Sao Paulo v RB Bragantino result
Team pages: Sao Paulo · RB Bragantino · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Sao Paulo 2–1 RB Bragantino — Sao Paulo won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Sao Paulo beat RB Bragantino 2–1 at MorumBIS in Serie A – Brazil on Sunday 30 August.
The goals
Sao Paulo led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Sao Paulo: Luciano (14’ pen) and G. Santana (45’); RB Bragantino: Fernando (90’, assisted by Henry Mosquera).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with G. Santana’s goal on 45 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Sao Paulo 1.55, RB Bragantino 0.47, from 17 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
Anderson Daronco, Brazil showed seven yellow cards — against 5.1 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sao Paulo: Jonathan Calleri (-5’), Danielzinho (83’) and Andre Silva (84’); RB Bragantino: Isidro Pitta (13’), A. Sant'Anna (45’), Henry Mosquera (86’) and Juninho Capixaba (90+5’).
What it changes
Sao Paulo move up from 13th to 11th (24 league matches played).
RB Bragantino move down from sixth to eighth (24 league matches played).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Sant'Anna (RB Bragantino) 7.6, Luciano (Sao Paulo) 7.2 and Fernando (RB Bragantino) 5.5 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Sao Paulo or RB Bragantino (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.1% of the time in the last 90 days (3315 of 4297).
Next up
Sao Paulo next host Vasco DA Gama on 18 October 2026.
RB Bragantino next travel to Remo on 18 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Sao Paulo: Sao Paulo v Vasco DA Gama, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for RB Bragantino: Remo v RB Bragantino, Sunday 18 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Sao Paulo 2–1 RB Bragantino · Serie A – Brazil
- Venue: MorumBIS · Sao Paulo
- Referee: Anderson Daronco, Brazil
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Sao Paulo 3 · draws 2 · RB Bragantino 1 · 2.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Sao Paulo 1W 2D 2L · RB Bragantino 1W 2D 2L
Sao Paulo 2–1 RB Bragantino (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 14 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Sao Paulo for / against | Line | RB Bragantino for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.25our book | 0.63 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.75 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.13 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 18.88 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.75 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.75 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.63 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.88 for · 8.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Anderson Daronco, Brazil — 5.14 yellow cards a game, 0.32 red cards, 27.64 fouls over 22 matches (2.59 to the home side, 2.55 to the away side).
Sao Paulo
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Díaz n 8 | 76.5 | 3.2 | 1.5 | — |
| Cauly n 8 | 48.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 | — |
| Luis Osorio n 8 | 76.8 | 1.8 | 0.3 | — |
| Aurélio Buta n 8 | 38.5 | 1.8 | 2.3 | — |
| Wendell n 8 | 72.5 | 1.7 | 1.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luciano n 8 | 79 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Ferreirinha n 8 | 39.5 | 2 | 0.9 |
| Artur n 8 | 82.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Jonathan Calleri n 8 | 75.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| Pablo Maia n 8 | 72.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luciano n 8 | 79 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Artur n 8 | 82.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Sabino n 8 | 64.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Jonathan Calleri n 8 | 75.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Aurélio Buta n 8 | 38.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Enzo Díaz n 8 | 76.5 | 2.1 |
| D. Bobadilla n 8 | 58 | 2.1 |
| Wendell n 8 | 72.5 | 2 |
| Victor Sá n 8 | 38.9 | 2 |
| R. Arboleda n 8 | 65.1 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael n 8 | 90.9 | 2.1 |
RB Bragantino
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Mosquera n 8 | 43.8 | 2.6 | 0.8 | — |
| Fernando n 8 | 46.6 | 2.2 | 1 | — |
| Matheus Fernandes n 8 | 57.3 | 1.8 | 0.2 | — |
| Cauê Nascimento Santos n 8 | 71 | 1.7 | 0.2 | — |
| Alix Vinicius n 8 | 82.9 | 1.6 | 0.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando n 8 | 46.6 | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| Rodriguinho n 8 | 81.5 | 2.6 | 1 |
| Isidro Pitta n 8 | 66.4 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| José Herrera n 8 | 63 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Eduardo Sasha n 8 | 50.9 | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando n 8 | 46.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Marcelinho Braz n 8 | 42.6 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Lucas Barbosa n 8 | 85.6 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Eduardo Sasha n 8 | 50.9 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Pedro Henrique n 8 | 80.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Cauê Nascimento Santos n 8 | 71 | 2.7 |
| Gustavo Neves n 8 | 40.3 | 2.2 |
| Gabriel Girotto n 8 | 76.1 | 2.1 |
| Juninho Capixaba n 8 | 91 | 1.9 |
| Rodriguinho n 8 | 81.5 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Cleiton n 8 | 92.1 | 3.1 |
| Tiago Volpi n 8 | 93.1 | 2.9 |
The next free picks, by email
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Match statistics & details
| Sao Paulo | RB Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| 38% | Possession | 62% |
| 1.55 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.47 |
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 6 |
| 282 | Passes | 468 |
| 71% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
Sao Paulo player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Domingos Duarte | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Arboleda | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Sabino | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Iago Borduchi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Marcos Antônio | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| Danielzinho | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 6.6 |
| Artur | 84 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Aurélio Buta | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Luciano | 71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| G. Santana | 55 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Andre Silva sub | 35 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| Lucas Ramon sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Pablo Maia sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Ferreirinha sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Djhordney Ferreira sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
RB Bragantino player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiago Volpi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| A. Sant'Anna | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | Y | 6.9 |
| Pedro Henrique | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Gustavo Marques | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Juninho Capixaba | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Y | 5.7 |
| Rodriguinho | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Isidro Pitta | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.6 |
| José Herrera | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Lucas Barbosa | 68 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Eric Ramires | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Vinicinho | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Fabinho sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Fernando sub | 45 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Gustavo Neves sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Henry Mosquera sub | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7.5 |
| Yuri sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Sao Paulo v RB Bragantino — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-15 RB Bragantino 1–2 Sao Paulo
- 2025-11-09 Sao Paulo 0–1 RB Bragantino
- 2025-07-17 RB Bragantino 2–2 Sao Paulo
- 2024-11-20 RB Bragantino 1–1 Sao Paulo
- 2024-07-06 Sao Paulo 2–0 RB Bragantino
- 2023-11-08 Sao Paulo 1–0 RB Bragantino
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Sao Paulo v RB Bragantino?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Sao Paulo v RB Bragantino was Home or Away (best price 1.35 at William Hill).
- What is the head-to-head record between Sao Paulo and RB Bragantino?
- In their last 6 meetings, Sao Paulo won 3, RB Bragantino won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Sao Paulo and RB Bragantino?
- Recent form — Sao Paulo 1W 2D 2L; RB Bragantino 1W 2D 2L.
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