Nacional v Sporting CP prediction
Team pages: Nacional · Sporting CP · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Nacional v Sporting CP, Primeira Liga on Sun, 14 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Nacional host Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 14 February (kick-off 16:00 UK).
The key numbers
Sporting CP have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Nacional have lost their last seven matches in all competitions. Sporting CP are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Nacional, every meeting checked.
Form and the table
Six of Nacional’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Nacional’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Nacional have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.71. Nacional have scored nine goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Nacional have conceded 18 goals, the most of the 18 clubs.
12 of Sporting CP’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 11 of Sporting CP’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Sporting CP have four wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.33 points per game, scoring 2.67 and conceding 0.83. Sporting CP have scored 20 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Sporting CP have conceded nine goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.
Nacional (16th) and Sporting CP (third) are 14 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sporting CP the stronger side, 607 rating points above Nacional (Sporting CP 1922, Nacional 1315, after at least 144 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 5 September 2026, finished Sporting CP 2–0 Nacional.
Team news
Predicted Nacional XI (3-4-2-1): R. Bellucci, Z. Vitor, L. Santos, F. Gonçalves, W. Gasolina, Liziero, M. Jensen, M. Djaló, F. Soares, C. Labidi, P. Ruan — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Liziero (5.3 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) and Francisco Gonçalves (4.0 per match over four appearances, one assist) have been Nacional’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Nacional (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Liziero averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 338 minutes. Francisco Gonçalves averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 360 minutes.
Predicted Sporting CP XI (4-2-3-1): R. Silva, G. Inácio, I. Fresneda, M. Araújo, Z. Debast, S. Altimira, I. Doumbia, R. Zalazar, G. Catamo, F. Gonçalves, L. Suárez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, L. Suárez (5.8 per match over 11 appearances, 11 goals and one assist) and Sergi Altimira (4.9 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) have been Sporting CP’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sporting CP (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Suárez averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 1352 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Sergi Altimira averages 0.2 key passes per 90 over 987 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Primeira Liga
- Head-to-head (last 6): Nacional 0 · draws 0 · Sporting CP 6 · 3.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Nacional 0W 0D 5L · Sporting CP 2W 2D 1L
Nacional v Sporting CP (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Nacional for / against | Line | Sporting CP for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.43 for · 4.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.5 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11 for · 14 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.88 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3 for · 6.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.71 for · 11.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.13 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.43 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Nacional
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Labidi n 8 | 64.6 | 2.3 | 1.2 | — |
| Matheus Dias n 8 | 79.6 | 1.8 | 0.4 | — |
| Liziero n 8 | 79.9 | 1.5 | 1.8 | — |
| Pablo Ruan n 8 | 65.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | — |
| Ivanildo Fernandes n 8 | 77.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Obando n 8 | 33.8 | 2.3 | 1 |
| Stavros Gavriel n 8 | 35.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Pablo Ruan n 8 | 65.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Matchoi Djaló n 8 | 48 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Miguel Baeza n 8 | 70.8 | 1 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Gasolina n 8 | 73.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Matchoi Djaló n 8 | 48 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Léo Santos n 8 | 84.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Liziero n 8 | 79.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Miguel Baeza n 8 | 70.8 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Dongmo n 4 | 72 | 5.6 |
| Liziero n 8 | 79.9 | 3.8 |
| Deivison n 8 | 35.3 | 3.5 |
| C. Labidi n 8 | 64.6 | 2.6 |
| M. Jensen n 8 | 51.1 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Renato Bellucci n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
Sporting CP
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iván Fresneda n 8 | 80.1 | 2 | 1.1 | — |
| G. Vagiannidis n 8 | 65.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | — |
| N. Irankunda n 8 | 60.4 | 1.5 | 1.1 | — |
| F. Ioannidis n 8 | 37.4 | 1.5 | 3.6 | — |
| Pedro Lima n 8 | 56.4 | 1.4 | 1.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Derry n 8 | 16.5 | 4.1 | 2 |
| L. Suárez n 8 | 63.1 | 3 | 2 |
| Pedro Lima n 8 | 56.4 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| R. Zalazar n 8 | 43.9 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| M. Araújo n 8 | 82.4 | 2 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Suárez n 8 | 63.1 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Flávio Gonçalves n 8 | 51.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| R. Zalazar n 8 | 43.9 | 0.8 | 0 |
| M. Araújo n 8 | 82.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| N. Irankunda n 8 | 60.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Derry n 8 | 16.5 | 3.4 |
| Eduardo Quaresma n 8 | 72.8 | 2.9 |
| Sergi Altimira n 8 | 89.6 | 2.6 |
| Pedro Lima n 8 | 56.4 | 2.6 |
| Iván Fresneda n 8 | 80.1 | 2.4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Nacional v Sporting CP — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-09-05 Sporting CP 2–0 Nacional
- 2026-02-01 Sporting CP 2–1 Nacional
- 2025-08-23 Nacional 1–4 Sporting CP
- 2025-01-25 Sporting CP 2–0 Nacional
- 2024-08-17 Nacional 1–6 Sporting CP
- 2021-05-01 Sporting CP 2–0 Nacional
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Nacional and Sporting CP?
- In their last 6 meetings, Nacional won 0, Sporting CP won 6 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Nacional and Sporting CP?
- Recent form — Nacional 0W 0D 5L; Sporting CP 2W 2D 1L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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