Estrela v Benfica prediction

Primeira Liga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Estrela v Benfica, Primeira Liga on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 20:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Estrela host Benfica in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 20:30 UK).

The key numbers

Benfica have scored 24 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Benfica have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Benfica are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Estrela, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

10 of Estrela’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Estrela’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Estrela have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.86 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.43. Estrela have scored 14 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Estrela have conceded 15 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

12 of Benfica’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in nine of Benfica’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Benfica have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 3.00 and conceding 0.71. Benfica have conceded seven goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Estrela (10th) and Benfica (second) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Benfica the stronger side, 440 rating points above Estrela (Benfica 1940, Estrela 1500, after at least 112 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 January 2026, finished Benfica 4–0 Estrela.

Team news

Predicted Estrela XI (4-2-3-1): L. Linck, R. Soares, S. Leković, M. Scholze, L. Patrick, L. Zvonarek, E. Doue, A. Marcus, I. Stoica, S. Serra, L. Antonetti — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Marcus (5.4 per match over eight appearances, four goals and one assist) and I. Stoica (4.8 per match over eight appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Estrela’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Estrela (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Marcus averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 713 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last eight appearances. I. Stoica averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 552 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Benfica XI (4-2-3-1): S. Soares, S. Dahl, T. Araújo, C. Lenglet, A. Bah, G. Prestianni, Rafa, L. Barreiro, J. Palhinha, H. Sudakov, V. Pavlidis — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, G. Prestianni (8.3 per match over 10 appearances, five goals and five assists) and Vangelis Pavlidis (6.9 per match over 10 appearances, nine goals and three assists) have been Benfica’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Benfica (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), G. Prestianni averages 3.4 key passes per 90 over 873 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Vangelis Pavlidis averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 1118 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Primeira Liga
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Estrela 0 · draws 0 · Benfica 6 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Estrela 2W 1D 2L · Benfica 4W 0D 1L

Estrela v Benfica (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 2.63
Goals
against 1.75 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.14 / 7.25
Corners
against 4.43 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.29 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 4.29 / 3 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.43 / 2.88
Cards
against 2.57 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameEstrela for / againstLineBenfica for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
2.63 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.14 for · 4.43 against n 7
9.5standard
7.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
13.43 for · 10.43 against n 7
19.5standard
18.25 for · 10.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.29 for · 4.29 against n 7
8.5standard
5.88 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.43 for · 11.71 against n 7
21.5standard
11.38 for · 16.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.43 for · 2.57 against n 7
3.5standard
2.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
Estrela
Estrela — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Höög Jansson n 817
3.35/0
0.71/0
—
Joan Jordán n 825.5
3.14/2
0.41/0
—
Alisson n 89.8
2.32/0
3.53/0
—
B. Souza n 823.4
1.93/1
3.45/2
—
L. Antonetti n 889.1
1.87/4
1.17/2
—
Estrela — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Alisson n 89.8
3.52/1
1.21/0
B. Souza n 823.4
2.94/2
1.43/0
L. Antonetti n 889.1
2.77/5
0.95/1
I. Stoica n 869
2.37/5
14/2
S. van Hooijdonk n 834.6
2.33/1
0.31/0
Estrela — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Stoica n 869
0.73/1
0.32/0
B. Souza n 823.4
0.51/0
0.51/0
L. Antonetti n 889.1
0.54/0
0.11/0
A. Marcus n 889.1
0.53/1
0.11/0
Eddy Doue n 879.9
00/0
0.42/1
Estrela — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Scholze n 873
4.37/6
L. Mincarelli Davin n 851.1
2.95/3
B. Souza n 823.4
2.93/2
Joan Jordán n 825.5
2.64/1
Luan Patrick n 890
2.47/5
Estrela — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Léo Linck n 890
2.98/4
Benfica
Benfica — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Barreiro n 861.4
2.68/3
3.37/6
—
J. Duran n 829.6
1.95/0
2.33/2
—
C. Echeverri n 829.1
1.93/1
2.76/1
—
V. Pavlidis n 860.5
1.75/2
1.96/2
—
João Palhinha n 869.8
1.67/3
1.96/4
—
Benfica — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Prestianni n 866.4
3.47/4
1.45/2
D. Lukebakio n 847.6
3.16/5
2.15/3
J. Duran n 829.6
2.73/1
1.12/1
C. Echeverri n 829.1
2.76/1
2.35/1
A. Schjelderup n 848.5
2.36/3
0.73/0
Benfica — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Prestianni n 866.4
0.53/0
0.84/1
J. Duran n 829.6
1.12/1
00/0
D. Lukebakio n 847.6
0.73/0
0.21/0
C. Echeverri n 829.1
00/0
0.82/0
S. El Karouani n 865.8
0.21/0
0.53/0
Benfica — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Daniel Banjaqui n 387
3.83/3
A. Schjelderup n 848.5
3.56/3
E. Barrenechea n 838.3
2.64/2
João Palhinha n 869.8
2.16/3
G. Prestianni n 866.4
26/4
Benfica — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Trubin n 886.5
3.67/6
Samuel Soares n 890.9
1.22/1

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Estrela v Benfica — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
EstrelaWDLLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
BenficaWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Estrela 0 · 0 draws · Benfica 6 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2026-01-25 Benfica 4–0 Estrela
  • 2025-08-16 Estrela 0–1 Benfica
  • 2025-02-02 Estrela 2–3 Benfica
  • 2024-11-23 Benfica 7–0 Estrela
  • 2024-08-24 Benfica 1–0 Estrela
  • 2024-01-29 Estrela 1–4 Benfica
League standing · 2026/27
Estrela#10 pos10 pts8 pl-1 GD
Benfica#2 pos19 pts8 pl+17 GD
Goals per game
Estrela scored1.75
Benfica scored3
Estrela conceded1.88
Benfica conceded0.88

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Estrela and Benfica?
In their last 6 meetings, Estrela won 0, Benfica won 6 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Estrela and Benfica?
Recent form — Estrela 2W 1D 2L; Benfica 4W 0D 1L.

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