Estoril v SC Braga prediction

Primeira Liga · · Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Estoril v SC Braga, Primeira Liga on Sun, 21 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Estoril host SC Braga in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 21 February (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Estoril are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. SC Braga are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Five of Estoril’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in nine of Estoril’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Estoril have no wins, two draws and five defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.29 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 1.71. Estoril have scored four goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Estoril have conceded 12 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Seven of SC Braga’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of SC Braga’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, SC Braga have two wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 1.00. SC Braga have scored nine goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). SC Braga have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Estoril (18th) and SC Braga (ninth) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have SC Braga the stronger side, 253 rating points above Estoril (SC Braga 1585, Estoril 1332, after at least 212 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 September 2026, finished SC Braga 1–0 Estoril.

Team news

Predicted Estoril XI (4-2-3-1): J. Robles, I. Sierra, Ferro, R. Sánchez, F. Medrano, J. Carvalho, J. Holsgrove, A. Tsoungui, A. Lacximicant, R. Guitane, Y. Begraoui — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jordan Holsgrove (4.4 per match over five appearances, one assist) and Rafik Guitane (3.4 per match over seven appearances, one goal) have been Estoril’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Estoril (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jordan Holsgrove averages 3.0 key passes per 90 over 387 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last five appearances. Rafik Guitane averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 368 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances.

Predicted SC Braga XI (3-4-3): B. Fontes, V. Carvalho, G. Lagerbielke, A. Bajrami, V. Gómez, J. Moutinho, D. Tıknaz, J. Gorby, P. Victor, G. Silva, R. Horta — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pau Victor (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and one assist) and Demir Ege Tıknaz (3.6 per match over 10 appearances, two assists) have been SC Braga’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for SC Braga (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pau Victor averages 1.5 shots per 90 over 818 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. Demir Ege Tıknaz averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 749 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Primeira Liga · Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Estoril 1 · draws 2 · SC Braga 3 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Estoril 0W 2D 3L · SC Braga 1W 1D 3L

Estoril v SC Braga (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.5 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.57 / 4.25
Corners
against 4.57 / 2.75 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.29 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 4.57 / 3 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.86 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.29 / 2.63 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameEstoril for / againstLineSC Braga for / against
Goals scored
0.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.57 for · 4.57 against n 7
9.5standard
4.25 for · 2.75 against n 8
Shots
12.86 for · 15.14 against n 7
19.5standard
12.75 for · 9.13 against n 8
Shots on target
5.29 for · 4.57 against n 7
8.5standard
4.13 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.86 for · 13.43 against n 7
21.5standard
13 for · 12.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.86 for · 1.29 against n 7
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.63 against n 8
Estoril
Estoril — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jordan Arnolin n 429.3
3.12/1
1.52/0
—
Tiago Brito n 822.6
35/1
12/0
—
Peixinho n 818.3
2.54/0
3.75/1
—
A. Tsoungui n 874.1
2.45/4
2.36/4
—
Xeka n 870.4
2.47/3
1.45/3
—
Estoril — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Nail Omerovic n 871.5
3.68/7
2.26/3
Jordan Arnolin n 429.3
3.13/1
1.52/0
Peixinho n 818.3
2.52/1
1.22/0
André Lacximicant n 860.3
2.47/4
1.55/3
Y. Begraoui n 890
1.68/4
17/1
Estoril — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Nail Omerovic n 871.5
0.83/1
00/0
Pedro Carvalho n 816
00/0
0.71/0
Peixinho n 818.3
0.61/0
00/0
Y. Begraoui n 890
0.32/0
00/0
M. Robin n 841.3
0.31/0
00/0
Estoril — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pedro Carvalho n 816
4.25/1
Tiago Brito n 822.6
44/2
Ferro n 875.4
3.48/6
Fernando Medrano n 884.5
3.28/7
Peixinho n 818.3
2.53/1
Estoril — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Joel Robles n 890
2.34/3
SC Braga
SC Braga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Tomás Marqués n 715.1
5.94/2
1.72/0
—
Fran Navarro n 844.8
2.34/3
2.85/3
—
Sergio Barcia n 863.3
24/4
1.14/2
—
Diogo Travassos n 850.8
26/3
24/3
—
Pau Victor n 875.6
1.95/4
1.97/4
—
SC Braga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Diego Rodrigues n 834.5
2.35/1
1.65/0
Gabriel Silva n 851.1
28/1
1.15/0
J. Milošević n 839.9
25/1
0.83/0
D. Huseinbašić n 848
1.95/2
0.72/1
Gabri Martínez n 842.1
1.94/2
1.13/1
SC Braga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Diego Rodrigues n 834.5
0.72/0
0.31/0
J. Wind n 840
0.62/0
00/0
Pau Victor n 875.6
0.42/1
0.11/0
Gabri Martínez n 842.1
0.52/0
00/0
Fran Navarro n 844.8
0.31/0
00/0
SC Braga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Tomás Marqués n 715.1
3.42/2
Adrian Bajrami n 857.9
2.34/3
D. Huseinbašić n 848
2.35/3
Demir Ege Tıknaz n 848.1
2.15/3
João Moutinho n 880
26/4
SC Braga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Bernardo Fontes n 890
1.84/2

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Estoril v SC Braga — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
EstorilDLLLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
SC BragaWDLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Estoril 1 · 2 draws · SC Braga 3 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2026-09-14 SC Braga 1–0 Estoril
  • 2026-05-03 SC Braga 1–1 Estoril
  • 2025-12-19 Estoril 1–0 SC Braga
  • 2025-04-19 Estoril 0–2 SC Braga
  • 2024-12-06 SC Braga 2–2 Estoril
  • 2024-04-13 Estoril 0–1 SC Braga
League standing · 2026/27
Estoril#18 pos2 pts8 pl-8 GD
SC Braga#9 pos11 pts8 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Estoril scored0.5
SC Braga scored1.13
Estoril conceded1.5
SC Braga conceded1.25

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Estoril and SC Braga?
In their last 6 meetings, Estoril won 1, SC Braga won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Estoril and SC Braga?
Recent form — Estoril 0W 2D 3L; SC Braga 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →