Corinthians v Vitoria prediction
Team pages: Corinthians · Vitoria · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Corinthians vs Vitoria, Serie A – Brazil on Tue, 20 Oct 2026 00:00 BST.
The match
Corinthians host Vitoria in Serie A – Brazil on Tuesday 20 October (kick-off 00:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Corinthians or Vitoria (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Corinthians are winless in their last nine matches.
Vitoria have scored in five consecutive matches.
Corinthians are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Vitoria, every meeting checked.
Form and the table
Eight of Corinthians’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Corinthians’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Corinthians have two wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 7 home matches — 0.86 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.43. Corinthians have scored 31 goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Corinthians have conceded 38 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Seven of Vitoria’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in four of Vitoria’s last 15 results (27%). Away from home, Vitoria have no wins, one draw and six defeats in their last 7 away matches — 0.14 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 1.86. Vitoria have scored 33 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Vitoria have conceded 44 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Corinthians (16th) and Vitoria (12th) are four points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Vitoria the stronger side, 63 rating points above Corinthians (Vitoria 1485, Corinthians 1421, after at least 182 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Vitoria 0–0 Corinthians.
Team news
Predicted Corinthians XI (4-2-3-1): H. Souza, G. Henrique, M. Bidu, Matheuzinho, G. Paulista, Raniele, R. Garro, K. César, B. Bidon, Allan, M. Depay — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Matheus Bidu (3.7 per match over 36 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Kaio César (3.6 per match over 29 appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Corinthians’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Corinthians (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Matheus Bidu averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 3121 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Kaio César averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 1910 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Vitoria XI (4-1-4-1): L. Arcanjo, L. Candido, Caca, Jamerson, Mateusinho, Erick, Matheuzinho, D. Tarzia, E. Martinez, C. Goncalves, Rene — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ze Vitor (3.9 per match over 26 appearances, one goal) and Erick (3.5 per match over 34 appearances, eight goals and six assists) have been Vitoria’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Vitoria (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Ze Vitor averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 1754 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Erick averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 2381 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A – Brazil · Neo Quimica Arena
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Corinthians 3 · draws 3 · Vitoria 0 · 2.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Corinthians 0W 0D 5L · Vitoria 2W 1D 2L
TACTIX runs Corinthians v Vitoria (Serie A – Brazil) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 14 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Corinthians for / against | Line | Vitoria for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.38 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.25 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.38 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.88 for · 15.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.88 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.88 for · 18.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.63 for · 15.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Corinthians
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Lingard n 8 | 27.9 | 3.2 | 0.8 | — |
| Charles n 8 | 39.1 | 2.3 | 1.4 | — |
| Andre n 8 | 54 | 2.1 | 0.6 | — |
| Rodrigo Garro n 8 | 81.4 | 1.7 | 3.2 | — |
| Yuri Alberto n 8 | 78.6 | 1.7 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yuri Alberto n 8 | 78.6 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| Gui Negão n 8 | 30.5 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| M. Depay n 8 | 80.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| Pedro Raul n 8 | 17.4 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Matheus Bidu n 8 | 83.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yuri Alberto n 8 | 78.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Andre n 8 | 54 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Gui Negão n 8 | 30.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Gustavo Henrique n 8 | 91.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Kaio César n 8 | 82.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Charles n 8 | 39.1 | 3.2 |
| Matheuzinho n 8 | 69.3 | 2.9 |
| Raniele n 8 | 85.3 | 2.8 |
| Breno Bidon n 8 | 52.9 | 2.6 |
| Pedro Milans n 8 | 68 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Kauê n 6 | 90.7 | 4 |
| Hugo Souza n 8 | 91.9 | 3.7 |
Vitoria
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marinho n 8 | 35 | 2.9 | 5.5 | — |
| Ze Vitor n 8 | 71.4 | 2.8 | 1.7 | — |
| Renato Kayzer n 8 | 29.1 | 2.3 | 1.5 | — |
| Walace n 8 | 36.4 | 2.2 | 1.2 | — |
| D. Tarzia n 8 | 68.5 | 2.1 | 3.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rene n 8 | 64 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| Osvaldo n 8 | 13 | 2.6 | 0 |
| Marinho n 8 | 35 | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| Ze Vitor n 8 | 71.4 | 2.2 | 0.5 |
| Lucas Silva n 8 | 26.6 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matheuzinho n 8 | 74.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Erick n 8 | 67.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Rene n 8 | 64 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Mateusinho n 8 | 65.5 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Lucas Arcanjo n 8 | 90.6 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Ze Vitor n 8 | 71.4 | 4.7 |
| Marinho n 8 | 35 | 4.5 |
| T. Pochettino n 8 | 31.3 | 4 |
| Edenilson n 8 | 26.9 | 2.9 |
| Mateusinho n 8 | 65.5 | 2.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Arcanjo n 8 | 90.6 | 4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Corinthians v Vitoria — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-18 Vitoria 0–0 Corinthians
- 2025-10-25 Vitoria 0–1 Corinthians
- 2025-06-01 Corinthians 0–0 Vitoria
- 2024-11-09 Vitoria 1–2 Corinthians
- 2024-07-04 Corinthians 3–2 Vitoria
- 2018-10-21 Vitoria 2–2 Corinthians
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Corinthians vs Vitoria?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Corinthians v Vitoria is Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Corinthians and Vitoria?
- In their last 6 meetings, Corinthians won 3, Vitoria won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Corinthians and Vitoria?
- Recent form — Corinthians 0W 0D 5L; Vitoria 2W 1D 2L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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