Newcastle v Nottingham Forest result
Team pages: Newcastle · Nottingham Forest · Head-to-head
Newcastle 2–0 Nottingham Forest — Newcastle won this Premier League match.
What xG said
xG said Newcastle: 3.92 to 0.34 in expected goals, from 18 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the 10th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Newcastle beat Nottingham Forest 2–0 at St. James' Park in the Premier League on Sunday 5 October. Nottingham Forest are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Newcastle: Bruno Guimarães (58’, assisted by D. Burn) and Nick Woltemade (84’ pen).
Discipline
P. Bankes showed four yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Nottingham Forest: Ryan Yates (32’), Neco Williams (34’), Morato (68’) and Elliot Anderson (83’).
What it changes
Newcastle move up from 15th to 11th (seven league matches played).
Nottingham Forest move down from 16th to 17th (seven league matches played).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle) 9.1, Nick Woltemade (Newcastle) 6.9 and Sandro Tonali (Newcastle) 4.7 led the match.
Next up
Newcastle next travel to Crystal Palace on 25 October 2026.
Nottingham Forest next travel to Ipswich on 23 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Newcastle: Crystal Palace v Newcastle, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Nottingham Forest: Ipswich v Nottingham Forest, Friday 23 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Newcastle 2–0 Nottingham Forest · Premier League
- Venue: St. James' Park · Newcastle upon Tyne
- Referee: P. Bankes
- Head-to-head (last 6): Newcastle 4 · draws 1 · Nottingham Forest 1 · 4.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Newcastle 2W 1D 2L · Nottingham Forest 0W 2D 3L
Newcastle 2–0 Nottingham Forest (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 October 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Newcastle for / against | Line | Nottingham Forest for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.88 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.75 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.88 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.5 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.63 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.5 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.25 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.38 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: P. Bankes — 3.76 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 21.59 fouls over 17 matches (1.76 to the home side, 2 to the away side).
Newcastle
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Osula n 8 | 34.9 | 4.5 | 0.6 | — |
| J. Willock n 8 | 41.1 | 2.2 | 0.8 | — |
| Joelinton n 8 | 77.6 | 1.7 | 1 | E. Anderson |
| N. Woltemade n 8 | 60.5 | 1.5 | 2.2 | Morgan Gibbs-White |
| D. Burn n 8 | 90 | 1.4 | 0.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gordon n 8 | 73.6 | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| W. Osula n 8 | 34.9 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| H. Barnes n 8 | 39.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| J. Murphy n 8 | 56.4 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| N. Woltemade n 8 | 60.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Osula n 8 | 34.9 | 1 | 0.3 |
| N. Woltemade n 8 | 60.5 | 0.7 | 0 |
| H. Barnes n 8 | 39.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| A. Gordon n 8 | 73.6 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Bruno Guimarães n 8 | 88.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Lewis Hall n 8 | 60.1 | 5.4 |
| J. Willock n 8 | 41.1 | 3 |
| A. Murphy n 8 | 71.8 | 2.7 |
| Bruno Guimarães n 8 | 88.8 | 2 |
| L. Miley n 8 | 44.6 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Pope n 8 | 90 | 3 |
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Yates n 8 | 23.1 | 3.4 | 1.9 | — |
| Igor Jesus n 8 | 33.1 | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Anderson n 8 | 90 | 1.6 | 2.9 | Joelinton |
| Morgan Gibbs-White n 8 | 73.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | N. Woltemade |
| I. Sangaré n 8 | 67.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wood n 8 | 66.3 | 3.2 | 1.5 |
| Igor Jesus n 8 | 33.1 | 3.1 | 2.7 |
| C. Hudson-Odoi n 8 | 58 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Morgan Gibbs-White n 8 | 73.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| O. Hutchinson n 8 | 61 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Jesus n 8 | 33.1 | 1.4 | 0 |
| D. Ndoye n 8 | 69.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| D. Bakwa n 8 | 46.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Morgan Gibbs-White n 8 | 73.5 | 0 | 0.3 |
| C. Wood n 8 | 66.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Anderson n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
| N. Williams n 8 | 86.4 | 2.7 |
| O. Zinchenko n 8 | 76.3 | 2.5 |
| Morato n 8 | 76.1 | 2.1 |
| Douglas Luiz n 8 | 33.9 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Sels n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
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Match statistics & details
| Newcastle | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| 51% | Possession | 49% |
| 3.45 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.30 |
| 18 | Shots | 5 |
| 9 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 1 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 0 |
| 13 | Shots inside the box | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 7 |
| 464 | Passes | 452 |
| 83% | Pass accuracy | 82% |
Newcastle player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Pope | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| K. Trippier | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7.3 |
| M. Thiaw | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| S. Botman | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| D. Burn | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Bruno Guimarães | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9.5 |
| S. Tonali | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Joelinton | 89 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| N. Woltemade | 89 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Elanga | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| A. Gordon | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| H. Barnes sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Murphy sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| L. Miley sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| W. Osula sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Nottingham Forest player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sels | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.6 |
| Jair | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| N. Milenković | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| N. Savona | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| E. Anderson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.9 |
| N. Williams | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Y | 7.2 |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Morato | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 7 |
| D. Ndoye | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Yates | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.5 |
| C. Wood | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Hudson-Odoi sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Igor Jesus sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| O. Hutchinson sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| D. Bakwa sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Newcastle v Nottingham Forest — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-02-23 Newcastle 4–3 Nottingham Forest
- 2024-11-10 Nottingham Forest 1–3 Newcastle
- 2024-08-28 Nottingham Forest 1–1 Newcastle
- 2024-02-10 Nottingham Forest 2–3 Newcastle
- 2023-12-26 Newcastle 1–3 Nottingham Forest
- 2023-03-17 Nottingham Forest 1–2 Newcastle
Shot map and expected goals
Newcastle 3.92 xG from 18 shots, Nottingham Forest 0.34 from 5. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 18 | 2 | 3.92 |
| Nottingham Forest | 5 | 0 | 0.34 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle and Nottingham Forest?
- In their last 6 meetings, Newcastle won 4, Nottingham Forest won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Newcastle and Nottingham Forest?
- Recent form — Newcastle 2W 1D 2L; Nottingham Forest 0W 2D 3L.
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