Motherwell v Heart of Midlothian prediction

The match

Motherwell host Heart of Midlothian in the Premiership on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Heart of Midlothian, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Heart of Midlothian have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Motherwell have lost their last five matches in all competitions. Motherwell are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Heart of Midlothian, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Nine of Motherwell’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Motherwell’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Motherwell have two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.50. Motherwell have scored 11 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). Motherwell have conceded 16 goals, the third-most of the 12 clubs.

11 of Heart of Midlothian’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 12 of Heart of Midlothian’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). Away from home, Heart of Midlothian have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 2.57. Heart of Midlothian have scored 20 goals, the second-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). Heart of Midlothian have conceded 15 goals, the fourth-most of the 12 clubs.

Motherwell (10th) and Heart of Midlothian (third) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Heart of Midlothian the stronger side, 269 rating points above Motherwell (Heart of Midlothian 1744, Motherwell 1475, after at least 305 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished Motherwell 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian.

Team news

Predicted Motherwell XI (4-2-3-1): A. Paulsen, M. Moormann, M. Emmanuel, T. Sparrow, J. Girdwood-Reich, L. Fadinger, J. Hodge, A. Lowry, T. Maswanhise, I. Said, S. Palmer-Houlden — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ibrahim Said (4.0 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and one assist) and Lukas Fadinger (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) have been Motherwell’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Motherwell (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ibrahim Said averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 687 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Lukas Fadinger averages 0.4 key passes per 90 over 944 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Heart of Midlothian XI (4-4-2): B. Reus, J. McCart, J. Altena, S. Findlay, O. McEntee, J. Mcpake, L. Mendy, C. Braga, C. Miller, J. wilson, J. Williams — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Josh Mcpake (6.2 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and five assists) and Calvin Miller (4.3 per match over 14 appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Heart of Midlothian’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Heart of Midlothian (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josh Mcpake averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 863 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Calvin Miller averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1017 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.