Celtic v Heart Of Midlothian prediction

Premiership · · Celtic Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Celtic · Heart Of Midlothian · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Celtic v Heart Of Midlothian, Premiership on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 15:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.20 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Celtic host Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Celtic or Heart Of Midlothian (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Celtic have conceded four goals, the fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Heart Of Midlothian have scored in 15 consecutive matches — every result checked. Heart Of Midlothian have scored 19 goals, the most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Form and the table

11 of Celtic’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in seven of Celtic’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Celtic have five wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches — 2.14 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 0.86. Celtic have scored 16 goals, the second-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Heart Of Midlothian are unbeaten in their last three matches. 11 of Heart Of Midlothian’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 12 of Heart Of Midlothian’s last 15 results (80%). Away from home, Heart Of Midlothian have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.86. Heart Of Midlothian have conceded eight goals, the third-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Celtic (first) and Heart Of Midlothian (third) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Celtic the stronger side, 174 rating points above Heart Of Midlothian (Celtic 1957, Heart Of Midlothian 1783, after at least 304 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 16 May 2026, finished Celtic 3–1 Heart Of Midlothian.

Team news

Predicted Celtic XI (4-2-3-1): V. Sinisalo, A. Trusty, C. Carter-Vickers, L. Scales, C. Donovan, C. McGregor, B. Nygren, M. Baur, Y. Hyun-Jun, H. Hassan, K. Høgh — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Yang Hyun-Jun (5.3 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) and C. Duran (4.8 per match over 12 appearances, seven goals and three assists) have been Celtic’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celtic (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Yang Hyun-Jun averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 634 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. C. Duran averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 916 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Heart Of Midlothian XI (4-4-2): B. Reus, J. Altena, J. McCart, S. Findlay, O. McEntee, L. Mendy, J. Mcpake, C. Miller, C. Braga, J. wilson, J. Williams — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Josh Mcpake (6.5 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and four assists) and Calvin Miller (4.4 per match over 13 appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Heart Of Midlothian’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Heart Of Midlothian (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josh Mcpake averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 809 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Calvin Miller averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 963 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premiership · Celtic Park
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Celtic 3 · draws 1 · Heart Of Midlothian 2 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Celtic 1W 0D 4L · Heart Of Midlothian 2W 2D 1L

Celtic v Heart Of Midlothian (Premiership): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.5 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
9.13 / 7.43
Corners
against 4.38 / 3.86 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
7.13 / 5.57
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 2.43 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.38 / 1.71
Cards
against 2.25 / 2.86 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCeltic for / againstLineHeart Of Midlothian for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.25our book
2.25 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
9.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
7.43 for · 3.86 against n 7
Shots
15.5 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
17.14 for · 9.43 against n 7
Shots on target
7.13 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.57 for · 2.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
9.88 for · 8.88 against n 8
21.5standard
13 for · 15.57 against n 7
Cards shown
1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.71 for · 2.86 against n 7
Celtic
Celtic — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Kasper Høgh n 830.3
2.22/2
0.41/0
—
Yang Hyun-Jun n 866.9
1.78/2
1.54/4
—
C. Duran n 862.6
1.65/3
2.25/2
—
L. McCowan n 828.5
1.64/0
1.22/1
—
M. Baur n 861.3
1.54/3
0.73/1
—
Celtic — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Shumaira Mheuka n 88.9
7.64/1
6.33/1
C. Osmand n 624.7
4.95/2
2.44/0
J. Forrest n 824.3
4.66/3
2.35/0
C. Duran n 862.6
3.45/5
2.25/4
Kasper Høgh n 830.3
33/2
0.72/0
Celtic — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Osmand n 624.7
0.61/0
0.61/0
C. Duran n 862.6
0.53/0
0.42/0
Jota n 849.1
0.52/0
0.21/0
B. Nygren n 851.8
0.42/0
0.21/0
Yang Hyun-Jun n 866.9
0.32/0
0.21/0
Celtic — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Baur n 861.3
3.56/5
J. Lotomba n 825.9
3.54/2
Colby Donovan n 886.8
3.17/7
Yang Hyun-Jun n 866.9
37/5
C. McGregor n 893.8
1.97/4
Celtic — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Johnstone n 890
2.96/4
V. Sinisalo n 890
2.65/4
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Kabore n 836.4
3.15/4
1.96/0
—
S. Guendouz n 839.6
2.86/2
2.67/2
—
Ageu n 824.3
2.34/1
1.94/0
—
J. Williams n 839.3
25/1
1.12/1
—
Cláudio Braga n 880
1.86/4
1.86/4
—
Heart Of Midlothian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Cláudio Braga n 880
2.87/5
14/2
S. Guendouz n 839.6
2.64/2
0.62/0
Josh Mcpake n 873.6
2.46/4
1.15/2
P. Kabore n 836.4
2.26/1
1.54/1
Sabah Kerjota n 832.5
1.73/2
0.72/0
Heart Of Midlothian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Josh Mcpake n 873.6
0.32/0
0.64/0
R. Mato n 813.6
00/0
0.81/0
C. Miller n 870.6
0.52/1
0.21/0
S. Kingsley n 858.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
James wilson n 869.3
0.53/0
00/0
Heart Of Midlothian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Sabah Kerjota n 832.5
4.26/2
R. Mato n 813.6
3.33/1
C. Borchgrevink n 861.5
3.17/4
H. Milne n 867.6
37/6
L. Mendy n 878.5
2.77/6
Heart Of Midlothian — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Beau Reus n 893.8
1.85/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Celtic v Heart Of Midlothian — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CelticLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Heart Of MidlothianWLDWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Celtic 3 · 1 draw · Heart Of Midlothian 2 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2026-05-16 Celtic 3–1 Heart Of Midlothian
  • 2026-01-25 Heart Of Midlothian 2–2 Celtic
  • 2025-12-07 Celtic 1–2 Heart Of Midlothian
  • 2025-10-26 Heart Of Midlothian 3–1 Celtic
  • 2025-03-29 Celtic 3–0 Heart Of Midlothian
  • 2024-11-23 Heart Of Midlothian 1–4 Celtic
League standing · 2026/27
Celtic#1 pos21 pts8 pl+12 GD
Heart Of Midlothian#3 pos16 pts8 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Celtic scored2
Heart Of Midlothian scored2.38
Celtic conceded0.5
Heart Of Midlothian conceded1

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Celtic v Heart Of Midlothian?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Celtic v Heart Of Midlothian is Home or Away (best price 1.20 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Celtic and Heart Of Midlothian?
In their last 6 meetings, Celtic won 3, Heart Of Midlothian won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Celtic and Heart Of Midlothian?
Recent form — Celtic 1W 0D 4L; Heart Of Midlothian 2W 2D 1L.

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