Tottenham v Bournemouth result

Full-time · Tottenham 0–1 Bournemouth

Premier League · Sat, 30 Aug 2025 15:00 BST · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Tottenham · Bournemouth · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Tottenham 0–1 Bournemouth — Bournemouth won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 624 landed (95% range 62.1–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 419 of 638 times (65.7%), against an average rating of 68.5%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bournemouth: 2.12 to 0.17 in expected goals, from 19 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the fourth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Bournemouth won 1–0 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 30 August.

The goals

Bournemouth led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Bournemouth: Evanilson (5’, assisted by M. Senesi).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Evanilson’s goal on 5 minutes.

Discipline

S. Hooper showed six yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Tottenham: Micky van de Ven (14’) and D. Spence (65’); Bournemouth: Antoine Semenyo (12’), Đorđe Petrović (72’), Tyler Adams (88’) and James Hill (90+7’).

What it changes

Tottenham move down from first to third (three league matches played).

Bournemouth move up from ninth to sixth (three league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Senesi (Bournemouth) 7.2, Mohammed Kudus (Tottenham) 6.3 and Evanilson (Bournemouth) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Tottenham next travel to Chelsea on 24 October 2026.

Bournemouth next host AC Milan on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Tottenham: Chelsea v Tottenham, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Bournemouth: Bournemouth v AC Milan, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Tottenham 0–1 Bournemouth · Premier League
Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · London
Referee: S. Hooper
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Tottenham 3 · draws 1 · Bournemouth 2 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: Tottenham 3W 1D 1L · Bournemouth 2W 0D 3L

Tottenham 0–1 Bournemouth (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.13

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 5.5

Corners

against 6.88 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3 / 3.38

Shots on target

against 5.5 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 2.88

Cards

against 1.5 / 2.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.38 yellows

Referee · S. Hooper

1.25 home / 2.13 away

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Tottenham for / against	Line	Bournemouth for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.63 for · 6.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.5 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	8.38 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.13 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.38 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.38 for · 8.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.25 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.88 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: S. Hooper — 3.38 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.75 fouls over 8 matches (1.25 to the home side, 2.13 to the away side).

Home 1.25Away 2.13

Tottenham

Tottenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Kulusevski n 8	49.5	2.7 7/3	1.4 2/1	—
Y. Bissouma n 8	65.1	2.4 7/4	0.3 2/0	—
M. Tel n 8	56.8	2.4 6/4	1.8 4/3	—
A. Gray n 8	63.8	1.9 4/4	0 0/0	—
P. Sarr n 8	71.1	1.7 6/4	0.8 4/1	Alex Scott

Tottenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Son Heung-Min n 8	59.4	2.3 5/3	1.3 4/2
Richarlison n 8	56.4	2 4/4	1 2/2
M. Kudus n 8	74.9	1.2 5/3	0.3 2/0
B. Johnson n 8	73.1	1.2 6/2	0.8 5/0
D. Solanke n 8	49.1	1.1 5/0	0.9 4/0

Tottenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Kudus n 8	74.9	0.3 2/0	0.5 2/1
B. Johnson n 8	73.1	0.8 5/0	0 0/0
D. Solanke n 8	49.1	0.7 3/0	0 0/0
Richarlison n 8	56.4	0.4 1/1	0.2 1/0
Son Heung-Min n 8	59.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

Tottenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
João Palhinha n 8	41.6	3.2 4/3
D. Udogie n 8	88.5	2.8 7/5
Y. Bissouma n 8	65.1	2.8 7/4
P. Sarr n 8	71.1	2.4 7/5
Pedro Porro n 8	79.8	2.3 7/5

Tottenham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Guglielmo Vicario n 8	90.9	2.6 5/4

Bournemouth

Bournemouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Alex Scott n 8	53	3.4 7/5	2.3 5/5	P. Sarr
A. Adli n 8	43.9	3.1 6/4	1 2/2	—
J. Kluivert n 8	60.5	2 8/2	2 5/5	—
J. Soler n 8	56.8	2 4/4	2 6/3	—
A. Semenyo n 8	76.4	1.9 7/5	0.3 2/0	—

Bournemouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
E. Kroupi n 8	46.9	2.6 5/4	2.2 5/4
A. Semenyo n 8	76.4	2.1 6/5	1 5/2
Evanilson n 8	78.4	2 6/5	0.7 3/2
D. Ouattara n 8	76.4	1.9 4/4	0.7 2/2
D. Brooks n 8	48.4	1.6 4/2	0.9 3/1

Bournemouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
E. Kroupi n 8	46.9	1.2 4/1	0 0/0
A. Semenyo n 8	76.4	0.7 3/2	0.3 2/0
Adrien Truffert n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
A. Adli n 8	43.9	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
Evanilson n 8	78.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0

Bournemouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Hill n 8	47.9	2.8 4/4
J. Soler n 8	56.8	2.6 5/3
A. Adli n 8	43.9	2.6 5/3
R. Christie n 8	56.6	2.4 7/5
T. Adams n 8	79.4	2.3 6/5

Bournemouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Đ. Petrović n 8	90.8	2.6 5/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Tottenham		Bournemouth
61%	Possession	39%
0.19	Expected goals (xG)	1.59
5	Shots	20
1	Shots on target	6
3	Shots off target	9
1	Blocked shots	5
3	Shots inside the box	15
0	Corners	8
2	Offsides	3
17	Fouls	13
2	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
5	Saves	1
477	Passes	296
83%	Pass accuracy	70%

Tottenham player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Guglielmo Vicario	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
Cristian Romero	90	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
M. van de Ven	90	0	0	0	0	Y	6.9
D. Spence	90	0	0	1	0	Y	6.2
R. Bentancur	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
M. Kudus	90	0	0	1	4	0	6.9
Richarlison	90	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
P. Sarr	76	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Pedro Porro	71	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
João Palhinha	54	0	0	0	2	0	6.2
B. Johnson	54	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
L. Bergvall sub	36	1	1	0	1	0	6.7
W. Odobert sub	36	1	0	0	0	0	6.6
D. Udogie sub	19	1	0	0	1	0	7.2
M. Tel sub	14	1	0	0	3	0	6.9

Bournemouth player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Đ. Petrović	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	7.3
B. Diakité	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
M. Senesi	90	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	7.9
Adrien Truffert	90	0	0	1	0	1	5	0	7.2
T. Adams	90	0	0	1	1	0	2	Y	6.9
A. Semenyo	90	0	0	2	1	2	2	Y	6.9
M. Tavernier	81	0	0	2	0	1	3	0	6.2
Evanilson	81	1	0	5	2	2	0	0	7.3
D. Brooks	64	0	0	3	2	2	4	0	7.5
Alex Scott	63	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	7.2
A. Smith	26	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
J. Hill sub	64	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.6
R. Christie sub	27	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	7
A. Adli sub	26	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	7
J. Kluivert sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
E. Kroupi sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Tottenham v Bournemouth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

TottenhamWLDWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

BournemouthLWLWL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Tottenham 3 · 1 draw · Bournemouth 2 · 3.5 goals/game

2025-03-09 Tottenham 2–2 Bournemouth
2024-12-05 Bournemouth 1–0 Tottenham
2023-12-31 Tottenham 3–1 Bournemouth
2023-08-26 Bournemouth 0–2 Tottenham
2023-04-15 Tottenham 2–3 Bournemouth
2022-10-29 Bournemouth 2–3 Tottenham

League standing · 2025/26

Tottenham#17 pos41 pts38 pl-9 GD

Bournemouth#6 pos57 pts38 pl+4 GD

Goals per game

Tottenham scored1.26

Bournemouth scored1.53

Tottenham conceded1.5

Bournemouth conceded1.42

Shot map and expected goals

Tottenham 0.17 xG from 5 shots, Bournemouth 2.12 from 19. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Tottenham (attacking right)Bournemouth (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Tottenham	5	0	0.17
Bournemouth	19	1	2.12

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Tottenham v Bournemouth?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Tottenham v Bournemouth was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Tottenham and Bournemouth?: In their last 6 meetings, Tottenham won 3, Bournemouth won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Tottenham and Bournemouth?: Recent form — Tottenham 3W 1D 1L; Bournemouth 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s boards

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Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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