Bournemouth v AC Milan prediction
Team pages: Bournemouth · AC Milan
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Bournemouth v AC Milan, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.
The match
Bournemouth host AC Milan in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Bournemouth or AC Milan (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
AC Milan are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Nine of Bournemouth’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Bournemouth’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Bournemouth have four wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.78 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.78.
Eight of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, AC Milan have four wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.00.
Bournemouth (fifth) and AC Milan (16th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far.
Team news
Predicted Bournemouth XI (4-4-2): Đ. Petrović, A. Silva, A. Smith, J. Hill, B. Diakité, M. Tavernier, T. Adams, L. Cook, A. Scott, Evanilson, Á. Rodríguez — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Alex Scott (5.4 per match over six appearances, one goal and one assist) and Evanilson (4.7 per match over nine appearances, three goals and four assists) have been Bournemouth’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bournemouth (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Alex Scott averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 626 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances. Evanilson averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 735 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last nine appearances.
Predicted AC Milan XI (4-4-2): M. Maignan, K. De Winter, S. Pavlović, Y. Musah, O. Hutchinson, A. Jashari, D. Bartesaghi, S. Chukwueze, R. Loftus-Cheek, G. Ramos, A. Rabiot — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, A. Rabiot (4.9 per match over nine appearances, four goals and four assists) and Diego Moreira (4.8 per match over six appearances, three goals and one assist) have been AC Milan’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AC Milan (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Rabiot averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1397 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Diego Moreira averages 1.5 shots per 90 over 619 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · Vitality Stadium
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Bournemouth 3W 0D 2L · AC Milan 3W 1D 1L
Bournemouth v AC Milan (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Bournemouth for / against | Line | AC Milan for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 2 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.63 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 19.25 for · 8.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.38 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.63 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.38 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.25 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Bournemouth
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Adams n 8 | 71.4 | 2.8 | 1.1 | — |
| D. Brooks n 8 | 30.5 | 2.2 | 1.1 | — |
| A. Adli n 8 | 21.1 | 2.1 | 0.5 | — |
| J. Kluivert n 8 | 61.4 | 2 | 1.5 | — |
| A. Tóth n 8 | 36 | 1.9 | 1.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Á. Rodríguez n 8 | 37.6 | 3.6 | 0.9 |
| Rayan n 8 | 64.4 | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| J. Kluivert n 8 | 61.4 | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| Evanilson n 8 | 82.5 | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| M. Tavernier n 8 | 71.3 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evanilson n 8 | 82.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Á. Rodríguez n 8 | 37.6 | 0.6 | 0 |
| D. Jebbison n 8 | 35.6 | 0 | 0.6 |
| M. Tavernier n 8 | 71.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Rayan n 8 | 64.4 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Juanlu Sánchez n 8 | 23.6 | 4.8 |
| Adrien Truffert n 8 | 89.3 | 3.3 |
| A. Tóth n 8 | 36 | 2.8 |
| A. Adli n 8 | 21.1 | 2.7 |
| Alex Scott n 8 | 78.3 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Di Gregorio n 8 | 84.4 | 2.1 |
| Đ. Petrović n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
AC Milan
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Camarda n 8 | 18 | 3.1 | 1.3 | — |
| A. Saelemaekers n 8 | 31.1 | 1.8 | 3.3 | — |
| K. De Winter n 8 | 87.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | — |
| P. Estupiñán n 8 | 54.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | — |
| A. Cissè n 8 | 47.3 | 1.7 | 2.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Cissè n 8 | 47.3 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Gonçalo Ramos n 8 | 71.9 | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| A. Rabiot n 8 | 66.3 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| F. Camarda n 8 | 18 | 1.9 | 0 |
| Diego Moreira n 8 | 60.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Cissè n 8 | 47.3 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Gonçalo Ramos n 8 | 71.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| A. Rabiot n 8 | 66.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Diego Moreira n 8 | 60.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| A. Saelemaekers n 8 | 31.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Saelemaekers n 8 | 31.1 | 3.6 |
| S. Pavlović n 8 | 78.1 | 2.6 |
| A. Rabiot n 8 | 66.3 | 2.5 |
| R. Loftus-Cheek n 8 | 41.4 | 2.4 |
| D. Bartesaghi n 8 | 68.5 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Maignan n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Bournemouth v AC Milan — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Bournemouth v AC Milan?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Bournemouth v AC Milan is Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
- What is the recent form of Bournemouth and AC Milan?
- Recent form — Bournemouth 3W 0D 2L; AC Milan 3W 1D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.