Newcastle v Nottingham Forest result

Full-time · Newcastle 2–0 Nottingham Forest

Premier League · · St. James' Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Newcastle 2–0 Nottingham Forest — Newcastle won this Premier League match.

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Newcastle: 3.92 to 0.34 in expected goals, from 18 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the 10th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Newcastle beat Nottingham Forest 2–0 at St. James' Park in the Premier League on Sunday 5 October. Nottingham Forest are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Newcastle: Bruno Guimarães (58’, assisted by D. Burn) and Nick Woltemade (84’ pen).

Discipline

P. Bankes showed four yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Nottingham Forest: Ryan Yates (32’), Neco Williams (34’), Morato (68’) and Elliot Anderson (83’).

What it changes

Newcastle move up from 15th to 11th (seven league matches played).

Nottingham Forest move down from 16th to 17th (seven league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle) 9.1, Nick Woltemade (Newcastle) 6.9 and Sandro Tonali (Newcastle) 4.7 led the match.

Next up

Newcastle next travel to Crystal Palace on 25 October 2026.

Nottingham Forest next travel to Ipswich on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Newcastle: Crystal Palace v Newcastle, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Nottingham Forest: Ipswich v Nottingham Forest, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Newcastle 2–0 Nottingham Forest · Premier League
  • Venue: St. James' Park · Newcastle upon Tyne
  • Referee: P. Bankes
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Newcastle 4 · draws 1 · Nottingham Forest 1 · 4.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Newcastle 2W 1D 2L · Nottingham Forest 0W 2D 3L

Newcastle 2–0 Nottingham Forest (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1
Goals
against 1 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 5.75
Corners
against 5.13 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 4.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 2
Cards
against 2.5 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.76 yellows
Referee · P. Bankes
1.76 home / 2 away
over 17 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 October 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 October 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNewcastle for / againstLineNottingham Forest for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
12 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
14.88 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
12.25 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: P. Bankes — 3.76 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 21.59 fouls over 17 matches (1.76 to the home side, 2 to the away side).

Newcastle
Newcastle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Osula n 834.9
4.55/4
0.62/0
—
J. Willock n 841.1
2.26/2
0.83/0
—
Joelinton n 877.6
1.78/3
15/2
E. Anderson
N. Woltemade n 860.5
1.55/1
2.26/4
Morgan Gibbs-White
D. Burn n 890
1.47/3
0.53/1
—
Newcastle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Gordon n 873.6
2.47/4
1.56/3
W. Osula n 834.9
1.92/1
1.62/1
H. Barnes n 839.3
1.74/2
0.92/1
J. Murphy n 856.4
1.63/3
0.83/1
N. Woltemade n 860.5
1.54/2
0.94/1
Newcastle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Osula n 834.9
12/1
0.31/0
N. Woltemade n 860.5
0.74/0
00/0
H. Barnes n 839.3
0.31/0
0.31/0
A. Gordon n 873.6
0.52/1
00/0
Bruno Guimarães n 888.8
0.11/0
0.31/1
Newcastle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Lewis Hall n 860.1
5.48/5
J. Willock n 841.1
36/2
A. Murphy n 871.8
2.77/6
Bruno Guimarães n 888.8
27/6
L. Miley n 844.6
25/3
Newcastle — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Pope n 890
36/5
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Yates n 823.1
3.43/2
1.92/1
—
Igor Jesus n 833.1
25/1
12/1
—
E. Anderson n 890
1.65/5
2.97/6
Joelinton
Morgan Gibbs-White n 873.5
1.47/2
0.64/0
N. Woltemade
I. Sangaré n 867.5
1.33/2
0.21/0
—
Nottingham Forest — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Wood n 866.3
3.28/6
1.57/2
Igor Jesus n 833.1
3.16/2
2.75/2
C. Hudson-Odoi n 858
1.65/2
14/1
Morgan Gibbs-White n 873.5
1.58/2
0.64/0
O. Hutchinson n 861
1.55/3
0.73/1
Nottingham Forest — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Igor Jesus n 833.1
1.42/2
00/0
D. Ndoye n 869.5
0.21/0
0.52/1
D. Bakwa n 846.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Morgan Gibbs-White n 873.5
00/0
0.32/0
C. Wood n 866.3
0.32/0
00/0
Nottingham Forest — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Anderson n 890
2.88/6
N. Williams n 886.4
2.78/7
O. Zinchenko n 876.3
2.57/5
Morato n 876.1
2.17/3
Douglas Luiz n 833.9
24/1
Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Sels n 890
2.67/3

