Al Shabab v Al-Faisaly FC prediction

Pro League · · Al-Shabab Club Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Al Shabab v Al-Faisaly FC, Pro League on Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.2% of 1485 landed (95% range 72.9–77.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Al Shabab host Al-Faisaly FC in the Pro League (Saudi-Arabia) on Monday 19 October (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Al Shabab or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Nine of Al Shabab’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Al Shabab’s last 15 results (67%). At home, Al Shabab have two wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 9 home matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.56 and conceding 2.22. Al Shabab have scored nine goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al Shabab have conceded 11 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Five of Al-Faisaly FC’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Al-Faisaly FC’s last 15 results (47%). Away from home, Al-Faisaly FC have no wins, two draws and five defeats in their last 7 away matches — 0.29 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 1.57. Al-Faisaly FC have scored eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al-Faisaly FC have conceded 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Al Shabab (13th) and Al-Faisaly FC (15th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Al-Faisaly FC the stronger side, 4 rating points above Al Shabab (Al-Faisaly FC 1469, Al Shabab 1466, after at least 154 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Al Shabab are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Al-Faisaly FC. The most recent meeting, on 12 May 2022, finished Al Shabab 1–0 Al-Faisaly FC.

Team news

Predicted Al Shabab XI (4-4-2): M. Diaw, T. Jedvaj, M. Al Thani, M. Barry, D. Al Anazi, Y. Carrasco, Y. Adli, J. Brownhill, H. Al-Hammami, R. Martínez, R. Mathias — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Y. Carrasco (4.8 per match over eight appearances, three goals and one assist) and J. Brownhill (4.6 per match over eight appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Al Shabab’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al Shabab (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Y. Carrasco averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 720 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last eight appearances. J. Brownhill averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 720 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Al-Faisaly FC XI (4-1-4-1): F. Pacheco, A. Seck, M. Al Shanqiti, A. Girotto, Y. Barnawi, J. Seoane, A. Al Shereaf, C. Bassogog, E. Al Muwallad, Flávio, A. Mendy — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Andrei Girotto (4.7 per match over eight appearances, one assist) and Alexandre Mendy (3.8 per match over eight appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Al-Faisaly FC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Faisaly FC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Andrei Girotto averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 726 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances. Alexandre Mendy averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 729 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Pro League · Al-Shabab Club Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Al Shabab 2 · draws 3 · Al-Faisaly FC 1 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Al Shabab 1W 2D 2L · Al-Faisaly FC 1W 2D 2L

Al Shabab v Al-Faisaly FC (Pro League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6 / 2.38
Corners
against 5.38 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAl Shabab for / againstLineAl-Faisaly FC for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
2.38 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
12.63 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
8.38 for · 14.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.75 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
9 for · 15.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.38 against n 8
Al Shabab
Al Shabab — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Awad Al Nashri n 862.8
3.46/5
0.42/0
—
Dhari Al Anazi n 865.6
2.66/5
1.44/3
—
Ricardo Mathias n 833.1
2.45/2
13/0
—
Daniel Podence n 850.8
2.26/2
1.35/1
—
Ali Al Asmari n 848.1
1.44/2
1.43/2
—
Al Shabab — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Daniel Podence n 850.8
2.45/3
0.73/0
Ricardo Mathias n 833.1
2.44/3
1.43/1
Y. Carrasco n 890
27/6
1.37/2
Carlos Júnior n 879.5
1.87/3
14/1
Roger Martínez n 877.4
1.67/4
15/2
Al Shabab — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ricardo Mathias n 833.1
0.31/0
0.72/0
Carlos Júnior n 879.5
0.62/1
00/0
Y. Carrasco n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
J. Brownhill n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
Roger Martínez n 877.4
0.32/0
00/0
Al Shabab — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Awad Al Nashri n 862.8
57/7
Abdullah Matuq n 834.1
3.66/4
Sultan Al Anzi n 449.5
3.24/2
Ali Al Asmari n 848.1
2.35/2
Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani n 886.3
2.27/5
Al Shabab — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Diaw n 885.9
2.56/6
Mohammed Al-Mahasneh n 390
2.32/2
Al-Faisaly FC
Al-Faisaly FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ahmad Al Mhemaid n 563.4
2.62/2
0.62/0
—
Saud Haddad n 513.6
2.62/0
2.62/0
—
A. Ba n 852.5
1.75/3
0.21/0
—
Khalid Al-Harbi n 557
1.63/2
0.93/0
—
Mohammed Ali Al Shanqiti n 881.8
1.47/2
1.55/3
—
Al-Faisaly FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Abdulaziz Al Bishi n 827.4
2.54/1
0.82/0
Alexandre Mendy n 891.1
2.37/5
1.26/2
Yousef Al Shammari n 827
2.15/0
1.33/0
T. Bongonda n 855.4
1.46/1
0.63/0
Saud Haddad n 513.6
1.31/0
00/0
Al-Faisaly FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Saud Haddad n 513.6
00/0
1.31/0
Alexandre Mendy n 891.1
0.52/1
0.11/0
Abdullah Almuqrin n 818.9
00/0
0.61/0
C. Bassogog n 874.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
T. Bongonda n 855.4
0.42/0
00/0
Al-Faisaly FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ayman Fallatah\t n 817
43/2
Abdullah Almuqrin n 818.9
33/1
Andrei Girotto n 890.8
2.78/5
Eid Al Muwallad n 851.8
2.64/3
Mohammed Ali Al Shanqiti n 881.8
2.58/4
Al-Faisaly FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Fernando Pacheco n 890.8
3.25/4

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Al Shabab v Al-Faisaly FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Al ShababDLLDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Al-Faisaly FCLDDLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Al Shabab 2 · 3 draws · Al-Faisaly FC 1 · 2 goals/game
  • 2022-05-12 Al Shabab 1–0 Al-Faisaly FC
  • 2021-11-20 Al-Faisaly FC 0–0 Al Shabab
  • 2021-05-23 Al-Faisaly FC 1–5 Al Shabab
  • 2021-01-19 Al Shabab 1–1 Al-Faisaly FC
  • 2020-02-07 Al-Faisaly FC 2–1 Al Shabab
  • 2019-08-30 Al Shabab 0–0 Al-Faisaly FC
League standing · 2026/27
Al Shabab#13 pos7 pts8 pl-2 GD
Al-Faisaly FC#15 pos6 pts8 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Al Shabab scored1.13
Al-Faisaly FC scored1
Al Shabab conceded1.38
Al-Faisaly FC conceded1.88

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value vs the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Al Shabab v Al-Faisaly FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Al Shabab v Al-Faisaly FC is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Al Shabab and Al-Faisaly FC?
In their last 6 meetings, Al Shabab won 2, Al-Faisaly FC won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Al Shabab and Al-Faisaly FC?
Recent form — Al Shabab 1W 2D 2L; Al-Faisaly FC 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value vs the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →