Eibar v Mallorca prediction

The match

Eibar host Mallorca in Segunda División on Saturday 17 October (kick-off 15:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Mallorca offsides over 0.5, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Eibar have scored in 15 consecutive matches — every result checked. Eibar have scored 19 goals, the most of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Form and the table

11 of Eibar’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in eight of Eibar’s last 15 results (53%). At home, Eibar have four wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 6 home matches — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.50. Eibar have conceded 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Five of Mallorca’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in four of Mallorca’s last 15 results (27%). Away from home, Mallorca have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.50 and conceding 1.13. Mallorca have scored 11 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Mallorca have conceded four goals, the fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Eibar (second) and Mallorca (fourth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Mallorca the stronger side, 11 rating points above Eibar (Mallorca 1710, Eibar 1699, after at least 95 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Mallorca are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Eibar, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 5 January 2022, finished Eibar 1–2 Mallorca.

Team news

Predicted Eibar XI (4-2-3-1): J. Mikel, A. Arbilla, U. Elgezabal, Á. Rodríguez, J. Bernat, A. Madariaga, A. Garrido, J. Guruzeta, J. Magunazelaia, M. Adu, J. Bautista — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ander Madariaga (4.4 per match over nine appearances, two goals and two assists) and Malcom Adu (4.2 per match over eight appearances, two goals and three assists) have been Eibar’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Eibar (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ander Madariaga averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 766 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last nine appearances. Malcom Adu averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 512 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Mallorca XI (4-1-3-2): A. Tenas, Raíllo, M. Valjent, M. Calatayud, A. Souhmahoro, Á. Sala, M. Morlanes, Darder, P. Torre, Fuentes, J. Cerdà — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Álex Sala (3.7 per match over nine appearances, two goals and two assists) and Fuentes (3.7 per match over nine appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Mallorca’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Mallorca (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Álex Sala averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 691 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances. Fuentes averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 746 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last nine appearances.