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NewcastleNottingham Forest
51%Possession49%
3.45Expected goals (xG)0.30
18Shots5
9Shots on target4
4Shots off target1
5Blocked shots0
13Shots inside the box4
8Corners1
0Offsides2
16Fouls15
0Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
4Saves7
464Passes452
83%Pass accuracy82%

Newcastle player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Pope9000000006.6
K. Trippier9000003307.3
M. Thiaw9000211107.2
S. Botman9000111107.5
D. Burn9001001106.9
Bruno Guimarães9010111309.5
S. Tonali9000212307.2
Joelinton8900321106.6
N. Woltemade8910211207.2
A. Elanga7000002006.2
A. Gordon7000000106.3
H. Barnes sub2000110006.5
J. Murphy sub2000112007
L. Miley sub10000000–
W. Osula sub10000000–

Nottingham Forest player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Sels9000000008.6
Jair9000000206.7
N. Milenković9000000106.5
N. Savona9000000006.2
E. Anderson90000002Y6.9
N. Williams90001114Y7.2
Morgan Gibbs-White9000210007
Morato77000001Y7
D. Ndoye6500002106.9
R. Yates64001100Y6.5
C. Wood6400000006.3
C. Hudson-Odoi sub2600110006.6
Igor Jesus sub2600000206.6
O. Hutchinson sub2500000006.5
D. Bakwa sub1300001006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Newcastle v Nottingham Forest — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NewcastleLDWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Nottingham ForestLDDLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Newcastle 4 · 1 draw · Nottingham Forest 1 · 4.17 goals/game
  • 2025-02-23 Newcastle 4–3 Nottingham Forest
  • 2024-11-10 Nottingham Forest 1–3 Newcastle
  • 2024-08-28 Nottingham Forest 1–1 Newcastle
  • 2024-02-10 Nottingham Forest 2–3 Newcastle
  • 2023-12-26 Newcastle 1–3 Nottingham Forest
  • 2023-03-17 Nottingham Forest 1–2 Newcastle
League standing · 2025/26
Newcastle#12 pos49 pts38 pl-2 GD
Nottingham Forest#16 pos44 pts38 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Newcastle scored1.39
Nottingham Forest scored1.26
Newcastle conceded1.45
Nottingham Forest conceded1.34

Shot map and expected goals

Newcastle 3.92 xG from 18 shots, Nottingham Forest 0.34 from 5. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Nick Woltemade 73' · 0.63 xGNick Woltemade 51' · 0.58 xGMalick Thiaw 79' · 0.44 xGJoelinton 14' · 0.43 xGHarvey Barnes 80' · 0.35 xGSven Botman 73' · 0.13 xGJacob Murphy 96' · 0.12 xGJoelinton 10' · 0.11 xGJacob Murphy 77' · 0.10 xGCallum Hudson-Odoi 77' · 0.09 xGJoelinton 44' · 0.08 xGMorgan Gibbs-White 19' · 0.08 xGNeco Williams 55' · 0.07 xGRyan Yates 61' · 0.05 xGAnthony Gordon 48' · 0.04 xGMorgan Gibbs-White 78' · 0.04 xGMalick Thiaw 73' · 0.03 xGSandro Tonali 72' · 0.03 xGSandro Tonali 44' · 0.02 xGBruno Guimarães 43' · 0.02 xGJoelinton 16' · 0.01 xGNick Woltemade 83' · 0.76 xG · goalBruno Guimarães 57' · 0.03 xG · goal
Newcastle (attacking right)Nottingham Forest (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Newcastle1823.92
Nottingham Forest500.34

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle and Nottingham Forest?
In their last 6 meetings, Newcastle won 4, Nottingham Forest won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Newcastle and Nottingham Forest?
Recent form — Newcastle 2W 1D 2L; Nottingham Forest 0W 2D 3L.

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