West Ham v Chelsea result

Full-time · West Ham 1–5 Chelsea

Premier League · · London Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

West Ham 1–5 Chelsea — Chelsea won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Chelsea: 3.98 to 0.98 in expected goals, from 12 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the 14th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Chelsea won 5–1 at London Stadium in the Premier League on Friday 22 August. Chelsea are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

Chelsea led 3–1 at half-time. The goals — West Ham: Lucas Paquetá (6’, assisted by El Diouf); Chelsea: João Pedro (15’, assisted by Marc Cucurella), Pedro Neto (23’, assisted by João Pedro), Enzo Fernández (34’, assisted by Estêvão), M. Caicedo (54’) and Trevoh Chalobah (58’, assisted by João Pedro).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Pedro Neto’s goal on 23 minutes.

Discipline

M. Oliver showed one yellow card — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 24 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Chelsea: Jorrel Hato (87’).

What it changes

West Ham stay 20th after this result (two league matches played).

Chelsea move up from eighth to first (two league matches played).

With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 2, across 10 matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, João Pedro (Chelsea) 12.5, Lucas Paquetá (West Ham) 8.5 and M. Caicedo (Chelsea) 6.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

West Ham next host Southampton on 24 October 2026.

Chelsea next host Tottenham on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for West Ham: West Ham v Southampton, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Chelsea: Chelsea v Tottenham, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: West Ham 1–5 Chelsea · Premier League
  • Venue: London Stadium · London
  • Referee: M. Oliver
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): West Ham 1 · draws 1 · Chelsea 4 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: West Ham 2W 1D 2L · Chelsea 4W 1D 0L

West Ham 1–5 Chelsea (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 6.75
Corners
against 6.25 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 6
Shots on target
against 5 / 4.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.5
Cards
against 1 / 3.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.25 yellows
Referee · M. Oliver
1.29 home / 1.96 away
over 24 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameWest Ham for / againstLineChelsea for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
2.13 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
6.75 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
11.63 for · 13.38 against n 8
19.5standard
16.38 for · 8.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 9.75 against n 8
21.5standard
13.75 for · 12.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 3.13 against n 8

Referee: M. Oliver — 3.25 yellow cards a game, 0.04 red cards, 22.75 fouls over 24 matches (1.29 to the home side, 1.96 to the away side).

West Ham
West Ham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Füllkrug n 863.4
2.76/4
0.53/0
L. Delap
T. Souček n 865.9
2.25/4
0.53/0
M. Caicedo
E. Álvarez n 857
26/3
0.63/0
—
Lucas Paquetá n 871.5
1.76/2
3.16/6
João Pedro
M. Kilman n 890
1.65/3
0.32/0
Marc Cucurella
West Ham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Carlos Soler n 839.9
1.74/1
0.83/0
E. Diouf n 876.8
1.56/2
0.32/0
J. Bowen n 887.4
1.47/2
1.27/2
M. Kudus n 873.5
1.46/3
0.32/0
T. Souček n 865.9
1.46/1
15/1
West Ham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Bowen n 887.4
0.65/0
0.42/1
M. Kudus n 873.5
0.32/0
0.52/1
E. Ferguson n 824
0.51/0
00/0
A. Wan-Bissaka n 890
00/0
0.43/0
T. Souček n 865.9
0.32/0
00/0
West Ham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Scarles n 863.4
36/4
E. Álvarez n 857
2.66/3
J. Todibo n 885.3
2.57/6
T. Souček n 865.9
2.26/4
Emerson n 855.3
2.25/4
West Ham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Hermansen n 891.1
3.78/4
Chelsea
Chelsea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Delap n 843
2.65/3
13/1
N. Füllkrug
N. Jackson n 852.5
2.46/3
1.34/2
—
M. Caicedo n 893
2.27/6
1.56/3
T. Souček
Marc Cucurella n 897.5
2.18/5
1.58/4
M. Kilman
João Pedro n 860.8
1.97/2
1.35/1
Lucas Paquetá
Chelsea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
João Pedro n 860.8
2.27/3
1.35/2
Tyrique George n 845.6
25/3
1.24/1
N. Jackson n 852.5
1.96/3
1.75/3
C. Palmer n 891.8
1.86/4
1.14/4
L. Delap n 843
1.85/2
1.64/2
Chelsea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Jackson n 852.5
0.93/1
0.21/0
C. Palmer n 891.8
0.42/1
0.53/1
João Pedro n 860.8
0.93/2
00/0
E. Fernández n 874
0.21/0
0.52/1
Tyrique George n 845.6
0.52/0
0.21/0
Chelsea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Andrey Santos n 854.5
3.97/5
M. Caicedo n 893
3.68/8
M. Gusto n 864.5
2.66/3
Marc Cucurella n 897.5
27/6
Noni Madueke n 850.5
1.85/3
Chelsea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Robert Sánchez n 893.8
3.47/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
West HamChelsea
41%Possession59%
0.73Expected goals (xG)2.74
12Shots12
4Shots on target7
5Shots off target4
3Blocked shots1
9Shots inside the box10
7Corners5
4Offsides2
7Fouls10
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves3
392Passes577
86%Pass accuracy88%

