Sao Paulo v RB Bragantino result

Full-time · Sao Paulo 2–1 RB Bragantino

Serie A – Brazil · · MorumBIS

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Sao Paulo 2–1 RB Bragantino — Sao Paulo won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.35 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.1% of 4297 landed (95% range 75.9–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Sao Paulo beat RB Bragantino 2–1 at MorumBIS in Serie A – Brazil on Sunday 30 August.

The goals

Sao Paulo led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Sao Paulo: Luciano (14’ pen) and G. Santana (45’); RB Bragantino: Fernando (90’, assisted by Henry Mosquera).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with G. Santana’s goal on 45 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Sao Paulo 1.55, RB Bragantino 0.47, from 17 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Anderson Daronco, Brazil showed seven yellow cards — against 5.1 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sao Paulo: Jonathan Calleri (-5’), Danielzinho (83’) and Andre Silva (84’); RB Bragantino: Isidro Pitta (13’), A. Sant'Anna (45’), Henry Mosquera (86’) and Juninho Capixaba (90+5’).

What it changes

Sao Paulo move up from 13th to 11th (24 league matches played).

RB Bragantino move down from sixth to eighth (24 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Sant'Anna (RB Bragantino) 7.6, Luciano (Sao Paulo) 7.2 and Fernando (RB Bragantino) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Sao Paulo or RB Bragantino (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.1% of the time in the last 90 days (3315 of 4297).

Next up

Sao Paulo next host Vasco DA Gama on 18 October 2026.

RB Bragantino next travel to Remo on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sao Paulo: Sao Paulo v Vasco DA Gama, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for RB Bragantino: Remo v RB Bragantino, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Sao Paulo 2–1 RB Bragantino · Serie A – Brazil
  • Venue: MorumBIS · Sao Paulo
  • Referee: Anderson Daronco, Brazil
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sao Paulo 3 · draws 2 · RB Bragantino 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sao Paulo 1W 2D 2L · RB Bragantino 1W 2D 2L

Sao Paulo 2–1 RB Bragantino (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 14 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.25 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
5 / 6.75
Corners
against 5.25 / 3.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.38
Cards
against 2 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.14 yellows
Referee · Anderson Daronco, Brazil
2.59 home / 2.55 away
over 22 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSao Paulo for / againstLineRB Bragantino for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.25our book
0.63 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
6.75 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
14.13 for · 12.25 against n 8
19.5standard
18.88 for · 11.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.63 for · 11.75 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 8.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Anderson Daronco, Brazil — 5.14 yellow cards a game, 0.32 red cards, 27.64 fouls over 22 matches (2.59 to the home side, 2.55 to the away side).

Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Enzo Díaz n 876.5
3.28/6
1.56/3
—
Cauly n 848.6
1.94/2
0.94/0
—
Luis Osorio n 876.8
1.87/4
0.32/0
—
Aurélio Buta n 838.5
1.83/2
2.33/3
—
Wendell n 872.5
1.76/3
1.15/2
—
Sao Paulo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Luciano n 879
2.37/5
0.74/1
Ferreirinha n 839.5
26/1
0.92/1
Artur n 882.4
1.68/3
0.74/1
Jonathan Calleri n 875.8
1.26/2
0.32/0
Pablo Maia n 872.5
1.14/3
0.21/0
Sao Paulo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Luciano n 879
0.43/0
0.11/0
Artur n 882.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
Sabino n 864.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Jonathan Calleri n 875.8
0.32/0
00/0
Aurélio Buta n 838.5
0.31/0
00/0
Sao Paulo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Enzo Díaz n 876.5
2.15/4
D. Bobadilla n 858
2.14/4
Wendell n 872.5
26/4
Victor Sá n 838.9
23/3
R. Arboleda n 865.1
1.95/2
Sao Paulo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Rafael n 890.9
2.14/4
RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Henry Mosquera n 843.8
2.67/2
0.82/1
—
Fernando n 846.6
2.27/1
13/1
—
Matheus Fernandes n 857.3
1.86/2
0.21/0
—
Cauê Nascimento Santos n 871
1.75/4
0.21/0
—
Alix Vinicius n 882.9
1.66/3
0.32/0
—
RB Bragantino — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Fernando n 846.6
3.15/4
1.44/2
Rodriguinho n 881.5
2.67/7
15/1
Isidro Pitta n 866.4
2.58/4
1.24/2
José Herrera n 863
26/3
0.74/0
Eduardo Sasha n 850.9
1.87/1
0.42/0
RB Bragantino — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Fernando n 846.6
0.73/0
0.21/0
Marcelinho Braz n 842.6
00/0
0.52/0
Lucas Barbosa n 885.6
00/0
0.42/1
Eduardo Sasha n 850.9
0.42/0
00/0
Pedro Henrique n 880.8
0.32/0
00/0
RB Bragantino — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Cauê Nascimento Santos n 871
2.77/5
Gustavo Neves n 840.3
2.24/2
Gabriel Girotto n 876.1
2.15/3
Juninho Capixaba n 891
1.97/6
Rodriguinho n 881.5
1.95/5
RB Bragantino — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Cleiton n 892.1
3.17/3
Tiago Volpi n 893.1
2.96/4

