Coritiba v Gremio prediction
Team pages: Coritiba · Gremio · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Coritiba v Gremio, Serie A – Brazil on Mon, 26 Oct 2026 22:30 GMT.
The match
Coritiba host Gremio in Serie A – Brazil on Monday 26 October (kick-off 22:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Coritiba or Gremio (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Coritiba are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Gremio are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions. Gremio are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Coritiba, every meeting checked.
Form and the table
10 of Coritiba’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Coritiba’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Coritiba have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.75. Coritiba have scored 38 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Coritiba have conceded 49 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Seven of Gremio’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Gremio’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Gremio have no wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.43 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 1.43. Gremio have scored 34 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Gremio have conceded 44 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Coritiba (12th) and Gremio (18th) are eight points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Coritiba the stronger side, 43 rating points above Gremio (Coritiba 1451, Gremio 1408, after at least 183 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Gremio 1–0 Coritiba.
Team news
Predicted Coritiba XI (4-2-3-1): P. Luccas, B. Melo, T. Cóser, Jacy, R. Moledo, S. Gomez, Josué, J. Lavega, T. Santos, B. Lopes, P. Rocha — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lucas Ronier (4.4 per match over 20 appearances, one goal and two assists) and Rodrigo Moledo (3.6 per match over eight appearances, three goals) have been Coritiba’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Coritiba (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Lucas Ronier averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1585 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Rodrigo Moledo averages 0.7 tackles per 90 over 504 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last eight appearances.
Predicted Gremio XI (4-1-4-1): Weverton, Wallace, G. Martins, D. Caito, W. Kannemann, M. Villasanti, F. Krovinović, D. Barbosa, E. Noriega, C. Pavón, C. Vinícius — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cristian Pavón (4.3 per match over 40 appearances, five goals and five assists) and Wallace (3.8 per match over 14 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Gremio’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Gremio (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Cristian Pavón averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 3119 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances. Wallace averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 1357 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A – Brazil · Estádio Couto Pereira
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Coritiba 0 · draws 1 · Gremio 5 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Coritiba 0W 2D 3L · Gremio 0W 3D 2L
Coritiba v Gremio (Serie A – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Coritiba for / against | Line | Gremio for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.75 for · 8.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.88 for · 7.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.63 for · 22.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.38 for · 18.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 for · 7.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.5 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.25 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.13 for · 15.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.5 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Coritiba
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Gelado n 3 | 22.3 | 4 | 0 | — |
| N. Fonseca n 8 | 54.1 | 3.3 | 0.6 | — |
| Thiago Santos n 8 | 71.6 | 2.2 | 2 | — |
| João Pedro Chermont n 8 | 56.9 | 1.8 | 0.6 | — |
| Pedro Rocha n 8 | 74.1 | 1.7 | 1.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Rocha n 8 | 74.1 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| Josué n 8 | 73.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| Rodrigo Rodrigues n 8 | 56.4 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| Paulo Roberto n 8 | 44.6 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Fabinho n 8 | 28.5 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fabinho n 8 | 28.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Paulo Roberto n 8 | 44.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Pedro Rocha n 8 | 74.1 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Rodrigo Moledo n 8 | 63 | 0.5 | 0 |
| João Pedro Chermont n 8 | 56.9 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Sobral n 8 | 30.6 | 3.7 |
| N. Fonseca n 8 | 54.1 | 2.7 |
| Thiago Santos n 8 | 71.6 | 2 |
| F. Bustos n 8 | 66.6 | 1.9 |
| Pedro Rocha n 8 | 74.1 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Luccas n 8 | 91.3 | 4.1 |
| Pedro Rangel n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
Gremio
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erick Noriega n 8 | 66 | 3.2 | 0.5 | — |
| Walter Kannemann n 8 | 67.8 | 2.5 | 1.3 | — |
| Jovane Cabral n 8 | 38.8 | 2.3 | 4.4 | — |
| João Pedro n 8 | 59.4 | 1.9 | 0.4 | — |
| Martin Braithwaite n 8 | 27.4 | 1.6 | 2.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Nascimento n 8 | 20 | 4.5 | 2.3 |
| José Enamorado n 8 | 21.8 | 2.6 | 1 |
| Martin Braithwaite n 8 | 27.4 | 2.1 | 0.4 |
| Carlos Vinícius n 8 | 82.6 | 1.9 | 1 |
| Cristian Pavón n 8 | 75.6 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Nascimento n 8 | 20 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Gustavo Martins n 8 | 65.9 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Carlos Vinícius n 8 | 82.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Cristian Pavón n 8 | 75.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Tetê n 8 | 31.3 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Marlon n 8 | 84.9 | 3.2 |
| Mathias Villasanti n 8 | 87.3 | 2.2 |
| Tetê n 8 | 31.3 | 2.2 |
| Juan Nardoni n 8 | 41.4 | 1.9 |
| Walter Kannemann n 8 | 67.8 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Weverton n 8 | 90 | 5.1 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Coritiba v Gremio — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-26 Gremio 1–0 Coritiba
- 2023-11-01 Coritiba 1–2 Gremio
- 2023-06-25 Gremio 5–1 Coritiba
- 2021-01-31 Coritiba 1–1 Gremio
- 2020-10-07 Gremio 2–1 Coritiba
- 2017-10-15 Coritiba 0–1 Gremio
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Coritiba v Gremio?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Coritiba v Gremio is Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Coritiba and Gremio?
- In their last 6 meetings, Coritiba won 0, Gremio won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Coritiba and Gremio?
- Recent form — Coritiba 0W 2D 3L; Gremio 0W 3D 2L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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