Newcastle v Tottenham prediction

Premier League ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Newcastle v Tottenham, Premier League on Sat, 17 Apr 2027 15:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Newcastle host Tottenham in the Premier League on Saturday 17 April (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Newcastle are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Tottenham, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Nine of Newcastle’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Newcastle’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Newcastle have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.50. Newcastle have scored 10 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Newcastle have conceded 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Eight of Tottenham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Tottenham’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Tottenham have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.43. Tottenham have scored six goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Tottenham have conceded 10 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Newcastle (11th) and Tottenham (16th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Tottenham the stronger side, 52 rating points above Newcastle (Tottenham 1539, Newcastle 1487, after at least 349 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 29 August 2026, finished Tottenham 0–2 Newcastle.

Team news

Predicted Newcastle XI (4-2-3-1): L. Horníček, S. Botman, M. Thiaw, L. Hall, A. Dedić, H. Barnes, J. Willock, N. González, L. Miley, J. Murphy, Y. Wissa — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lewis Hall (5.7 per match over nine appearances, one goal and two assists) and Harvey Barnes (4.4 per match over nine appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Newcastle’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Newcastle (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lewis Hall averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 1102 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Harvey Barnes averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 785 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Tottenham XI (4-2-3-1): A. Kinský, J. van Hecke, M. van de Ven, A. Robertson, A. Gray, S. Tonali, R. Bentancur, Sávio, M. Fernandes, M. Kudus, D. Solanke — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Senesi (4.6 per match over three appearances) and Mikey Moore (4.5 per match over three appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Tottenham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Tottenham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Senesi averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 413 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last six appearances. Mikey Moore averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 496 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Newcastle 5 · draws 1 · Tottenham 0 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Newcastle 2W 0D 3L · Tottenham 1W 2D 2L

Newcastle v Tottenham (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.38 / 7.88
Corners
against 4.25 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 5
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.5
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNewcastle for / againstLineTottenham for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.38 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
7.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
14.25 for · 14.5 against n 8
19.5standard
15.88 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
12.38 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.38 against n 8
Newcastle
Newcastle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Joelinton n 870.1
2.98/5
0.52/1
—
Nico González n 867.3
2.86/5
0.83/1
—
A. Bamba n 841
2.75/1
1.44/1
—
J. Ramsey n 856.4
25/3
12/1
—
B. Touré n 822.9
23/1
0.51/0
—
Newcastle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Woltemade n 848.8
36/4
1.23/1
J. Willock n 865.1
2.98/5
0.93/1
H. Barnes n 884.3
2.58/7
1.26/2
B. Touré n 822.9
2.53/2
23/1
Y. Wissa n 876.5
2.47/4
0.43/0
Newcastle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Touré n 822.9
12/0
00/0
W. Osula n 856.8
0.62/1
0.21/0
H. Barnes n 884.3
0.42/1
0.31/1
A. Elanga n 862.5
0.74/0
00/0
J. Ramsey n 856.4
0.21/0
0.42/0
Newcastle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Ramsey n 856.4
3.86/5
A. Bamba n 841
3.66/2
B. Touré n 822.9
34/2
Lewis Hall n 886.4
2.38/4
T. Livramento n 851
24/3
Newcastle — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Horníček n 890
2.87/5
E. Jaouen n 890
2.35/2
Tottenham
Tottenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Bentancur n 867.3
2.35/4
0.32/0
—
Mateus Fernandes n 845.5
2.25/2
0.73/0
—
D. Solanke n 851.5
24/3
1.13/2
—
C. Gallagher n 860.6
1.96/2
2.26/3
—
L. Bergvall n 860.3
1.95/2
1.14/2
—
Tottenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Maddison n 823.5
3.44/3
1.93/1
M. Moore n 862
2.57/4
1.55/2
D. Solanke n 851.5
2.26/2
0.93/1
M. Kudus n 846.4
2.25/3
0.52/0
Mateus Fernandes n 845.5
1.75/2
0.73/0
Tottenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Solanke n 851.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
M. Kudus n 846.4
00/0
0.52/0
Mateus Fernandes n 845.5
00/0
0.52/0
J. Maddison n 823.5
0.51/0
00/0
M. Moore n 862
0.21/0
0.21/0
Tottenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Maddison n 823.5
3.83/2
R. Bentancur n 867.3
2.77/4
C. Gallagher n 860.6
2.67/4
D. Udogie n 855.8
2.26/4
Mateus Fernandes n 845.5
2.25/3
Tottenham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Dúbravka n 890
36/4
A. Kinský n 890
2.55/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Newcastle v Tottenham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NewcastleWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
TottenhamDLLDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Newcastle 5 · 1 draw · Tottenham 0 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-08-29 Tottenham 0–2 Newcastle
  • 2026-02-10 Tottenham 1–2 Newcastle
  • 2025-12-02 Newcastle 2–2 Tottenham
  • 2025-10-29 Newcastle 2–0 Tottenham
  • 2025-01-04 Tottenham 1–2 Newcastle
  • 2024-09-01 Newcastle 2–1 Tottenham
League standing · 2026/27
Newcastle#11 pos8 pts7 pl-4 GD
Tottenham#16 pos6 pts7 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Newcastle scored1.43
Tottenham scored0.86
Newcastle conceded2
Tottenham conceded1.43

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle and Tottenham?
In their last 6 meetings, Newcastle won 5, Tottenham won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Newcastle and Tottenham?
Recent form — Newcastle 2W 0D 3L; Tottenham 1W 2D 2L.

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