Granada CF v Valladolid prediction
Team pages: Granada CF · Valladolid · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Granada CF v Valladolid, Segunda División on Fri, 23 Oct 2026 19:30 BST.
The match
Granada CF host Valladolid in Segunda División on Friday 23 October (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
Granada CF have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Valladolid have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Seven of Granada CF’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Granada CF’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Granada CF have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.57. Granada CF have scored 16 goals, the fifth-most of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Granada CF have conceded 13 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs.
Seven of Valladolid’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Valladolid’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Valladolid have no wins, three draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.38 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 1.75. Valladolid have scored 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Valladolid have conceded 14 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 22 clubs.
Granada CF (seventh) and Valladolid (13th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Granada CF the stronger side, 88 rating points above Valladolid (Granada CF 1563, Valladolid 1475, after at least 182 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Granada CF 5–1 Valladolid.
Team news
Predicted Granada CF XI (4-4-2): R. Lizoain, M. Lama, S. López, D. Pampín, B. Gimber, Gumbau, R. Alcaraz, P. Alemañ, S. Rodelas, J. Arnáiz, C. Onouha — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Manu Lama (4.5 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and two assists) and Alberto Flores (3.7 per match over three appearances) have been Granada CF’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Granada CF (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Manu Lama averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 900 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Alberto Flores averages 3.3 saves per 90 over 270 minutes.
Predicted Valladolid XI (4-2-3-1): Á. Aceves, D. Torres, I. Alejo, I. Garriel, P. Tomeo, J. Ponceau, S. Jurić, L. Chacón, V. Fernández, T. Ojeda, J. Latasa — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Adrian Arnuncio (5.6 per match over six appearances, four goals and one assist) and Iván Alejo (4.3 per match over nine appearances) have been Valladolid’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Valladolid (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Adrian Arnuncio averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 374 minutes, with a shot in five of the last six appearances. Iván Alejo averages 4.7 tackles per 90 over 744 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last nine appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Segunda División
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Granada CF 3 · draws 1 · Valladolid 2 · 3.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Granada CF 2W 1D 2L · Valladolid 2W 2D 1L
Granada CF v Valladolid (Segunda División): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Granada CF for / against | Line | Valladolid for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.13 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.13 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16.38 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.63 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.25 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.75 for · 15.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.38 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.63 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Granada CF
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. M. Chukwuemeka n 8 | 39.4 | 3.1 | 1.1 | — |
| C. Onouha n 8 | 41 | 3 | 4.1 | — |
| Rubén Alcaraz n 8 | 79.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | — |
| A. Garcia n 4 | 29 | 1.6 | 3.9 | — |
| B. Gimber n 8 | 64.8 | 1.4 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Pascual n 8 | 39.1 | 4.6 | 1.4 |
| C. Onouha n 8 | 41 | 2.5 | 0 |
| Alejandro Marqués n 8 | 40.4 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| José Arnáiz n 8 | 82.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Pascual n 8 | 39.1 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Sergio Rodelas n 8 | 53.1 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Alejandro Marqués n 8 | 40.4 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Manu Lama n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Pedro Alemañ n 8 | 57.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Gambin n 8 | 26.5 | 4.2 |
| Pau Casadesús n 8 | 51.4 | 3.7 |
| Manu Lama n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
| B. Gimber n 8 | 64.8 | 2.8 |
| Juan José Flores Castro n 8 | 79.9 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Raúl Lizoain n 8 | 90 | 4.3 |
| Alberto Flores n 4 | 90 | 3 |
Valladolid
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álex Balboa n 8 | 34.4 | 4.6 | 2.9 | — |
| Iván Alejo n 8 | 81.8 | 2.9 | 3.2 | — |
| Juanmi Latasa n 8 | 53.5 | 2.9 | 1.9 | — |
| K. de Rooij n 8 | 35.1 | 2.6 | 1.6 | — |
| Yeray Cabanzón n 8 | 36.9 | 2.1 | 1.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Barberá n 8 | 19.4 | 4.1 | 2.9 |
| T. Abed n 8 | 22.5 | 3 | 1 |
| Juanmi Latasa n 8 | 53.5 | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| Yeray Cabanzón n 8 | 36.9 | 2.7 | 0.6 |
| Víctor Fernández n 8 | 60.9 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Barberá n 8 | 19.4 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Adrian Arnuncio n 8 | 50.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| J. Ponceau n 8 | 75.6 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Víctor Fernández n 8 | 60.9 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Juanmi Latasa n 8 | 53.5 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Iván Alejo n 8 | 81.8 | 5.2 |
| Clerc n 8 | 66.8 | 3.9 |
| Iván Garriel n 8 | 78 | 3.8 |
| M. Lachuer n 8 | 48 | 3.5 |
| Trilli n 8 | 78.5 | 2.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Álvaro Aceves n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Granada CF v Valladolid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-14 Granada CF 5–1 Valladolid
- 2025-11-03 Valladolid 2–1 Granada CF
- 2021-04-11 Valladolid 1–2 Granada CF
- 2020-11-22 Granada CF 1–3 Valladolid
- 2020-02-15 Granada CF 2–1 Valladolid
- 2019-09-24 Valladolid 1–1 Granada CF
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Granada CF v Valladolid?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Granada CF v Valladolid is Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.05 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Granada CF and Valladolid?
- In their last 6 meetings, Granada CF won 3, Valladolid won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Granada CF and Valladolid?
- Recent form — Granada CF 2W 1D 2L; Valladolid 2W 2D 1L.
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