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Sao PauloRB Bragantino
38%Possession62%
1.55Expected goals (xG)0.47
17Shots8
8Shots on target3
4Shots off target3
5Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box2
9Corners7
1Offsides2
11Fouls14
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
2Saves6
282Passes468
71%Pass accuracy81%

Sao Paulo player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Rafael9000000006.2
Domingos Duarte9000000306.9
R. Arboleda9000100106.3
Sabino9000001106.3
Iago Borduchi9000112306.6
Marcos Antônio9000214307
Danielzinho84000012Y6.6
Artur8400321107.2
Aurélio Buta7100000307.3
Luciano7110111007.3
G. Santana5510220007.7
Andre Silva sub35002110Y6.7
Lucas Ramon sub1900000006.3
Pablo Maia sub1900000106.3
Ferreirinha sub1400000006.5
Djhordney Ferreira sub1400000006.5

RB Bragantino player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Tiago Volpi9000000007.5
A. Sant'Anna90000039Y6.9
Pedro Henrique9000000007.2
Gustavo Marques9000100107
Juninho Capixaba90001114Y5.7
Rodriguinho9000000006.3
Isidro Pitta78000000Y6.6
José Herrera6800000106.5
Lucas Barbosa6800210106.5
Eric Ramires4500000206.6
Vinicinho4500000006.3
Fabinho sub4500001106.6
Fernando sub4510210107
Gustavo Neves sub2200000206.3
Henry Mosquera sub22010010Y7.5
Yuri sub1200000106.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Sao Paulo v RB Bragantino — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Sao PauloLDDWL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
RB BragantinoLLDDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sao Paulo 3 · 2 draws · RB Bragantino 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-03-15 RB Bragantino 1–2 Sao Paulo
  • 2025-11-09 Sao Paulo 0–1 RB Bragantino
  • 2025-07-17 RB Bragantino 2–2 Sao Paulo
  • 2024-11-20 RB Bragantino 1–1 Sao Paulo
  • 2024-07-06 Sao Paulo 2–0 RB Bragantino
  • 2023-11-08 Sao Paulo 1–0 RB Bragantino
League standing · 2026
Sao Paulo#10 pos39 pts30 pl0 GD
RB Bragantino#9 pos40 pts30 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Sao Paulo scored1.17
RB Bragantino scored1.27
Sao Paulo conceded1.17
RB Bragantino conceded1.17

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Sao Paulo v RB Bragantino?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sao Paulo v RB Bragantino was Home or Away (best price 1.35 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Sao Paulo and RB Bragantino?
In their last 6 meetings, Sao Paulo won 3, RB Bragantino won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sao Paulo and RB Bragantino?
Recent form — Sao Paulo 1W 2D 2L; RB Bragantino 1W 2D 2L.

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