Botafogo v Chapecoense-sc prediction
Team pages: Botafogo · Chapecoense-sc · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc, Serie A – Brazil on Sat, 17 Oct 2026 22:00 BST.
The match
Botafogo host Chapecoense-sc in Serie A – Brazil on Saturday 17 October (kick-off 22:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
Chapecoense-sc have scored 30 goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Chapecoense-sc have conceded 61 goals, the most of the 20 clubs. Chapecoense-sc are winless in their last four matches.
Form and the table
Botafogo are winless in their last three matches. Six of Botafogo’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Botafogo’s last 15 results (53%). At home, Botafogo have three wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 9 home matches — 1.44 points per game, scoring 1.22 and conceding 1.11. Botafogo have scored 43 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Botafogo have conceded 48 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Nine of Chapecoense-sc’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Chapecoense-sc’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Chapecoense-sc have one win, two draws and six defeats in their last 9 away matches — 0.56 points per game, scoring 0.78 and conceding 2.00.
Botafogo (13th) and Chapecoense-sc (20th) are 18 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Botafogo the stronger side, 171 rating points above Chapecoense-sc (Botafogo 1486, Chapecoense-sc 1315, after at least 181 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 14 May 2026, finished Chapecoense-sc 2–0 Botafogo.
Team news
Botafogo have five names on the availability list: Arthur Chaves (out, Inactive), J. Barrera (out, Ankle Injury), Kaio Pantaleao (out, Knee Injury), L. Monzon (out, Inactive) and Marcal (out, Yellow Cards) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-17. Predicted Botafogo XI (4-2-3-1): G. Batista, N. Ferraresi, Vitinho, A. Telles, G. Justino, Danilo, Huguinho, Á. Montoro, C. Medina, H. Ziyech, A. Cabral — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Danilo (4.4 per match over 33 appearances, 13 goals and three assists) and A. Barboza (3.9 per match over 22 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Botafogo’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Botafogo (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Danilo averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 3138 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. A. Barboza averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 3286 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Chapecoense-sc have six names on the availability list: Heitor (out, Hamstring Injury), Marcinho (out, Yellow Cards), Max Alves (out, Back Injury), Rafael Carvalheira (out, Knee Injury), Robert Conceicao (out, Knee Injury) and Vinicius Balieiro (out, Knee Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-17. Predicted Chapecoense-sc XI (4-2-3-1): Anderson, E. Doma, Kauan, B. Pacheco, Fernando, Camilo, Y. Felipe, M. Garcez, G. Augusto, B. Matias, Túlio — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Walter Clar (3.4 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and one assist) and Bruno Pacheco (3.2 per match over 23 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Chapecoense-sc’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Chapecoense-sc (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Walter Clar averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 1231 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Bruno Pacheco averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 2190 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A – Brazil · Estádio Nilton Santos
- Referee: Raphael Claus
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Botafogo 4 · draws 1 · Chapecoense-sc 1 · 1.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Botafogo 1W 2D 2L · Chapecoense-sc 1W 1D 3L
As of 17 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Botafogo v Chapecoense-sc across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Botafogo for / against | Line | Chapecoense-sc for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.88 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.63 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16.38 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.5 for · 16.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.13 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.38 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.25 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 16 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Botafogo
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Barria n 8 | 25.1 | 2.7 | 0.9 | — |
| Kauan Toledo n 8 | 39.3 | 2.6 | 2 | — |
| Huguinho n 8 | 72.6 | 1.9 | 1.9 | — |
| Junior Santos n 8 | 40.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 | — |
| Arthur Cabral n 8 | 79.3 | 1.6 | 0.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tiquinho Soares n 8 | 27.8 | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| Arthur Cabral n 8 | 79.3 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| Junior Santos n 8 | 40.8 | 2.8 | 0.6 |
| K. Barria n 8 | 25.1 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| H. Ziyech n 8 | 40.5 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Álvaro Montoro n 8 | 66.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Danilo n 8 | 85.1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Danilo n 8 | 61.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Tiquinho Soares n 8 | 27.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Kauan Toledo n 8 | 39.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Kauan Toledo n 8 | 39.3 | 3.7 |
| N. Ferraresi n 8 | 91.8 | 2.7 |
| M. Ponte n 8 | 44.1 | 2.3 |
| Allan n 8 | 44 | 2.3 |
| Marcal n 8 | 57 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Batista n 8 | 91.8 | 4 |
Chapecoense-sc
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando n 8 | 37.4 | 6 | 2.4 | — |
| Yannick Bolasie n 8 | 29 | 3.9 | 0.4 | — |
| Túlio n 8 | 69 | 2.4 | 0.7 | — |
| Bruno Matias n 8 | 28.3 | 2.4 | 0 | — |
| F. Rossi n 8 | 26.3 | 2.1 | 3.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Carvalho n 6 | 19.8 | 6.8 | 3.8 |
| F. Rossi n 8 | 26.3 | 3.9 | 2.6 |
| Maurício Garcez n 8 | 84.8 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| Yannick Bolasie n 8 | 29 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Túlio n 8 | 69 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yannick Bolasie n 8 | 29 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Marcinho n 8 | 81.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Dudu n 8 | 54 | 0 | 0.6 |
| K. Ramírez n 8 | 38.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Maurício Garcez n 8 | 84.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| David Antunes n 8 | 17.3 | 3.3 |
| Dudu n 8 | 54 | 2.5 |
| Bruno Matias n 8 | 28.3 | 2.4 |
| Bruno Pacheco n 8 | 86.3 | 2.3 |
| Yago Felipe n 8 | 74.5 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Anderson n 8 | 91.8 | 4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Botafogo v Chapecoense-sc — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-14 Chapecoense-sc 2–0 Botafogo
- 2026-04-21 Botafogo 1–0 Chapecoense-sc
- 2026-04-18 Chapecoense-sc 1–4 Botafogo
- 2019-11-27 Chapecoense-SC 0–1 Botafogo
- 2019-08-26 Botafogo 0–0 Chapecoense-SC
- 2018-11-15 Chapecoense-sc 0–1 Botafogo
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Botafogo v Chapecoense-sc is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.60 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Botafogo and Chapecoense-sc?
- In their last 6 meetings, Botafogo won 4, Chapecoense-sc won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Botafogo and Chapecoense-sc?
- Recent form — Botafogo 1W 2D 2L; Chapecoense-sc 1W 1D 3L.
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