West Ham player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Hermansen9000000006
M. Kilman9000100005.3
N. Aguerd9000200106
A. Wan-Bissaka9000001006.6
J. Ward-Prowse9000004207.3
E. Diouf9001001106.3
Lucas Paquetá9010221508.2
J. Bowen9000111006.9
T. Souček7000110106.2
J. Todibo4500000005.6
N. Füllkrug4500001006.2
F. Potts sub4500000106.5
C. Wilson sub4500101006.7
K. Walker-Peters sub2000100006.9

Chelsea player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Robert Sánchez9000000006.7
T. Adarabioyo9000000307.5
M. Caicedo9010110308.5
E. Fernández9010310206.7
João Pedro9012312109.6
Pedro Neto9010112107.5
Estêvão7701111307.3
M. Gusto6900000206.5
T. Chalobah6910110207.7
Marc Cucurella6901001107
L. Delap6200110006.9
Andrey Santos sub2800001006.7
W. Fofana sub2100000106.5
J. Hato sub21000000Y6.3
R. James sub2100001007
J. Bynoe-Gittens sub1300000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind West Ham v Chelsea — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
West HamDWLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
ChelseaWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
West Ham 1 · 1 draw · Chelsea 4 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2025-02-03 Chelsea 2–1 West Ham
  • 2024-09-21 West Ham 0–3 Chelsea
  • 2024-05-05 Chelsea 5–0 West Ham
  • 2023-08-20 West Ham 3–1 Chelsea
  • 2023-02-11 West Ham 1–1 Chelsea
  • 2022-09-03 Chelsea 2–1 West Ham
League standing · 2025/26
West Ham#18 pos39 pts38 pl-19 GD
Chelsea#10 pos52 pts38 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
West Ham scored1.21
Chelsea scored1.53
West Ham conceded1.71
Chelsea conceded1.37

Shot map and expected goals

West Ham 0.98 xG from 12 shots, Chelsea 3.98 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Estêvão 72' · 0.48 xGMax Kilman 89' · 0.47 xGEnzo Fernández 49' · 0.44 xGLiam Delap 18' · 0.13 xGJames Ward-Prowse 89' · 0.10 xGKyle Walker-Peters 70' · 0.08 xGTomas Soucek 66' · 0.08 xGNaif Aguerd 85' · 0.06 xGJarrod Bowen 43' · 0.05 xGPedro Neto 90' · 0.05 xGEnzo Fernández 60' · 0.05 xGJoão Pedro 57' · 0.04 xGJarrod Bowen 48' · 0.04 xGNaif Aguerd 80' · 0.03 xGCallum Wilson 64' · 0.02 xGLucas Paquetá 38' · 0.02 xGJoão Pedro 26' · 0.02 xGTomas Soucek 16' · 0.01 xGEnzo Fernández 33' · 0.71 xG · goalTrevoh Chalobah 57' · 0.64 xG · goalJoão Pedro 14' · 0.54 xG · goalMoisés Caicedo 53' · 0.50 xG · goalPedro Neto 22' · 0.39 xG · goalLucas Paquetá 5' · 0.02 xG · goal
West Ham (attacking right)Chelsea (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
West Ham1210.98
Chelsea1253.98

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for West Ham v Chelsea?
TACTIX’s free model pick for West Ham v Chelsea was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between West Ham and Chelsea?
In their last 6 meetings, West Ham won 1, Chelsea won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of West Ham and Chelsea?
Recent form — West Ham 2W 1D 2L; Chelsea 4W 1D 0L.

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