ST Mirren v Dundee prediction
Team pages: ST Mirren · Dundee · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for ST Mirren vs Dundee, Premiership on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST.
The match
ST Mirren host Dundee in the Premiership on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is ST Mirren or Dundee (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
ST Mirren have lost their last five matches.
Dundee have scored in seven consecutive matches.
Form and the table
Nine of ST Mirren’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in five of ST Mirren’s last 15 results (33%). At home, ST Mirren have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.71. ST Mirren have scored nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). ST Mirren have conceded 17 goals, the second-most of the 12 clubs.
Dundee are unbeaten in their last three matches. 10 of Dundee’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Dundee’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, Dundee have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.14. Dundee have scored 13 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). Dundee have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs.
ST Mirren (eighth) and Dundee (fourth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Dundee the stronger side, 252 rating points above ST Mirren (Dundee 1674, ST Mirren 1423, after at least 241 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Dundee are unbeaten in the last three meetings with ST Mirren. The most recent meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Dundee 1–0 ST Mirren.
Team news
Predicted ST Mirren XI (4-2-3-1): J. Chapman, A. Gogić, D. John, C. Ramsay, H. Fieldson, R. Carr, P. Nsio, I. Kabia, C. Mochrie, F. Taylor, E. Sule — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Killian Phillips (5.3 per match over five appearances, three goals and one assist) and S. Ramos (5.0 per match over three appearances, one goal and two assists) have been ST Mirren’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for ST Mirren (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Killian Phillips averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 448 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last six appearances.
Predicted Dundee XI (4-4-2): O. Goodman, R. Astley, O. Bevan, D. Wright, I. Odutayo, E. Hamilton, J. Bevan, A. Forrest, R. Finnigan, J. Westley, B. Fink — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Callum Jones (5.7 per match over three appearances, one goal) and Ryan Astley (4.1 per match over nine appearances, one assist) have been Dundee’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Dundee (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ryan Astley averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 814 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last nine appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Premiership · The SMISA Stadium
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): ST Mirren 1 · draws 1 · Dundee 4 · 1.83 goals/game
- Recent form: ST Mirren 0W 0D 5L · Dundee 2W 2D 1L
ST Mirren v Dundee (Premiership): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | ST Mirren for / against | Line | Dundee for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.88 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4 for · 7.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5 for · 6.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.29 for · 17.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.86 for · 20.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.71 for · 6.43 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.71 for · 5.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.29 for · 14.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.29 for · 11.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.29 for · 1.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.57 for · 1.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
ST Mirren
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Nsio n 8 | 87.1 | 2.8 | 0.6 | — |
| R. Carr n 8 | 83.5 | 2.3 | 3.1 | — |
| J. Young n 8 | 25.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | — |
| C. Mochrie n 8 | 59.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | — |
| Nikolas Agrafiotis n 8 | 59.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Young n 8 | 25.4 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| K. Phillips n 8 | 78.4 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| Eseosa Sule n 8 | 39.8 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| F. Taylor n 8 | 57.3 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Nikolas Agrafiotis n 8 | 59.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ramos n 3 | 43.3 | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| S. Ramos n 3 | 74.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| K. Phillips n 8 | 78.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| Nikolas Agrafiotis n 8 | 59.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Eseosa Sule n 8 | 39.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Thomas n 8 | 29.4 | 5 |
| R. Carr n 8 | 83.5 | 3.2 |
| P. Nsio n 8 | 87.1 | 2.7 |
| L. Donnelly n 8 | 68.5 | 2.6 |
| C. Ramsay n 8 | 70.8 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Chapman n 8 | 90 | 3.8 |
Dundee
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ž. Bešir n 3 | 13 | 2.3 | 2.3 | — |
| B. Fink n 8 | 55.8 | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Hamilton n 8 | 90 | 1.9 | 2.3 | — |
| R. Finnigan n 8 | 61.9 | 1.8 | 2.2 | — |
| B. Halliday n 8 | 44 | 1.8 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Hay n 8 | 51.3 | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| C. Reilly n 8 | 43.3 | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| B. Fink n 8 | 55.8 | 2.4 | 1 |
| J. Westley n 8 | 77.1 | 2 | 1.2 |
| A. Forrest n 8 | 65.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Westley n 8 | 77.1 | 0.6 | 0 |
| B. Fink n 8 | 55.8 | 0.6 | 0 |
| C. Reilly n 8 | 43.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| J. Bevan n 8 | 63.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Ashley Hay n 8 | 51.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Finnigan n 8 | 61.9 | 3.8 |
| C. Jones n 8 | 62.6 | 3.1 |
| B. Halliday n 8 | 44 | 2.6 |
| A. Forrest n 8 | 65.1 | 2.4 |
| Finlay Robertson n 8 | 51.8 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| O. Goodman n 8 | 90 | 4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind ST Mirren v Dundee — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-02 Dundee 1–0 ST Mirren
- 2026-01-31 ST Mirren 0–0 Dundee
- 2025-11-29 Dundee 3–1 ST Mirren
- 2025-09-27 ST Mirren 1–0 Dundee
- 2025-04-05 Dundee 2–0 ST Mirren
- 2024-12-29 ST Mirren 1–2 Dundee
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win ST Mirren vs Dundee?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for ST Mirren v Dundee is Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between ST Mirren and Dundee?
- In their last 6 meetings, ST Mirren won 1, Dundee won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of ST Mirren and Dundee?
- Recent form — ST Mirren 0W 0D 5L; Dundee 2W 2D 1L.
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