Santos v Atletico-MG result

Full-time · Santos 1–0 Atletico-MG

Serie A – Brazil · · Estádio Urbano Caldeira

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Santos · Atletico-MG · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Santos 1–0 Atletico-MG — Santos won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Santos beat Atletico-MG 1–0 at Estádio Urbano Caldeira in Serie A – Brazil on Sunday 12 April.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Santos: Moisés (63’, assisted by Gabriel Barbosa).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Moisés’s goal on 63 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Santos 1.32, Atletico-MG 0.73, from 18 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Rafael Rodrigo Klein, Brazil showed four yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 24 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Santos: Gonzalo Escobar (10’), Gabriel Barbosa (21’) and Luan Peres (31’); Atletico-MG: Lyanco (32’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Moisés (Santos) 6.7, Igor Vinícius (Santos) 5.2 and Ruan Tressoldi (Atletico-MG) 5.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Santos or Atletico-MG (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Santos next travel to Fluminense on 18 October 2026.

Atletico-MG next travel to Atletico Torque on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Santos: Fluminense v Santos, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for Atletico-MG: Atletico Torque v Atletico-MG, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Santos 1–0 Atletico-MG · Serie A – Brazil
  • Venue: Estádio Urbano Caldeira · Santos
  • Referee: Rafael Rodrigo Klein, Brazil
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Santos 1 · draws 3 · Atletico-MG 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Santos 1W 1D 3L · Atletico-MG 3W 0D 2L

Santos 1–0 Atletico-MG (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.25 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 3.75
Corners
against 5.38 / 6 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 4 / 4.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.88 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.25 yellows
Referee · Rafael Rodrigo Klein, Brazil
2.17 home / 2.08 away
over 24 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 April 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSantos for / againstLineAtletico-MG for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
11.88 for · 14.13 against n 8
19.5standard
12.63 for · 14.63 against n 8
Shots on target
2.63 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 11.75 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 16 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Rafael Rodrigo Klein, Brazil — 4.25 yellow cards a game, 0.5 red cards, 24.83 fouls over 24 matches (2.17 to the home side, 2.08 to the away side).

Santos
Santos — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Álvaro Barreal n 860.9
2.25/4
1.14/2
—
Christian Oliva n 875.4
1.97/4
0.73/2
—
Rony n 873.4
1.86/2
2.68/5
—
João Schmidt n 854.4
1.77/1
0.21/0
—
Vinicius Lira n 571.6
1.53/2
00/0
—
Santos — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Neymar n 889.4
2.98/6
1.55/4
Miguelito n 872.6
25/4
0.82/1
Thaciano n 851.9
25/4
0.21/0
Moisés n 836.8
1.85/1
1.23/1
Gabriel Barbosa n 862.9
1.45/3
0.73/1
Santos — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Neymar n 889.4
15/2
0.43/0
Moisés n 836.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
Gabriel Barbosa n 862.9
0.52/1
00/0
L. Díaz n 856.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Lucas Veríssimo n 893
00/0
0.22/0
Santos — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Gustavo Henrique Pereira n 582.8
35/3
Willian Arão n 854
2.57/5
Christian Oliva n 875.4
2.47/4
Miguelito n 872.6
25/3
Luan Peres n 887.6
1.87/4
Santos — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Gabriel Brazão n 891
2.85/4
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Roman n 863.6
1.95/2
0.42/0
—
A. Preciado n 853.9
1.96/3
2.15/2
—
A. Franco n 886.4
1.87/4
0.54/0
—
T. Perez n 844.4
1.84/2
0.52/0
—
Natanael n 847
1.75/2
1.44/1
—
Atletico-MG — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Dudu n 833.1
2.75/2
2.45/2
Gustavo Scarpa n 844.4
2.37/2
14/0
M. Cassierra n 833.1
1.74/1
0.72/0
Cuello n 868.8
1.55/3
0.53/0
Reinier n 848.6
1.44/2
0.94/0
Atletico-MG — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dudu n 833.1
13/0
00/0
Hulk n 876.9
0.11/0
0.43/0
Cuello n 868.8
0.32/0
0.21/0
Victor Hugo n 882.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
Reinier n 848.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Atletico-MG — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Natanael n 847
2.95/3
A. Minda n 833.5
24/2
A. Preciado n 853.9
1.97/1
Ruan Tressoldi n 889.9
1.87/4
J. Alonso n 888.3
1.75/3
Atletico-MG — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Everson n 892
3.48/6

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SantosAtletico-MG
45%Possession55%
1.32Expected goals (xG)0.73
18Shots11
2Shots on target3
7Shots off target4
9Blocked shots4
12Shots inside the box5
5Corners7
2Offsides0
8Fouls17
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves1
396Passes493
85%Pass accuracy85%

Santos player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Gabriel Brazão9000000007.5
Igor Vinícius9000002607.9
Lucas Veríssimo9000110107.2
Luan Peres90000002Y7.2
Gonzalo Escobar90001004Y7
Willian Arão9000002307.6
Neymar9000402007.2
Gabriel Bontempo8900103006.3
Gabriel Barbosa85011030Y7.2
Gustavo Henrique Pereira5600002307.2
Rony5600001307
Christian Oliva sub3400000106.9
Moisés sub3410110208.2
L. Díaz sub1300000106.5
Thaciano sub10000000–

Atletico-MG player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Everson9000000006.7
Ruan Tressoldi9000000207.7
Lyanco90000001Y7
Renan Lodi9000111106.7
A. Franco9000001307
Cuello9000100106.2
Victor Hugo8600110106.7
T. Perez8600001206.6
Hulk8000100005.7
Natanael7100000106.3
Reinier7100202106.7
Bernard sub1900001106.6
Cauã Campos Soares sub1900110007
Alexsander sub1200000006.9
M. Cassierra sub1200000006.3
Dudu sub1000000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Santos v Atletico-MG — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SantosLDWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Atletico-MGWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Santos 1 · 3 draws · Atletico-MG 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2025-09-14 Atletico-MG 1–1 Santos
  • 2025-04-17 Santos 2–0 Atletico-MG
  • 2023-08-27 Atletico-MG 2–0 Santos
  • 2023-04-23 Santos 0–0 Atletico-MG
  • 2022-10-06 Santos 1–2 Atletico-MG
  • 2022-06-11 Atletico-MG 1–1 Santos
League standing · 2026
Santos#9 pos42 pts30 pl+1 GD
Atletico-MG#5 pos50 pts31 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Santos scored1.53
Atletico-MG scored1.35
Santos conceded1.5
Atletico-MG conceded1.13

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Santos v Atletico-MG?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Santos v Atletico-MG was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Santos and Atletico-MG?
In their last 6 meetings, Santos won 1, Atletico-MG won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Santos and Atletico-MG?
Recent form — Santos 1W 1D 3L; Atletico-MG 3W 0D 2L.

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