Newcastle v Nottingham Forest prediction

Premier League ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Newcastle · Nottingham Forest · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Newcastle v Nottingham Forest, Premier League on Wed, 30 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Newcastle host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Wednesday 30 December (kick-off 20:00 UK).

The key numbers

Nottingham Forest have scored five goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Newcastle are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Nottingham Forest, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Nine of Newcastle’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Newcastle’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Newcastle have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.50. Newcastle have scored 10 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Newcastle have conceded 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Nottingham Forest’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Nottingham Forest’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Nottingham Forest have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 2.00. Nottingham Forest have conceded nine goals, the ninth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Nottingham Forest have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Newcastle (11th) and Nottingham Forest (19th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Nottingham Forest the stronger side, 41 rating points above Newcastle (Nottingham Forest 1528, Newcastle 1487, after at least 159 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Nottingham Forest 1–1 Newcastle.

Team news

Predicted Newcastle XI (4-2-3-1): L. Horníček, S. Botman, M. Thiaw, L. Hall, A. Dedić, H. Barnes, J. Willock, N. González, L. Miley, J. Murphy, Y. Wissa — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lewis Hall (5.7 per match over nine appearances, one goal and two assists) and Harvey Barnes (4.4 per match over nine appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Newcastle’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Newcastle (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lewis Hall averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 1102 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Harvey Barnes averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 785 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Nottingham Forest XI (3-4-2-1): M. Sels, Murillo, Jair, O. Diomande, N. Williams, J. McAtee, X. Schlager, D. Muñoz, O. Aina, I. Sangaré, M. Gibbs-White — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Morgan Gibbs-White (4.7 per match over six appearances, one goal and two assists) and Xaver Schlager (3.6 per match over eight appearances) have been Nottingham Forest’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Nottingham Forest (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Morgan Gibbs-White averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 591 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances. Xaver Schlager averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 1361 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Newcastle 4 · draws 2 · Nottingham Forest 0 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Newcastle 2W 0D 3L · Nottingham Forest 1W 1D 3L

Newcastle v Nottingham Forest (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.38 / 4.5
Corners
against 4.25 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2.5
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNewcastle for / againstLineNottingham Forest for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
0.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.38 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
14.25 for · 14.5 against n 8
19.5standard
16 for · 10.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
14.25 for · 11.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
Newcastle
Newcastle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Joelinton n 870.1
2.98/5
0.52/1
—
Nico González n 867.3
2.86/5
0.83/1
—
A. Bamba n 841
2.75/1
1.44/1
—
J. Ramsey n 856.4
25/3
12/1
—
B. Touré n 822.9
23/1
0.51/0
—
Newcastle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Woltemade n 848.8
36/4
1.23/1
J. Willock n 865.1
2.98/5
0.93/1
H. Barnes n 884.3
2.58/7
1.26/2
B. Touré n 822.9
2.53/2
23/1
Y. Wissa n 876.5
2.47/4
0.43/0
Newcastle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Touré n 822.9
12/0
00/0
W. Osula n 856.8
0.62/1
0.21/0
H. Barnes n 884.3
0.42/1
0.31/1
A. Elanga n 862.5
0.74/0
00/0
J. Ramsey n 856.4
0.21/0
0.42/0
Newcastle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Ramsey n 856.4
3.86/5
A. Bamba n 841
3.66/2
B. Touré n 822.9
34/2
Lewis Hall n 886.4
2.38/4
T. Livramento n 851
24/3
Newcastle — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Horníček n 890
2.87/5
E. Jaouen n 890
2.35/2
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Muñoz n 862
2.46/3
0.93/1
—
X. Schlager n 887
1.88/5
1.46/3
—
L. Delap n 868.3
1.86/4
1.36/2
—
Murillo n 882.3
1.55/2
0.32/0
—
Igor Jesus n 861.3
1.55/1
27/2
—
Nottingham Forest — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Ndoye n 876.6
3.78/8
1.96/4
L. Delap n 868.3
2.66/4
0.53/0
C. Wood n 833.1
1.44/0
0.72/0
N. Williams n 890
1.36/3
0.43/0
Igor Jesus n 861.3
1.36/1
1.16/0
Nottingham Forest — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Ndoye n 876.6
0.43/0
0.42/1
C. Hudson-Odoi n 835.8
00/0
0.62/0
O. Hutchinson n 844.3
00/0
0.52/0
L. Delap n 868.3
0.21/0
00/0
Igor Jesus n 861.3
0.21/0
00/0
Nottingham Forest — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Domínguez n 855
3.37/6
I. Sangaré n 850.9
3.35/3
L. Netz n 844.1
3.35/2
X. Schlager n 887
3.17/5
O. Aina n 877.3
2.66/6
Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Sels n 890
2.36/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Newcastle v Nottingham Forest — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NewcastleWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
Nottingham ForestDWLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Newcastle 4 · 2 draws · Nottingham Forest 0 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-05-10 Nottingham Forest 1–1 Newcastle
  • 2025-10-05 Newcastle 2–0 Nottingham Forest
  • 2025-02-23 Newcastle 4–3 Nottingham Forest
  • 2024-11-10 Nottingham Forest 1–3 Newcastle
  • 2024-08-28 Nottingham Forest 1–1 Newcastle
  • 2024-02-10 Nottingham Forest 2–3 Newcastle
League standing · 2026/27
Newcastle#11 pos8 pts7 pl-4 GD
Nottingham Forest#19 pos5 pts7 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Newcastle scored1.43
Nottingham Forest scored0.71
Newcastle conceded2
Nottingham Forest conceded1.29

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle and Nottingham Forest?
In their last 6 meetings, Newcastle won 4, Nottingham Forest won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Newcastle and Nottingham Forest?
Recent form — Newcastle 2W 0D 3L; Nottingham Forest 1W 1D 3L.

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