Real Sociedad II v Almeria prediction

The match

Real Sociedad II host Almeria in Segunda División on Saturday 17 October (kick-off 13:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Real Sociedad II have lost their last four matches.

Almeria have won their last six matches. Almeria have scored in six consecutive matches.

Form and the table

Nine of Real Sociedad II’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of Real Sociedad II’s last 15 results (73%). At home, Real Sociedad II have no wins, four draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 0.57 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.29. Real Sociedad II have scored 12 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Real Sociedad II have conceded 17 goals, the fourth-most of the 22 clubs.

Seven of Almeria’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Almeria’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, Almeria have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.14 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 0.86. Almeria have scored 16 goals, the second-most of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Almeria have conceded five goals, the third-fewest of the 22 clubs.

Real Sociedad II (19th) and Almeria (first) are 13 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Almeria the stronger side, 425 rating points above Real Sociedad II (Almeria 1751, Real Sociedad II 1326, after at least 93 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Almeria are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Real Sociedad II, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Almeria 5–1 Real Sociedad II.

Team news

Predicted Real Sociedad II XI (4-2-3-1): A. Fraga, K. Kita, J. Balda, J. Garro, U. Agote, T. Carbonell, G. Gorosabel, A. Lebarbier, I. Aguirre, D. Díaz, G. Carrera — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gorka Gorosabel (4.4 per match over nine appearances, three goals and one assist) and Jon Balda (3.6 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Real Sociedad II’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Real Sociedad II (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gorka Gorosabel averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 636 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances. Jon Balda averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 568 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Almeria XI (4-2-3-1): A. Fernández, F. Bonini, Á. Muñoz, D. Chirino, M. Luna, J. Muñoz, S. Džodić, Q. Junyent, B. Cipenga, S. Arribas, M. de la Fuente — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, B. Cipenga (5.9 per match over eight appearances, two goals and four assists) and Miguel de la Fuente (4.3 per match over nine appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Almeria’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Almeria (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), B. Cipenga averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 726 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Miguel de la Fuente averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 682 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last nine appearances.