Al-Faisaly FC v Al-Nassr prediction

The match

Al-Faisaly FC host Al-Nassr in the Pro League (Saudi-Arabia) on Friday 23 October (kick-off 14:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Al-Nassr to win.

The key numbers

12 of Al-Nassr’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Form and the table

Five of Al-Faisaly FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Al-Faisaly FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Al-Faisaly FC have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.25. Al-Faisaly FC have scored eight goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al-Faisaly FC have conceded 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Both teams scored in 10 of Al-Nassr’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Al-Nassr have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 2.00. Al-Nassr have scored 19 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al-Nassr have conceded seven goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Al-Faisaly FC (15th) and Al-Nassr (third) are 13 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Al-Nassr the stronger side, 413 rating points above Al-Faisaly FC (Al-Nassr 1882, Al-Faisaly FC 1469, after at least 154 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 15 January 2022, finished Al-Nassr 4–0 Al-Faisaly FC.

Team news

Predicted Al-Faisaly FC XI (4-1-4-1): F. Pacheco, A. Seck, M. Al Shanqiti, A. Girotto, Y. Barnawi, J. Seoane, A. Al Shereaf, C. Bassogog, E. Al Muwallad, Flávio, A. Mendy — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Andrei Girotto (4.7 per match over eight appearances, one assist) and Flávio (3.9 per match over four appearances, one assist) have been Al-Faisaly FC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Faisaly FC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Andrei Girotto averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 726 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances. Flávio averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 315 minutes.

Predicted Al-Nassr XI (4-4-2): Bento, N. Boushal, Í. Martínez, M. Simakan, A. Al Amri, S. Mané, S. Costa, Ângelo, K. Coman, J. Félix, C. Ronaldo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Mané (5.2 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and three assists) and Ângelo (4.7 per match over nine appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Al-Nassr’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Nassr (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Mané averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 1285 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Ângelo averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 634 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last nine appearances.