Nacional v GIL Vicente prediction
Team pages: Nacional · GIL Vicente · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Nacional v GIL Vicente, Primeira Liga on Sun, 10 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Nacional host GIL Vicente in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 10 January (kick-off 16:00 UK).
The key numbers
Nacional have conceded 18 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Nacional have lost their last seven matches in all competitions. GIL Vicente are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. GIL Vicente are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Nacional.
Form and the table
Six of Nacional’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Nacional’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Nacional have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.71. Nacional have scored nine goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Seven of GIL Vicente’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of GIL Vicente’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, GIL Vicente have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.43. GIL Vicente have scored six goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). GIL Vicente have conceded five goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs.
Nacional (16th) and GIL Vicente (seventh) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have GIL Vicente the stronger side, 229 rating points above Nacional (GIL Vicente 1545, Nacional 1315, after at least 144 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 17 January 2026, finished GIL Vicente 2–1 Nacional.
Team news
Predicted Nacional XI (3-4-2-1): R. Bellucci, Z. Vitor, L. Santos, F. Gonçalves, W. Gasolina, Liziero, M. Jensen, M. Djaló, F. Soares, C. Labidi, P. Ruan — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Liziero (5.3 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) and Francisco Gonçalves (4.0 per match over four appearances, one assist) have been Nacional’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Nacional (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Liziero averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 338 minutes. Francisco Gonçalves averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 360 minutes.
Predicted GIL Vicente XI (4-2-3-1): Lucão, J. Buatu, M. Elimbi Gilbert, R. Esgaio, D. Moreira, A. Lausen, S. García, D. Prioste, G. Martins, Murilo, H. Hernández — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gil Pinto Martins (2.8 per match over seven appearances, one goal and two assists) and Lucão (2.8 per match over seven appearances) have been GIL Vicente’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for GIL Vicente (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gil Pinto Martins averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 518 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances. Lucão averages 1.8 saves per 90 over 549 minutes, with two or more saves in five of the last six appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Primeira Liga
- Head-to-head (last 6): Nacional 1 · draws 0 · GIL Vicente 5 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Nacional 0W 0D 5L · GIL Vicente 2W 1D 2L
Nacional v GIL Vicente (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Nacional for / against | Line | GIL Vicente for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.13 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.43 for · 4.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.57 for · 4.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11 for · 14 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.71 for · 10.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3 for · 6.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.57 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.71 for · 11.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.71 for · 11.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.43 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
Nacional
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Labidi n 8 | 64.6 | 2.3 | 1.2 | — |
| Matheus Dias n 8 | 79.6 | 1.8 | 0.4 | — |
| Liziero n 8 | 79.9 | 1.5 | 1.8 | — |
| Ivanildo Fernandes n 8 | 74.1 | 1.5 | 0.2 | — |
| Pablo Ruan n 8 | 65.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Obando n 8 | 33.8 | 2.3 | 1 |
| Stavros Gavriel n 8 | 35.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Pablo Ruan n 8 | 65.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Matchoi Djaló n 8 | 48 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Miguel Baeza n 8 | 70.8 | 1 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Gasolina n 8 | 73.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Matchoi Djaló n 8 | 48 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Léo Santos n 8 | 84.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Liziero n 8 | 79.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Miguel Baeza n 8 | 70.8 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Dongmo n 4 | 72 | 5.6 |
| Liziero n 8 | 79.9 | 3.8 |
| Deivison n 8 | 35.3 | 3.5 |
| C. Labidi n 8 | 64.6 | 2.6 |
| M. Jensen n 8 | 51.1 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Renato Bellucci n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
GIL Vicente
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zé Carlos n 8 | 45.3 | 3 | 2.2 | — |
| M. Fernández n 8 | 30.6 | 2.6 | 3.7 | — |
| Guilherme n 3 | 38 | 2.4 | 0.8 | — |
| José Silva n 8 | 15.1 | 2.2 | 0.7 | — |
| Carlos Eduardo n 8 | 22.9 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guilherme n 3 | 38 | 3.9 | 2.4 |
| Carlos Eduardo n 8 | 22.9 | 2.5 | 1 |
| Héctor Hernández n 8 | 61.4 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| Mohamed Kaba n 5 | 30 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| T. Touré n 8 | 27.9 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guilherme n 3 | 38 | 2.4 | 0 |
| Héctor Hernández n 8 | 61.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Gil Pinto Martins n 8 | 65 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Carlos Eduardo n 8 | 22.9 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Murilo n 8 | 71.9 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Zé Carlos n 8 | 45.3 | 4 |
| José Silva n 8 | 15.1 | 3 |
| Ricardo Esgaio n 8 | 87.8 | 2.6 |
| Joelson Fernandes n 8 | 51 | 2.6 |
| Guilherme n 3 | 38 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Lucão n 8 | 91.1 | 1.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Nacional v GIL Vicente — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-01-17 GIL Vicente 2–1 Nacional
- 2025-08-09 Nacional 0–2 GIL Vicente
- 2025-04-19 Nacional 0–3 GIL Vicente
- 2024-12-07 GIL Vicente 2–1 Nacional
- 2021-03-19 GIL Vicente 2–0 Nacional
- 2020-11-08 Nacional 2–1 GIL Vicente
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Nacional and GIL Vicente?
- In their last 6 meetings, Nacional won 1, GIL Vicente won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Nacional and GIL Vicente?
- Recent form — Nacional 0W 0D 5L; GIL Vicente 2W 1D 2L.
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