Las Palmas v Real Sociedad II prediction

Segunda División · · Estadio de Gran Canaria

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Las Palmas v Real Sociedad II, Segunda División on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 17:30 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Las Palmas host Real Sociedad II in Segunda División on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 17:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Las Palmas are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Las Palmas’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Las Palmas’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Las Palmas have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.86 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.43. Las Palmas have scored 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Las Palmas have conceded 19 goals, the fifth-most of the 22 clubs.

Real Sociedad II have scored 14 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Real Sociedad II have conceded 21 goals, the second-most of the 22 clubs.

Las Palmas (16th) and Real Sociedad II (19th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Las Palmas the stronger side, 159 rating points above Real Sociedad II (Las Palmas 1471, Real Sociedad II 1312, after at least 94 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Las Palmas are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Real Sociedad II, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 30 January 2026, finished Real Sociedad II 1–1 Las Palmas.

Team news

Predicted Las Palmas XI (4-4-2): J. Caro, V. Pezzolesi, G. Bonfanti, J. Herzog, Á. Suárez, T. Miyashiro, I. Jaime, K. Rodríguez, I. Zambrano, Jesé, J. Betancor — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Valentín Pezzolesi (5.1 per match over 10 appearances, two goals) and Iván Jaime (4.4 per match over eight appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Las Palmas’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Las Palmas (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Valentín Pezzolesi averages 2.9 tackles per 90 over 900 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Iván Jaime averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 1402 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Real Sociedad II XI (4-3-3): A. Fraga, J. Balda, K. Kita, J. Garro, I. Rupérez, T. Carbonell, G. Gorosabel, I. Aguirre, G. Carrera, A. Mariezkurrena, J. Soroeta — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gorka Gorosabel (4.3 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and one assist) and Iñaki Rupérez (3.6 per match over five appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Real Sociedad II’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Real Sociedad II (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gorka Gorosabel averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 704 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Iñaki Rupérez averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 340 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Segunda División · Estadio de Gran Canaria
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Las Palmas 2 · draws 2 · Real Sociedad II 0 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Las Palmas 0W 1D 4L

Las Palmas v Real Sociedad II (Segunda División): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.5
Goals
against 2.25 / 2.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.88 / 4.5
Corners
against 5.5 / 4.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 3.25
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLas Palmas for / againstLineReal Sociedad II for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.75our book
1.5 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
9.13 for · 12.88 against n 8
19.5standard
14.25 for · 14.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
13 for · 15.88 against n 8
21.5standard
17.38 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
3.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
3.25 for · 2.25 against n 8
Las Palmas
Las Palmas — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Bassinga n 847.3
2.47/3
0.73/0
—
Elías Romero n 824.6
2.34/1
0.92/0
—
I. Medina n 58.4
2.11/0
00/0
—
Valentín Pezzolesi n 890
27/6
1.88/3
—
Iñaki González Zambrano n 863.4
26/4
2.16/3
—
Las Palmas — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Iván Jaime n 870.9
2.26/4
0.83/1
Sandro Ramírez n 820.8
2.24/0
1.63/0
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
Rafa Cruz n 625.3
1.82/1
0.61/0
Jesé n 865.1
1.76/3
0.95/0
Las Palmas — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Elías Romero n 824.6
0.51/0
0.92/0
Sandro Ramírez n 820.8
1.12/0
00/0
Iván Jaime n 870.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
Jefté Betancor n 844
0.31/0
0.31/0
Jesé n 865.1
0.32/0
0.21/0
Las Palmas — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Medina n 58.4
4.32/0
Rafa Cruz n 625.3
3.64/1
Iñaki González Zambrano n 863.4
37/7
Valentín Pezzolesi n 890
2.98/6
Sandro Ramírez n 820.8
2.73/2
Las Palmas — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
José Caro n 890
2.97/5
Real Sociedad II
Real Sociedad II — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Sydney Osazuwa n 815
63/2
0.81/0
—
Andrews Adjabeng n 715.3
5.94/2
00/0
—
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena n 834.8
4.97/3
1.95/1
—
Javier Soroeta n 527.4
3.32/2
23/0
—
Gorka Gorosabel n 866.4
2.97/5
0.85/0
—
Real Sociedad II — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Javier Soroeta n 527.4
3.94/2
23/0
Andrews Adjabeng n 715.3
3.43/1
0.81/0
Lander Astiazarán n 890
3.18/7
0.95/2
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena n 834.8
2.34/2
1.32/2
Jon Eceizabarrena n 821
2.13/1
0.51/0
Real Sociedad II — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Andrews Adjabeng n 715.3
00/0
0.81/0
Sydney Osazuwa n 815
0.81/0
00/0
Dani Díaz n 874.3
0.21/0
0.53/0
Javier Soroeta n 527.4
0.71/0
00/0
Iñaki Rupérez n 656.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
Real Sociedad II — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Calderon n 871.1
3.57/5
Unax Agote n 863.1
2.97/4
Iñaki Rupérez n 656.8
2.43/2
Gorka Gorosabel n 866.4
2.28/4
Alex Lebarbier n 853.3
2.13/3
Real Sociedad II — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Aitor Fraga n 890
2.55/3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Las Palmas v Real Sociedad II — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Las PalmasLLDLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 1.2 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Real Sociedad II
Head-to-head last 4
Las Palmas 2 · 2 draws · Real Sociedad II 0 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2026-01-30 Real Sociedad II 1–1 Las Palmas
  • 2025-09-12 Las Palmas 2–1 Real Sociedad II
  • 2022-01-30 Las Palmas 0–0 Real Sociedad II
  • 2021-10-29 Real Sociedad II 0–1 Las Palmas
League standing · 2026/27
Las Palmas#16 pos11 pts10 pl-6 GD
Real Sociedad II#19 pos8 pts10 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Las Palmas scored1.3
Real Sociedad II scored1.4
Las Palmas conceded1.9
Real Sociedad II conceded2.1

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Las Palmas v Real Sociedad II?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Las Palmas v Real Sociedad II is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Las Palmas and Real Sociedad II?
In their last 4 meetings, Las Palmas won 2, Real Sociedad II won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Las Palmas and Real Sociedad II?
Recent form — Las Palmas 0W 1D 4L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →