Nottingham Forest v West Ham result

Full-time · Nottingham Forest 0–3 West Ham

Premier League · Sun, 31 Aug 2025 14:00 BST · Wembley Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nottingham Forest · West Ham · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Nottingham Forest 0–3 West Ham — West Ham won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.2% of 1550 landed (95% range 73–77.3%); it had given them 75% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said West Ham: 2.24 to 0.72 in expected goals, from 12 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the 87th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

West Ham won 3–0 at Wembley Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 31 August. It is West Ham’s first win over Nottingham Forest since 12 November 2023, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — West Ham: Jarrod Bowen (84’, assisted by C. Summerville), Lucas Paquetá (88’ pen) and Callum Wilson (90’, assisted by El Diouf).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jarrod Bowen’s goal on 84 minutes.

Discipline

C. Pawson showed no yellow cards — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Nottingham Forest move down from fourth to ninth (three league matches played).

West Ham move up from 20th to 15th (three league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lucas Paquetá (West Ham) 11.0, Elliot Anderson (Nottingham Forest) 8.2 and Jarrod Bowen (West Ham) 8.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Nottingham Forest or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.2% of the time in the last 90 days (1166 of 1550).

Next up

Nottingham Forest next travel to Ipswich on 23 October 2026.

West Ham next host Southampton on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Nottingham Forest: Ipswich v Nottingham Forest, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for West Ham: West Ham v Southampton, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Nottingham Forest 0–3 West Ham · Premier League
Venue: Wembley Stadium · London
Referee: C. Pawson
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Nottingham Forest 4 · draws 0 · West Ham 2 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Nottingham Forest 2W 2D 1L · West Ham 1W 0D 4L

Nottingham Forest 0–3 West Ham (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.38 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 3.63

Corners

against 5 / 5.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 4.13

Shots on target

against 4 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

3.13 / 1.63

Cards

against 3.38 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

2.88 yellows

Referee · C. Pawson

1.31 home / 1.56 away

over 16 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Nottingham Forest for / against	Line	West Ham for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.5 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.63 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.13 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.13 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.38 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.13 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.13 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.13 for · 9.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	3.13 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: C. Pawson — 2.88 yellow cards a game, 0.06 red cards, 20.88 fouls over 16 matches (1.31 to the home side, 1.56 to the away side).

Home 1.31Away 1.56

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jota Silva n 8	21.9	3.1 2/2	2.1 3/1	—
R. Yates n 8	25.1	2.2 4/1	1.8 3/1	—
E. Anderson n 8	83	2 7/6	1.1 5/3	T. Souček
J. McAtee n 8	39.8	1.7 4/1	1.4 4/1	—
I. Sangaré n 8	63.9	1.6 4/3	0.7 4/0	T. Souček

Nottingham Forest — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. McAtee n 8	39.8	2.8 5/3	0.8 2/1
A. Kalimuendo n 8	67.1	2.3 7/6	1.3 6/1
Igor Jesus n 8	77	1.9 7/3	1.2 6/2
C. Wood n 8	86	1.8 6/5	0.5 3/1
R. Sosa n 8	45.6	1.7 5/2	0.5 2/0

Nottingham Forest — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Kalimuendo n 8	67.1	0.7 3/1	0.3 1/1
Morgan Gibbs-White n 8	85.6	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
D. Ndoye n 8	76	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
R. Sosa n 8	45.6	0 0/0	0.5 2/0
Jota Silva n 8	21.9	0.5 1/0	0 0/0

Nottingham Forest — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jota Silva n 8	21.9	4.1 5/3
N. Williams n 8	90	3.6 7/7
N. Domínguez n 8	69.6	3.2 7/6
E. Anderson n 8	83	3 8/6
Danilo n 8	64.8	2.8 6/6

Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Sels n 8	90	2.8 6/4

West Ham

West Ham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Füllkrug n 8	54.8	2.7 5/3	0.6 3/0	—
Lucas Paquetá n 8	72.4	2 7/3	2.2 5/4	—
E. Álvarez n 8	57	2 6/3	0.6 3/0	—
C. Wilson n 8	23.6	1.9 4/0	1 2/0	—
T. Souček n 8	74.3	1.8 5/3	0.9 4/1	I. Sangaré

