Hibernian v Celtic prediction
Team pages: Hibernian · Celtic · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for Hibernian v Celtic, Premiership on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 12:00 GMT.
The match
Hibernian host Celtic in the Premiership on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 12:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Celtic to win.
The key numbers
Celtic have conceded four goals, the fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Hibernian are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Nine of Hibernian’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Hibernian’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Hibernian have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.63. Hibernian have scored nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). Hibernian have conceded 14 goals, the fourth-most of the 12 clubs.
11 of Celtic’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in seven of Celtic’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Celtic have five wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.75. Celtic have scored 16 goals, the second-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Hibernian (12th) and Celtic (first) are 14 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Celtic the stronger side, 506 rating points above Hibernian (Celtic 1957, Hibernian 1451, after at least 342 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Hibernian 1–2 Celtic.
Team news
Predicted Hibernian XI (4-2-3-1): R. Sallinger, J. Kerr, G. Hanley, F. Passlack, J. Iredale, J. Mulligan, M. Chaiwa, J. McGrath, C. Wright, A. Mayor, N. Lowe — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jason Kerr (4.5 per match over 10 appearances, one goal) and Josh Mulligan (3.8 per match over 10 appearances, two assists) have been Hibernian’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hibernian (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jason Kerr averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 900 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Josh Mulligan averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 885 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Celtic XI (4-2-3-1): V. Sinisalo, A. Trusty, C. Carter-Vickers, L. Scales, C. Donovan, C. McGregor, B. Nygren, M. Baur, Y. Hyun-Jun, H. Hassan, K. Høgh — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Yang Hyun-Jun (5.3 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) and C. Duran (4.8 per match over 12 appearances, seven goals and three assists) have been Celtic’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celtic (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Yang Hyun-Jun averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 634 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. C. Duran averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 916 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Premiership · Easter Road
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Hibernian 1 · draws 1 · Celtic 4 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Hibernian 1W 1D 3L · Celtic 1W 0D 4L
Hibernian v Celtic (Premiership): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Hibernian for / against | Line | Celtic for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.75 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 9.13 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.13 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.5 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 7.13 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.25 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.88 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Hibernian
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Šuto n 8 | 28.4 | 3.2 | 1.2 | — |
| J. Devaney n 8 | 60.8 | 2.6 | 0.7 | — |
| J. Newell n 8 | 30.6 | 2.6 | 2.9 | — |
| J. Mulligan n 8 | 88.1 | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| T. Klidje n 8 | 43.4 | 1.8 | 2.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Klidje n 8 | 43.4 | 2.1 | 0.5 |
| M. Boyle n 8 | 63.4 | 2 | 1.1 |
| A. Šuto n 8 | 28.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
| J. Mulligan n 8 | 88.1 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Rabbi Matondo n 8 | 15.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Passlack n 8 | 89.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| J. Obita n 8 | 80.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| M. Boyle n 8 | 63.4 | 0.4 | 0 |
| N. Lowe n 8 | 54.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| C. Wright n 8 | 52.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Abdulai n 8 | 63.3 | 3 |
| J. McGrath n 8 | 68.8 | 2.8 |
| K. Megwa n 8 | 43.9 | 2.8 |
| M. Ivezić n 8 | 78.3 | 2.7 |
| J. Mulligan n 8 | 88.1 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Sallinger n 8 | 90 | 3.2 |
Celtic
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasper Høgh n 8 | 30.3 | 2.2 | 0.4 | — |
| Yang Hyun-Jun n 8 | 66.9 | 1.7 | 1.5 | — |
| C. Duran n 8 | 62.6 | 1.6 | 2.2 | — |
| L. McCowan n 8 | 28.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | — |
| M. Baur n 8 | 61.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shumaira Mheuka n 8 | 8.9 | 7.6 | 6.3 |
| C. Osmand n 6 | 24.7 | 4.9 | 2.4 |
| J. Forrest n 8 | 24.3 | 4.6 | 2.3 |
| C. Duran n 8 | 62.6 | 3.4 | 2.2 |
| Kasper Høgh n 8 | 30.3 | 3 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Osmand n 6 | 24.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| C. Duran n 8 | 62.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Jota n 8 | 49.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| B. Nygren n 8 | 51.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Yang Hyun-Jun n 8 | 66.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Baur n 8 | 61.3 | 3.5 |
| J. Lotomba n 8 | 25.9 | 3.5 |
| Colby Donovan n 8 | 86.8 | 3.1 |
| Yang Hyun-Jun n 8 | 66.9 | 3 |
| C. McGregor n 8 | 93.8 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Johnstone n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
| V. Sinisalo n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Hibernian v Celtic — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-03 Hibernian 1–2 Celtic
- 2026-02-22 Celtic 1–2 Hibernian
- 2025-11-30 Hibernian 1–2 Celtic
- 2025-09-27 Celtic 0–0 Hibernian
- 2025-05-10 Celtic 3–1 Hibernian
- 2025-03-09 Celtic 2–0 Hibernian
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Hibernian v Celtic?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Hibernian v Celtic is Away win.
- What is the head-to-head record between Hibernian and Celtic?
- In their last 6 meetings, Hibernian won 1, Celtic won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Hibernian and Celtic?
- Recent form — Hibernian 1W 1D 3L; Celtic 1W 0D 4L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.