Free model picks
Segunda División Predictions: Free Model Picks, Graded
18 Segunda División fixtures kick off in the next 10 days, starting with Burgos v Celta de Vigo II (Sat, 07 Nov 2026 13:00 GMT). 8 of them carry a free TACTIX model pick, shown with the best bookmaker price. Castellón lead the table on 27 points after 12 games, 1 point clear of Almeria.
A free TACTIX model pick for every upcoming Segunda División fixture, with the best bookmaker price. Our model is calibrated to ±0.2% across 6M+ graded predictions (all markets, player markets included) — the full win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets are part of Pro.
Updated · picks refresh daily · live track record
Key Facts
Figures as of
Segunda División’s top scorer is Enric with eight goals, one goal ahead of A. Marin (this season so far).
Across 131 matches (this season so far), Segunda División has produced 2.73 goals per game.
This Round at a Glance
- Strongest favourite among the free picks: Burgos v Celta de Vigo II (Sat, 07 Nov 2026 13:00 GMT) — the free pick is Burgos to win.
- Closest call: Sporting Gijon v Valladolid (Sun, 08 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT) — the smallest gap of the round between the two sides’ chances of winning, by the model.
- Likeliest draw: Girona v Almeria (Sun, 08 Nov 2026 15:15 GMT) — the highest draw chance of the round, by the model.
- Most goals among the free picks: Las Palmas v Eldense (Sun, 08 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT) — the free pick is over 2.5 goals.
Each line ranks the model’s own probabilities for the round’s eight matches (from Sat, 07 Nov 2026 13:00 GMT); the favourite and goals lines rank the free picks only. The probabilities themselves, and every market, are on each match page with Pro.
Celta de Vigo II have scored in their last 6 (all competitions we cover)
Oviedo have scored in their last 9 (all competitions we cover)
Cordoba have scored in their last 8 (all competitions we cover)
Leganes are winless in their last 6 (all competitions we cover)
Almeria are unbeaten in their last 10 (all competitions we cover)
Valladolid have scored in their last 8 (all competitions we cover)
Leganes are winless in their last 6 (all competitions we cover)
Valladolid have scored in their last 8 (all competitions we cover)
Almeria are unbeaten in their last 10 (all competitions we cover)
Cordoba have scored in their last 8 (all competitions we cover)
Oviedo have scored in their last 9 (all competitions we cover)
Tenerife are winless in their last 7 (all competitions we cover)
Granada CF have scored in their last 9 (all competitions we cover)
What the Data Says About Segunda División
TACTIX lists 18 upcoming Segunda División fixtures in the next ten days, eight of them with a free model pick — the single strongest lean in the 62–80% probability band — shown with the best bookmaker price at build time. Across the whole estate the model runs at ±0.2% mean calibration error across a 6M+-prediction track record (all markets, player markets included); the record is published live, losing predictions included, on the scoreboard and as a hash-chained pre-commitment ledger, so any pick can be checked against what was written before kick-off. In Segunda División specifically, the last 30 days of settled free picks read 30 from 44, every result kept. Expected goals, venue-adjusted team ratings and market prices feed one calibrated probability per market; a prediction is a probability, never a certainty. This page is regenerated daily (figures as of 5 Nov 2026) and every number in this paragraph is computed at build time, never typed in. Scoreboard · Ledger · How accurate is TACTIX?
This matchweek in numbers
18 fixtures in Segunda División fall inside the next 10 days, starting with Burgos v Celta de Vigo II (Sat, 07 Nov 2026 13:00 GMT). TACTIX’s free pick is posted on 8 of the 18 fixtures in the next 10 days; the remaining markets on every match are Pro. Recent record: the free Segunda División pick landed 30 of 44 over the last 30 days (each free pick graded as shown).
The table so far
Castellón lead Segunda División on 27 points from 12 games, one point clear of Almeria (this season so far). Segunda División is averaging 2.73 goals a game across 131 matches, this season so far. The scoring race: Enric on eight goals, A. Marin on 7.
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Segunda División at a Glance
Long-run averages the model fits for Segunda División — the baseline every Segunda División match starts from before team form.
Segunda División Table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 5 | +18 | 27 |
| 2 | Almeria | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 10 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 | Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 | Granada CF | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 22 |
| 6 | Sporting Gijon | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 | Girona | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 21 |
| 8 | Burgos | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 18 |
| 10 | Sabadell | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 17 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Valladolid | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 15 |
| 14 | Tenerife | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 |
| 15 | Eldense | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 13 |
| 17 | Leganes | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 18 | Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 11 |
| 19 | Cadiz | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 10 |
| 20 | FC Andorra | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
| 21 | Albacete | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 7 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 5 |
Current Segunda División standings — tap a club for its form, fixtures and model outlook.
Model record · last 30 Days
How the free (Bronze) Segunda División pick shown on each match has settled over the last 30 days — every result, win or lose. 1-unit flat stakes at the price shown.
Season Leaders
Top Scorers
- Enric8 G
- A. Marin7 G
- Fuentes7 G
- Miguel de la Fuente7 G
- Israel Suero6 G
Top Assists
How These Picks Work
Each card shows the model’s free pick and the best price we can find across UK bookmakers. We surface one pick per match free; the complete forecast — calibrated win probability, expected goals and value vs the market — opens with TACTIX Pro. We lead with calibration, not an inflated accuracy headline, and the live record (losers included) is on the scoreboard. To see the probability a price implies, and its fair odds with the bookmaker’s margin removed, use the odds calculator.
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Segunda División Player Stats
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Win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets for every fixture.