West Ham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Carlos Soler n 8	39.9	1.7 4/1	0.8 3/0
J. Bowen n 8	88.8	1.4 7/2	1.1 7/2
C. Wilson n 8	23.6	1.4 3/0	0.5 1/0
E. Diouf n 8	85.3	1.2 5/2	0.3 2/0
T. Souček n 8	74.3	1.2 7/1	1.1 6/1

West Ham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Bowen n 8	88.8	0.5 4/0	0.5 3/1
M. Kudus n 8	74.9	0.2 1/0	0.5 2/1
A. Wan-Bissaka n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
E. Diouf n 8	85.3	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
T. Souček n 8	74.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0

West Ham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
O. Scarles n 8	63.4	3 6/4
G. Rodríguez n 8	42	2.7 4/4
E. Álvarez n 8	57	2.6 6/3
J. Todibo n 8	80.6	2.2 6/5
Lucas Paquetá n 8	72.4	2.2 6/4

West Ham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Hermansen n 8	91.1	3.1 8/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Nottingham Forest		West Ham
58%	Possession	42%
0.73	Expected goals (xG)	2.42
11	Shots	12
3	Shots on target	8
3	Shots off target	4
5	Blocked shots	0
9	Shots inside the box	10
9	Corners	7
14	Fouls	6
5	Saves	3
541	Passes	385
87%	Pass accuracy	82%

Nottingham Forest player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
M. Sels	90	0	0	0	0	7
O. Aina	90	0	0	1	2	6.3
N. Milenković	90	1	0	0	0	5.9
Murillo	90	0	0	0	0	6.2
N. Williams	90	0	0	0	3	6.2
E. Anderson	90	0	0	3	7	7.3
Morgan Gibbs-White	90	1	1	0	1	6.5
I. Sangaré	89	0	0	0	2	6.3
C. Hudson-Odoi	89	1	1	3	0	6.5
C. Wood	73	3	1	0	0	6.5
D. Ndoye	58	0	0	0	2	6.6
J. McAtee sub	32	0	0	1	1	6.6
Igor Jesus sub	17	0	0	0	1	6.5
O. Hutchinson sub	11	0	0	0	0	6.3
A. Kalimuendo sub	11	0	0	0	0	6.3

West Ham player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
M. Hermansen	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
K. Walker-Peters	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	7.2
K. Mavropanos	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	7.2
M. Kilman	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	7.3
E. Diouf	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	7.2
T. Souček	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	6.9
J. Bowen	90	1	0	1	1	2	2	7.9
Lucas Paquetá	90	1	0	3	2	2	2	7.3
Mateus Fernandes	82	0	0	0	0	2	3	7
J. Ward-Prowse	75	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.9
N. Füllkrug	64	0	0	3	1	0	1	6.3
C. Wilson sub	26	1	0	4	4	0	0	8
A. Irving sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	2	6.6
C. Summerville sub	8	0	1	0	0	1	0	7.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Nottingham Forest v West Ham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Nottingham ForestDWLWD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

West HamLWLLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.4 scored / 2.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Nottingham Forest 4 · 0 draws · West Ham 2 · 3 goals/game

2025-05-18 West Ham 1–2 Nottingham Forest
2024-11-02 Nottingham Forest 3–0 West Ham
2024-02-17 Nottingham Forest 2–0 West Ham
2023-11-12 West Ham 3–2 Nottingham Forest
2023-02-25 West Ham 4–0 Nottingham Forest
2022-08-14 Nottingham Forest 1–0 West Ham

League standing · 2025/26

Nottingham Forest#16 pos44 pts38 pl-3 GD

West Ham#18 pos39 pts38 pl-19 GD

Goals per game

Nottingham Forest scored1.26

West Ham scored1.21

Nottingham Forest conceded1.34

West Ham conceded1.71

Shot map and expected goals

Nottingham Forest 0.72 xG from 11 shots, West Ham 2.24 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Nottingham Forest (attacking right)West Ham (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Nottingham Forest	11	0	0.72
West Ham	12	3	2.24

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Nottingham Forest v West Ham?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Nottingham Forest v West Ham was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Nottingham Forest and West Ham?: In their last 6 meetings, Nottingham Forest won 4, West Ham won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nottingham Forest and West Ham?: Recent form — Nottingham Forest 2W 2D 1L; West Ham 1W 0D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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