Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa prediction

Premier League · · City Ground

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa, Premier League on Sat, 20 Mar 2027 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Nottingham Forest host Aston Villa in the Premier League on Saturday 20 March (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Nottingham Forest have scored five goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

12 of Aston Villa’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Aston Villa have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Nottingham Forest’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Nottingham Forest’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Nottingham Forest have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.38 and conceding 0.88. Nottingham Forest have conceded nine goals, the ninth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Both teams scored in nine of Aston Villa’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Aston Villa have six wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 2.11 points per game, scoring 1.78 and conceding 1.33. Aston Villa have scored seven goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Aston Villa have conceded 11 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs.

Nottingham Forest have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Nottingham Forest (19th) and Aston Villa (12th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Aston Villa the stronger side, 158 rating points above Nottingham Forest (Aston Villa 1640, Nottingham Forest 1482, after at least 159 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 12 September 2026, finished Aston Villa 1–2 Nottingham Forest.

Team news

Predicted Nottingham Forest XI (3-4-2-1): M. Sels, Murillo, Jair, O. Diomande, N. Williams, J. McAtee, X. Schlager, D. Muñoz, O. Aina, I. Sangaré, L. Delap — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Morgan Gibbs-White (4.7 per match over six appearances, one goal and two assists) and Xaver Schlager (3.6 per match over eight appearances) have been Nottingham Forest’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Nottingham Forest (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Morgan Gibbs-White averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 591 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances. Xaver Schlager averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 1361 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Aston Villa XI (4-2-3-1): Z. Suzuki, V. Lindelöf, M. Cash, T. Mings, I. Maatsen, B. Kamara, J. McGinn, E. Buendía, R. Barkley, G. Hemmings, N. Jackson — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Johan Manzambi (5.5 per match over six appearances, three goals and two assists) and Nicolas Jackson (4.4 per match over 10 appearances, five goals) have been Aston Villa’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Aston Villa (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Johan Manzambi averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1023 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Nicolas Jackson averages 3.0 shots per 90 over 1078 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League · City Ground
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Nottingham Forest 2 · draws 1 · Aston Villa 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Nottingham Forest 1W 1D 3L · Aston Villa 4W 1D 0L

Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.63 / 2.75
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 5.63
Corners
against 4.5 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 7.5
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.88 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNottingham Forest for / againstLineAston Villa for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
2.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.63 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
16 for · 10.88 against n 8
19.5standard
17.13 for · 15.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
7.5 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.25 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 14.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 3.13 against n 8
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Muñoz n 862
2.46/3
0.93/1
—
X. Schlager n 887
1.88/5
1.46/3
—
L. Delap n 868.3
1.86/4
1.36/2
—
Murillo n 882.3
1.55/2
0.32/0
—
Igor Jesus n 861.3
1.55/1
27/2
—
Nottingham Forest — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Ndoye n 876.6
3.78/8
1.96/4
L. Delap n 868.3
2.66/4
0.53/0
C. Wood n 833.1
1.44/0
0.72/0
N. Williams n 890
1.36/3
0.43/0
Igor Jesus n 861.3
1.36/1
1.16/0
Nottingham Forest — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Ndoye n 876.6
0.43/0
0.42/1
C. Hudson-Odoi n 835.8
00/0
0.62/0
O. Hutchinson n 844.3
00/0
0.52/0
L. Delap n 868.3
0.21/0
00/0
Igor Jesus n 861.3
0.21/0
00/0
Nottingham Forest — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Domínguez n 855
3.37/6
I. Sangaré n 850.9
3.35/3
L. Netz n 844.1
3.35/2
X. Schlager n 887
3.17/5
O. Aina n 877.3
2.66/6
Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Sels n 890
2.36/3
Aston Villa
Aston Villa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Barkley n 846.5
2.75/4
1.54/1
—
João Gomes n 868
2.36/4
1.77/2
—
M. Cash n 872.8
26/4
0.84/1
—
B. Kamara n 884.4
1.97/4
2.35/5
—
George Hemmings n 860.4
1.96/4
0.92/1
—
Aston Villa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Jackson n 870.4
47/6
2.27/5
I. Mbaye n 843.5
3.67/4
1.65/1
E. Buendía n 868.5
37/5
1.13/3
J. Manzambi n 870.5
2.98/6
1.87/3
R. Barkley n 846.5
2.25/2
1.75/2
Aston Villa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Barkley n 846.5
13/1
0.52/0
T. Abraham n 824.3
1.42/1
00/0
J. Manzambi n 870.5
0.64/0
0.32/0
N. Jackson n 870.4
0.84/1
00/0
I. Mbaye n 843.5
00/0
0.83/0
Aston Villa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Garnacho n 819.4
5.24/2
João Gomes n 868
3.67/6
A. Wan-Bissaka n 864.3
37/6
M. Cash n 872.8
2.85/5
E. Buendía n 868.5
2.84/3
Aston Villa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Bizot n 879.6
3.87/5
Z. Suzuki n 878.8
3.47/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Nottingham ForestDWLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Aston VillaWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Nottingham Forest 2 · 1 draw · Aston Villa 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-09-12 Aston Villa 1–2 Nottingham Forest
  • 2026-05-07 Aston Villa 4–0 Nottingham Forest
  • 2026-04-30 Nottingham Forest 1–0 Aston Villa
  • 2026-04-12 Nottingham Forest 1–1 Aston Villa
  • 2026-01-03 Aston Villa 3–1 Nottingham Forest
  • 2025-04-05 Aston Villa 2–1 Nottingham Forest
League standing · 2026/27
Nottingham Forest#19 pos5 pts7 pl-4 GD
Aston Villa#12 pos8 pts7 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Nottingham Forest scored0.71
Aston Villa scored1
Nottingham Forest conceded1.29
Aston Villa conceded1.57

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa?
In their last 6 meetings, Nottingham Forest won 2, Aston Villa won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa?
Recent form — Nottingham Forest 1W 1D 3L; Aston Villa 4W 1D 0L.

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