Rio Ave v SC Braga prediction

Primeira Liga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Rio Ave vs SC Braga, Primeira Liga on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

Form and momentum

Rio Ave are winless in their last four matches (last 15 results). Seven of Rio Ave’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Rio Ave’s last 15 results (40%).

Seven of SC Braga’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of SC Braga’s last 15 results (40%).

The shape of the game

At home, Rio Ave have no wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches — 0.43 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 2.43. Rio Ave have scored five goals, the 14th-highest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Rio Ave have conceded 15 goals, the 16th-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

At away, SC Braga have two wins, five draws and two defeats in their last 9 away matches — 1.22 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.11. SC Braga have scored seven goals, the 12th-highest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). SC Braga have conceded five goals, the 3rd-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Rio Ave (16th) and SC Braga (6th) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have SC Braga the stronger side, 263 rating points above Rio Ave (1439 v 1702, after at least 281 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 8 February 2026, finished SC Braga 3–0 Rio Ave.

Players to watch

By TACTIX Impact, J. Blesa (4.6 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) and Diogo Bezerra (3.2 per match over seven appearances, three assists) have been Rio Ave’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rio Ave: J. Blesa 0.9 shots per 90 (618 minutes), a shot in 5 of the last 7 appearances; Diogo Bezerra 1.3 key passes per 90 (554 minutes), a key pass in 3 of the last 7 appearances (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off).

By TACTIX Impact, Demir Ege Tıknaz (4.0 per match over eight appearances, two assists) and Pau Victor (3.8 per match over eight appearances, four goals and one assist) have been SC Braga’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for SC Braga: Demir Ege Tıknaz 1.1 key passes per 90 (635 minutes), a key pass in 6 of the last 10 appearances; Pau Victor 1.3 shots per 90 (624 minutes), a shot in 6 of the last 8 appearances (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off).

Predicted line-ups

Predicted Rio Ave XI (4-2-3-1): E. van der Gouw, F. Petrasso, Gustavo Mancha, G. Liavas, N. Abbey, T. Nikitscher, A. Ntoi, Diogo Bezerra, Diogo Nascimento, Roland Galčík, Tamble Monteiro — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Predicted SC Braga XI (3-4-3): Bernardo Fontes, Vitor Carvalho, G. Lagerbielke, Sergio Barcia, Víctor Gómez, João Moutinho, Demir Ege Tıknaz, Gabri Martínez, Pau Victor, Gabriel Silva, M. Dorgeles — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

TACTIX runs Rio Ave vs SC Braga (Primeira Liga) through its calibrated model across every major market, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 0.88
Goals
against 2 / 0.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 4.5
Corners
against 6.25 / 3.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 5.75 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 2
Cards
against 1.25 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameRio Ave for / againstLineSC Braga for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 0.38 against n 8
Corners won
2.75 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
7 for · 17.13 against n 8
19.5standard
10.63 for · 7.25 against n 8
Shots on target
2.63 for · 5.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.63 for · 12.75 against n 8
21.5standard
12.63 for · 14 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.63 against n 8
Rio Ave
Rio Ave — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Ntoi n 866.4
26/4
0.83/2
—
T. Nikitscher n 877.5
1.96/5
1.98/3
—
D. Špikić n 846.8
1.76/1
13/1
—
S. Garcia n 470
1.63/2
0.31/0
—
Roland Galčík n 742.6
1.53/1
0.93/0
—
Rio Ave — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Sellouki n 853.1
1.95/3
0.63/0
S. Clemmensen n 864.9
1.44/3
0.32/0
Diogo Nascimento n 858.4
1.24/2
0.42/0
D. Špikić n 846.8
1.23/2
00/0
Roland Galčík n 742.6
1.23/1
0.62/0
Rio Ave — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Blesa n 888.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
Diogo Bezerra n 879.5
00/0
0.42/1
Roland Galčík n 742.6
0.31/0
00/0
Tamble Monteiro n 864.9
0.21/0
00/0
Diogo Nascimento n 858.4
00/0
0.21/0
Rio Ave — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Vrousai n 836.6
5.26/3
A. Papakanellos n 819.5
3.53/3
N. Abbey n 873.5
3.17/5
T. Nikitscher n 877.5
38/6
G. Liavas n 858.8
2.56/4
Rio Ave — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. van der Gouw n 891.1
3.58/6
SC Braga
SC Braga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Tomás Marqués n 615
63/2
22/0
—
Adrian Bajrami n 854.4
2.95/4
0.63/0
—
Pau Victor n 878
2.36/5
1.66/3
—
Sergio Barcia n 865.1
2.25/5
0.93/2
—
Fran Navarro n 862.9
26/3
2.35/4
—
SC Braga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Wind n 840.6
2.27/1
1.76/0
Diogo Travassos n 853.1
1.96/2
0.84/0
Gabri Martínez n 847.6
1.95/2
0.93/1
Ricardo Horta n 867.3
1.76/4
0.73/1
J. Milošević n 845.5
1.75/1
0.73/0
SC Braga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Diego Rodrigues n 831.1
0.72/0
0.41/0
Pau Victor n 878
0.63/1
0.11/0
J. Wind n 840.6
0.62/0
00/0
Ricardo Horta n 867.3
0.32/0
0.21/0
Gabri Martínez n 847.6
0.52/0
00/0
SC Braga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jean-Baptiste Gorby n 651.3
3.25/4
D. Huseinbašić n 844.6
2.55/3
Demir Ege Tıknaz n 854.6
2.36/3
Adrian Bajrami n 854.4
2.34/3
Diogo Travassos n 853.1
2.35/3
SC Braga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Bernardo Fontes n 891.5
1.42/1

TACTIX model preview

The TACTIX model has priced Rio Ave vs SC Braga across every betting markets. Here’s a free pick to get you started:

Today’s free pick for this match posts shortly before kick-off.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Rio Ave v SC Braga — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Rio AveWLLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
SC BragaWWLWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rio Ave 1 · 2 draws · SC Braga 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-02-08 SC Braga 3–0 Rio Ave
  • 2025-08-31 Rio Ave 2–2 SC Braga
  • 2025-03-02 Rio Ave 2–1 SC Braga
  • 2024-09-29 SC Braga 4–0 Rio Ave
  • 2024-03-09 Rio Ave 0–0 SC Braga
  • 2023-10-07 SC Braga 2–1 Rio Ave
League standing · 2026/27
Rio Ave#16 pos4 pts7 pl-10 GD
SC Braga#6 pos11 pts6 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Rio Ave scored0.71
SC Braga scored1.17
Rio Ave conceded2.14
SC Braga conceded0.83

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Rio Ave and SC Braga?
In their last 6 meetings, Rio Ave won 1, SC Braga won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rio Ave and SC Braga?
Recent form — Rio Ave 1W 1D 3L; SC Braga 3W 1D 1L.

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