Santa Clara v Estrela result

Full-time · Santa Clara 0–0 Estrela

Primeira Liga · · Estádio de São Miguel

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Santa Clara 0–0 Estrela — this Primeira Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Santa Clara and Estrela drew 0–0 at Estádio de São Miguel in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 31 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Santa Clara out-shot Estrela 13 to 3 and created the better chances, 1.00 xG to 0.10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time.

Discipline

C. Macedo showed four yellow cards — against 2.4 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Santa Clara: Sidney Lima (34’) and Vinícius Lopes (39’); Estrela: Jovane Cabral (47’) and Robinho (51’).

What it changes

It was the only goalless draw of round 4, across nine matches. Santa Clara are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Estrela are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lucas Soares (Santa Clara) 6.1, Bernardo Schappo (Estrela) 5.2 and A. Marcus (Estrela) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.3% of the time in the last 90 days (92 of 176).

Next up

Santa Clara next host Benfica on 26 October 2026.

Estrela next host Casa Pia on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Santa Clara: Santa Clara v Benfica, Monday 26 October — the preview. Next for Estrela: Estrela v Casa Pia, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Santa Clara 0–0 Estrela · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio de São Miguel · Ponta Delgada
  • Referee: C. Macedo
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Santa Clara 1 · draws 1 · Estrela 0 · 0.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Santa Clara 0W 2D 3L · Estrela 0W 2D 3L

Santa Clara 0–0 Estrela (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

246
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Santa ClaraEstrela
55%Possession45%
1.00Expected goals (xG)0.10
13Shots3
3Shots on target0
5Shots off target3
5Blocked shots0
8Shots inside the box1
8Corners0
2Offsides0
13Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Saves3
409Passes352
84%Pass accuracy80%

Santa Clara player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Gabriel Batista9000000006.6
Sidney Lima90001000Y7.7
Frederico Venâncio9000000007.2
Matheus Araújo9000101007.2
Gabriel Silva9000212206.9
Matheus Pereira9000000306.7
Lucas Soares8000000407.3
Pedro Ferreira8000110206.7
Serginho6000002106.6
Paulo Victor6000000006.6
Vinícius Lopes45001000Y6.3
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos sub4500111106.9
Adriano Firmino sub3000100006.9
A. Carter sub3000001006.5
José Luís Rocha Tavares sub1000000006.6
Diogo Calila sub1000000006.3

Estrela player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Renan Ribeiro9000000006.6
Luan Patrick9000000207.6
Bernardo Schappo9000000507.7
A. Chernev9000000407.9
Robinho90001001Y6.7
S. Lopes Cabral9000000306.6
A. Marcus8700002307.2
Jovane Cabral78000001Y6.7
Alan Godoy7800100006.2
João Gastão6500001006.5
Jefferson Encada6400000006.6
Ryan sub2600000006.7
I. Stoica sub2500100006.3
Gonzalo Calçada sub1200000006.2
Jorge Meireles sub1200000006.3
Alexandre Sola sub1000000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Santa Clara v Estrela — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Santa ClaraLDLLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
EstrelaLLDLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Santa Clara 1 · 1 draw · Estrela 0 · 0.5 goals/game
  • 2025-02-23 Estrela 0–0 Santa Clara
  • 2024-09-21 Santa Clara 1–0 Estrela
League standing · 2025/26
Santa Clara#13 pos36 pts34 pl-9 GD
Estrela#15 pos30 pts34 pl-18 GD
Goals per game
Santa Clara scored0.94
Estrela scored1.12
Santa Clara conceded1.21
Estrela conceded1.65

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Santa Clara v Estrela?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Santa Clara v Estrela was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Santa Clara and Estrela?
In their last 2 meetings, Santa Clara won 1, Estrela won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 0.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Santa Clara and Estrela?
Recent form — Santa Clara 0W 2D 3L; Estrela 0W 2D 3L.

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