Palmeiras v RB Bragantino prediction

Serie A – Brazil · · Arena Barueri

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Palmeiras v RB Bragantino, Serie A – Brazil on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 22:30 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 419 of 636 times (65.9%), against an average rating of 68.5%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Palmeiras host RB Bragantino in Serie A – Brazil on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 22:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Palmeiras have conceded 22 goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far).

Palmeiras are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. RB Bragantino are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Palmeiras are unbeaten in the last five meetings with RB Bragantino.

Form and the table

Six of Palmeiras’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Palmeiras’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Palmeiras have six wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 3.00 points per game, scoring 2.50 and conceding 0.33. Palmeiras have scored 54 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far).

Five of RB Bragantino’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in nine of RB Bragantino’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, RB Bragantino have no wins, four draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.43. RB Bragantino have scored 39 goals, the 10th-most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). RB Bragantino have conceded 36 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Palmeiras (second) and RB Bragantino (10th) are 25 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Palmeiras the stronger side, 235 rating points above RB Bragantino (Palmeiras 1843, RB Bragantino 1607, after at least 259 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished RB Bragantino 0–1 Palmeiras.

Team news

Predicted Palmeiras XI (3-4-2-1): C. Miguel, G. Gomez, Murilo, A. Barboza, A. Pereira, M. Freitas, L. Evangelista, A. Gabriel, Mauricio, J. Piquerez, J. Lopez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Lopez (5.0 per match over 44 appearances, 17 goals and nine assists) and Allan Elias (4.5 per match over 31 appearances, five goals and six assists) have been Palmeiras’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Palmeiras (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Lopez averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 3457 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Allan Elias averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 2383 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted RB Bragantino XI (4-2-3-1): T. Volpi, G. Marques, J. Capixaba, G. Rodríguez, A. Sant'Anna, L. Barbosa, Fernando, E. Ramires, Fabinho, W. Yan, E. Sasha — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Wallace Yan (4.1 per match over six appearances, three assists) and Lucas Barbosa (3.9 per match over 38 appearances, eight goals and five assists) have been RB Bragantino’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for RB Bragantino (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Wallace Yan averages 3.0 shots per 90 over 536 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. Lucas Barbosa averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 3123 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A – Brazil · Arena Barueri
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Palmeiras 4 · draws 1 · RB Bragantino 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Palmeiras 4W 1D 0L · RB Bragantino 1W 2D 2L

Palmeiras v RB Bragantino (Serie A – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.38
Goals
against 0.63 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.88 / 7
Corners
against 5.88 / 6.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
7 / 7.25
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 6.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.75 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePalmeiras for / againstLineRB Bragantino for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.75our book
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
7 for · 6.5 against n 8
Shots
18.63 for · 11.75 against n 8
19.5standard
19.13 for · 15.5 against n 8
Shots on target
7 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
7.25 for · 6.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
13 for · 13.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
Palmeiras
Palmeiras — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Luis Pacheco n 818.4
3.75/1
00/0
—
Larson n 815.8
3.65/0
2.13/0
—
Vitor Roque n 859.9
2.35/3
4.58/6
—
Mauricio n 831.9
2.14/1
1.44/0
—
A. Barboza n 890
1.97/5
0.42/1
—
Palmeiras — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Sosa n 823.5
4.35/2
1.93/1
Heittor n 513
4.22/1
1.41/0
Vitor Roque n 859.9
4.17/6
1.35/2
Mauricio n 831.9
3.95/4
1.43/1
J. Lopez n 865.8
3.68/6
1.25/2
Palmeiras — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Paulinho n 827
0.82/0
00/0
J. Lopez n 865.8
0.53/0
0.21/0
Vitor Roque n 859.9
0.42/0
00/0
Mauricio n 831.9
0.41/0
00/0
Marlon Freitas n 883.3
0.32/0
00/0
Palmeiras — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Felipe Anderson n 833.1
3.44/3
A. Giay n 871.3
3.36/4
Arthur Gabriel n 859.9
36/4
Lucas Evangelista n 882.3
2.98/8
Khellven n 841.4
2.45/2
Palmeiras — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Carlos Miguel n 890
2.56/2
RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ignacio Sosa n 819.9
2.84/1
2.84/1
—
Isidro Pitta n 855.8
2.27/3
0.42/0
—
Juninho Capixaba n 885.5
28/6
1.68/3
—
Henry Mosquera n 839.1
25/1
0.61/1
—
Alix Vinicius n 860
1.95/2
0.94/1
—
RB Bragantino — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Fernando n 885.5
3.98/8
1.67/3
Wallace Yan n 853.6
3.66/5
1.96/3
Eduardo Sasha n 850.6
3.17/4
1.34/2
José Herrera n 834
36/2
25/1
Rodriguinho n 880.4
2.97/7
1.15/2
RB Bragantino — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Wallace Yan n 853.6
00/0
0.63/0
Lucas Barbosa n 875.5
0.43/0
00/0
Eduardo Sasha n 850.6
0.42/0
00/0
Henry Mosquera n 839.1
00/0
0.31/0
José Herrera n 834
0.31/0
00/0
RB Bragantino — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ignacio Sosa n 819.9
4.55/2
Ryan Augusto n 862.8
2.96/4
A. Sant'Anna n 880.6
2.76/4
Juninho Capixaba n 885.5
2.68/5
Vanderlan n 846.8
1.95/2
RB Bragantino — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Tiago Volpi n 889.5
4.37/5

The day’s free picks, by email

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Palmeiras v RB Bragantino — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PalmeirasDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
RB BragantinoLLDWD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Palmeiras 4 · 1 draw · RB Bragantino 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-04-26 RB Bragantino 0–1 Palmeiras
  • 2025-10-15 Palmeiras 5–1 RB Bragantino
  • 2025-05-18 RB Bragantino 1–2 Palmeiras
  • 2024-10-05 RB Bragantino 0–0 Palmeiras
  • 2024-06-21 Palmeiras 2–1 RB Bragantino
  • 2023-10-01 RB Bragantino 2–1 Palmeiras
League standing · 2026
Palmeiras#2 pos66 pts31 pl+32 GD
RB Bragantino#10 pos41 pts31 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Palmeiras scored1.74
RB Bragantino scored1.26
Palmeiras conceded0.71
RB Bragantino conceded1.16

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Palmeiras v RB Bragantino?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Palmeiras v RB Bragantino is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Palmeiras and RB Bragantino?
In their last 6 meetings, Palmeiras won 4, RB Bragantino won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Palmeiras and RB Bragantino?
Recent form — Palmeiras 4W 1D 0L; RB Bragantino 1W 2D 2L.

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