Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al-Hilal Saudi FC prediction

Pro League · · Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al-Hilal Saudi FC, Pro League on Fri, 23 Oct 2026 19:00 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.50 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 624 landed (95% range 62.1–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 420 of 640 times (65.6%), against an average rating of 68.5%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Al-Qadisiyah FC host Al-Hilal Saudi FC in the Pro League (Saudi-Arabia) on Friday 23 October (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Al-Hilal Saudi FC have scored 27 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Al-Qadisiyah FC are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions. Al-Hilal Saudi FC have won their last five matches in all competitions. Al-Qadisiyah FC have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions. Al-Hilal Saudi FC have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Al-Qadisiyah FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Al-Qadisiyah FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Al-Qadisiyah FC have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.29. Al-Qadisiyah FC have scored 24 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al-Qadisiyah FC have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Eight of Al-Hilal Saudi FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Al-Hilal Saudi FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Al-Hilal Saudi FC have seven wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.75 points per game, scoring 2.75 and conceding 0.38. Al-Hilal Saudi FC have conceded seven goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Al-Qadisiyah FC (first) and Al-Hilal Saudi FC (second) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Al-Qadisiyah FC the stronger side, 23 rating points above Al-Hilal Saudi FC (Al-Qadisiyah FC 1960, Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1937, after at least 164 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Al-Hilal Saudi FC are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Al-Qadisiyah FC. The most recent meeting, on 29 January 2026, finished Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC.

Team news

Predicted Al-Qadisiyah FC XI (3-5-2): K. Casteels, G. Álvarez, J. Thakri, Nacho, C. Bonsu Baah, J. Weigl, M. Al Shamat, T. Reijnders, M. Al Juwayr, J. Quiñones, M. Retegui — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mohammed Abu Al Shamat (6.3 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and five assists) and T. Reijnders (5.5 per match over 10 appearances, six goals and one assist) have been Al-Qadisiyah FC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Qadisiyah FC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mohammed Abu Al Shamat averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 1064 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. T. Reijnders averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 1539 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Al-Hilal Saudi FC XI (4-3-3): Y. Bounou, K. Koulibaly, M. Mahzari, H. Tambakti, M. Al Harbi, R. Neves, S. Milinković-Savić, M. Kanno, O. Watkins, S. Mandash, M. Meïté — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Rúben Neves (7.6 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and four assists) and O. Watkins (6.7 per match over seven appearances, five goals and four assists) have been Al-Hilal Saudi FC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Hilal Saudi FC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Rúben Neves averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 1341 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. O. Watkins averages 3.0 shots per 90 over 679 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Pro League · Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Al-Qadisiyah FC 1 · draws 2 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Al-Qadisiyah FC 4W 1D 0L · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 5W 0D 0L

Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al-Hilal Saudi FC (Pro League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.38 / 2.38
Goals
against 1 / 0.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.88 / 7.75
Corners
against 4.63 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 6.25
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 2.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAl-Qadisiyah FC for / againstLineAl-Hilal Saudi FC for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1 against n 8
3.25our book
2.38 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
7.75 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
13.63 for · 10.63 against n 8
19.5standard
18 for · 9.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
6.25 for · 2.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11.25 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2.75 against n 8
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Qadisiyah FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Houssa n 77.7
53/0
1.71/0
—
Haitham Asiri n 819
34/1
33/2
—
Cameron Puertas n 857.9
1.96/3
0.41/1
—
Mohammed Al Qahtani n 830.9
1.83/1
2.94/2
—
Turki Al Ammar n 818.4
1.83/0
00/0
—
Al-Qadisiyah FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Quiñones n 889.3
3.38/7
1.87/6
E. Houssa n 77.7
3.32/0
3.32/0
T. Reijnders n 878.4
37/6
1.66/3
Mohammed Al Qahtani n 830.9
2.23/2
0.72/0
Abdullah Al Salem n 825.6
2.23/1
0.41/0
Al-Qadisiyah FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Houssa n 77.7
1.71/0
00/0
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat n 883.6
0.43/0
0.75/0
M. Retegui n 871.3
0.85/0
0.32/0
T. Reijnders n 878.4
0.64/0
0.32/0
J. Quiñones n 889.3
0.54/0
0.31/1
Al-Qadisiyah FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat n 883.6
3.68/7
Haitham Asiri n 819
3.63/2
E. Houssa n 77.7
3.32/0
Cameron Puertas n 857.9
2.98/6
Badra Diabbate Ali n 851
2.45/3
Al-Qadisiyah FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Casteels n 890
2.36/4
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Hilal Saudi FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Murad Al Hawsawi n 815.3
5.96/1
1.52/0
—
Nasser Al Dawsari n 843.1
2.66/3
0.52/0
—
Yusuf Akçiçek n 854.6
1.65/2
00/0
—
Mohamed Kanno n 876.5
1.55/2
0.32/0
—
O. Watkins n 875.4
1.57/3
1.56/3
—
Al-Hilal Saudi FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Watkins n 875.4
38/6
1.66/3
Murad Al Hawsawi n 815.3
33/1
0.71/0
Gabriel Martinelli n 873.3
2.96/6
1.55/3
M. Meïté n 834.5
2.65/3
13/0
Mohamed Kanno n 876.5
2.47/6
0.95/1
Al-Hilal Saudi FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Watkins n 875.4
0.74/1
0.62/2
Sultan Mandash n 844.9
0.31/0
0.82/1
Gabriel Martinelli n 873.3
0.83/1
00/0
Rúben Neves n 869.3
0.32/0
0.21/0
Mohammed Mater Mohsin Mahzari n 884.8
00/0
0.32/0
Al-Hilal Saudi FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Murad Al Hawsawi n 815.3
4.46/0
Saad Al Mutairy n 37
4.31/0
Sultan Mandash n 844.9
35/3
Yusuf Akçiçek n 854.6
2.76/3
S. Dahal n 834.8
2.65/3
Al-Hilal Saudi FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Mohammed Al Owais n 890
4.98/7
Y. Bounou n 878.9
2.15/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al-Hilal Saudi FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Al-Qadisiyah FCWWDWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Al-Hilal Saudi FCWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Al-Qadisiyah FC 1 · 2 draws · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-01-29 Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC
  • 2025-09-13 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2–2 Al-Qadisiyah FC
  • 2025-05-26 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2–0 Al-Qadisiyah FC
  • 2025-01-27 Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC
  • 2021-03-20 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1–0 Al-Qadisiyah FC
  • 2020-12-21 Al-Qadisiyah FC 1–3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC
League standing · 2026/27
Al-Qadisiyah FC#1 pos25 pts10 pl+15 GD
Al-Hilal Saudi FC#2 pos24 pts9 pl+20 GD
Goals per game
Al-Qadisiyah FC scored2.4
Al-Hilal Saudi FC scored3
Al-Qadisiyah FC conceded0.9
Al-Hilal Saudi FC conceded0.78

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al-Hilal Saudi FC is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.50 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
In their last 6 meetings, Al-Qadisiyah FC won 1, Al-Hilal Saudi FC won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
Recent form — Al-Qadisiyah FC 4W 1D 0L; Al-Hilal Saudi FC 5W 0D 0L.

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