elerewe n 880.1
00/0
00/0
F. Draper n 867.3
0.32/0
00/0
R. Street n 859.5
0.21/0
00/0
G. Wickens n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Hackett n 866.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Burnley

Burnley Goalkeeper

Burnley — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Weiß790630 min152.1 /90162.3 /9000 /90
G. Coudert490360 min164 /9051.3 /9000 /90
Burnley — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Weiß n 890
2.36/3
G. Coudert n 490
44/3

Burnley Defensive

Burnley — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Walker990810 min131.4 /90101.1 /9080.9 /90343.8 /9060.7 /9020.2 /90
Igor686518 min91.6 /9071.2 /9061 /90234 /9061 /9020.3 /90
Connor Roberts683495 min61.1 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90152.7 /9050.9 /9000 /90
A. Ahmedhodžić682494 min81.5 /9081.5 /9091.6 /90224 /9040.7 /9010.2 /90
O. Sonne681487 min71.3 /9061.1 /9010.2 /90142.6 /9050.9 /9010.2 /90
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Burnley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Max Alleyne n 881.8
0.32/0
0.42/1
—
J. Laurent n 888.4
1.37/3
1.37/2
R. Hackett
K. Walker n 890
0.64/1
0.43/0
D. Elerewe
J. Bruun Larsen n 866.1
00/0
0.53/0
—
Zeki Amdouni n 858
1.74/3
13/1
—
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Burnley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Max Alleyne n 881.8
1.57/3
J. Laurent n 888.4
1.16/3
K. Walker n 890
1.66/4
J. Bruun Larsen n 866.1
0.52/1
Zeki Amdouni n 858
0.82/2
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Burnley Attacking

Burnley — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Zeki Amdouni955497 min30.5 /9010.2 /90162.9 /9081.4 /9050.9 /9071.3 /90
Marcus Edwards747330 min10.3 /9000 /9051.4 /9030.8 /9082.2 /9051.4 /90
D. Satpaev550249 min00 /9000 /9041.4 /9031.1 /9051.8 /9062.2 /90
J. Vardy540201 min10.4 /9000 /9052.2 /9020.9 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Broja438150 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9021.2 /90
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Burnley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Max Alleyne n 881.8
0.11/0
00/0
J. Laurent n 888.4
1.15/3
0.42/1
K. Walker n 890
0.11/0
00/0
J. Bruun Larsen n 866.1
1.24/3
0.93/2
Zeki Amdouni n 858
2.96/4
1.64/3
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Burnley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Max Alleyne n 881.8
00/0
00/0
J. Laurent n 888.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
K. Walker n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Bruun Larsen n 866.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
Zeki Amdouni n 858
0.63/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LincolnBurnley
50%Possession50%
2.13Expected goals (xG)2.46
21Shots8
7Shots on target4
8Shots off target3
6Blocked shots1
12Shots inside the box7
2Corners5
3Offsides0
10Fouls9
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves3
415Passes418
80%Pass accuracy73%

Lincoln Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Reach9000100206.7
Andrei Coubiș9001003007.3
D. Elerewe9000102006.3
B. House90113211Y7.3
Y. Konak9000001207.3
G. Wickens9000100008.2
D. Jefferies8910221407.3
C. McGrandles8900101106.6
S. Bradley8100000007.9
R. Hackett8100111007.3
M. Ladefoged8120421008.2
C. Ogbene sub900000006.7
R. Street sub900100006.7
R. Towler sub900000006.2
D. Oyegoke sub10000000–
Ivan Varfolomeev sub10000100–

Burnley Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Ekdal9000000106
Igor9000000005.9
J. Laurent9000000206.2
Lucas Pires9001002507.2
L. Ramazani9000101206.9
G. Coudert90000000Y4.7
Max Alleyne7400110006.3
R. Hatate7400000206.3
D. Satpaev5900111006.3
K. Walker4500000307.2
A. Broja1300000006.2
A. Hountondji sub7710210007.7
Connor Roberts sub4500000105.9
O. Sonne sub3100000006.2
Marcus Edwards sub1600111006.9
U. Raghouber sub1600100206.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lincoln v Burnley — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LincolnWLLLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
BurnleyLDWDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Lincoln#19 pos15 pts14 pl-10 GD
Burnley#22 pos10 pts14 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Lincoln scored1
Burnley scored1.29
Lincoln conceded1.71
Burnley conceded1.86

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lincoln v Burnley?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lincoln v Burnley was Home or Away (best price 1.31 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Lincoln and Burnley?
Recent form — Lincoln 1W 1D 3L; Burnley 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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