GIL Vicente v FC Porto prediction

Primeira Liga · · Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for GIL Vicente v FC Porto, Primeira Liga on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 20:30 BST.

Free pick
Away win
Best price: 1.45 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 85.4% of 103 landed (95% range 77.4–91%); it had given them 76% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

GIL Vicente host FC Porto in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 20:30 UK); the model’s free pick is FC Porto to win.

The key numbers

GIL Vicente have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. GIL Vicente are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of GIL Vicente’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of GIL Vicente’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, GIL Vicente have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.00. GIL Vicente have scored eight goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). GIL Vicente have conceded six goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Eight of FC Porto’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of FC Porto’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, FC Porto have five wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 1.29. FC Porto have scored 20 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). FC Porto have conceded four goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

GIL Vicente (sixth) and FC Porto (first) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Porto the stronger side, 434 rating points above GIL Vicente (FC Porto 2047, GIL Vicente 1613, after at least 246 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 26 January 2026, finished FC Porto 3–0 GIL Vicente.

Team news

Predicted GIL Vicente XI (4-2-3-1): Lucão, J. Buatu, M. Elimbi Gilbert, R. Esgaio, D. Moreira, A. Lausen, S. García, D. Prioste, Murilo, G. Martins, H. Hernández — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ricardo Esgaio (3.4 per match over eight appearances) and Murilo (3.2 per match over seven appearances, one goal and one assist) have been GIL Vicente’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for GIL Vicente (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ricardo Esgaio averages 3.2 tackles per 90 over 702 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances. Murilo averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 485 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last seven appearances.

Predicted FC Porto XI (4-3-3): D. Costa, J. Kiwior, J. Bednarek, A. Baio, Z. Sanusi, V. Froholdt, P. Rosario, G. Veiga, P. Aquino, A. Silva, William — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gabri Veiga (5.2 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and three assists) and William (4.1 per match over nine appearances, two goals and two assists) have been FC Porto’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Porto (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gabri Veiga averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 741 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. William averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 589 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Primeira Liga · Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): GIL Vicente 1 · draws 1 · FC Porto 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: GIL Vicente 3W 1D 1L · FC Porto 3W 0D 2L

GIL Vicente v FC Porto (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 2
Goals
against 1 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3 / 4.25
Corners
against 5.14 / 3.13 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.57 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 2.86 / 4.38 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.29 / 1.38
Cards
against 2 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGIL Vicente for / againstLineFC Porto for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1 against n 8
2.5our book
2 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3 for · 5.14 against n 7
9.5standard
4.25 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
13.43 for · 11.86 against n 7
19.5standard
14.25 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.57 for · 2.86 against n 7
8.5standard
5.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
13 for · 12 against n 7
21.5standard
13 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.29 for · 2 against n 7
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2.88 against n 8
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Zé Carlos n 838.6
3.56/3
2.35/1
—
M. Fernández n 830.6
2.64/3
3.74/4
—
Guilherme n 338
2.43/0
0.81/0
—
Mohamed Kaba n 632.5
2.33/2
1.84/0
—
José Silva n 815.1
2.23/0
0.71/0
—
GIL Vicente — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Guilherme n 338
3.93/1
2.42/1
T. Touré n 821.6
3.15/1
12/0
Mohamed Kaba n 632.5
2.84/2
0.51/0
Carlos Eduardo n 822.9
2.54/1
12/0
Héctor Hernández n 861.4
2.45/3
1.14/2
GIL Vicente — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Guilherme n 338
2.42/1
00/0
Héctor Hernández n 861.4
0.53/0
0.21/0
Gil Pinto Martins n 872.8
0.21/0
0.32/0
Carlos Eduardo n 822.9
0.51/0
00/0
Murilo n 870.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
GIL Vicente — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Zé Carlos n 838.6
3.86/4
Ricardo Esgaio n 887.8
3.27/5
José Silva n 815.1
33/1
Joelson Fernandes n 846.4
2.97/3
Guilherme n 338
2.42/1
GIL Vicente — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucão n 891.1
26/1
FC Porto
FC Porto — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Alberto Baio n 880.3
2.48/4
2.17/5
—
Borja Sainz n 830.3
1.94/1
1.54/0
—
Gabri Veiga n 865
1.66/2
1.96/4
—
William n 866.4
1.56/2
1.77/2
—
O. Pietuszewski n 822.4
1.53/0
4.56/2
—
FC Porto — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Giménez n 828.8
3.56/2
23/2
O. Pietuszewski n 822.4
3.53/2
12/0
Gabri Veiga n 865
2.48/3
0.95/0
André Silva n 867.8
2.37/4
15/1
William n 866.4
2.28/4
1.25/2
FC Porto — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Pietuszewski n 822.4
0.51/0
0.51/0
Gabri Veiga n 865
0.53/0
0.32/0
André Silva n 867.8
0.32/0
0.31/1
William n 866.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
Pepê Aquino n 883.6
00/0
0.54/0
FC Porto — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
William n 866.4
2.75/4
Hwang In-Beom n 846.8
2.45/2
Francisco Moura n 867.9
2.36/3
Gabri Veiga n 865
2.35/4
S. Giménez n 828.8
2.34/1
FC Porto — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Diogo Costa n 890
2.35/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind GIL Vicente v FC Porto — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GIL VicenteLDWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
FC PortoWWWLL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
GIL Vicente 1 · 1 draw · FC Porto 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-01-26 FC Porto 3–0 GIL Vicente
  • 2025-08-18 GIL Vicente 0–2 FC Porto
  • 2025-01-19 GIL Vicente 3–1 FC Porto
  • 2024-08-10 FC Porto 3–0 GIL Vicente
  • 2024-02-25 GIL Vicente 1–1 FC Porto
  • 2023-09-23 FC Porto 2–1 GIL Vicente
League standing · 2026/27
GIL Vicente#6 pos14 pts8 pl+2 GD
FC Porto#1 pos24 pts8 pl+16 GD
Goals per game
GIL Vicente scored1
FC Porto scored2.5
GIL Vicente conceded0.75
FC Porto conceded0.5

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win GIL Vicente v FC Porto?
TACTIX’s free model pick for GIL Vicente v FC Porto is Away win (best price 1.45 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between GIL Vicente and FC Porto?
In their last 6 meetings, GIL Vicente won 1, FC Porto won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of GIL Vicente and FC Porto?
Recent form — GIL Vicente 3W 1D 1L; FC Porto 3W 0D 2L.

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