AC Milan v Bologna prediction
Team pages: AC Milan · Bologna · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for AC Milan v Bologna, Serie A on Wed, 28 Oct 2026 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
AC Milan host Bologna in Serie A on Wednesday 28 October (kick-off 17:30 UK).
The key numbers
AC Milan are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Eight of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, AC Milan have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.29. AC Milan have scored 14 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). AC Milan have conceded seven goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Six of Bologna’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Bologna’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Bologna have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.57. Bologna have scored six goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bologna have conceded 10 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
AC Milan (fourth) and Bologna (14th) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AC Milan the stronger side, 136 rating points above Bologna (AC Milan 1708, Bologna 1572, after at least 349 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 3 February 2026, finished Bologna 0–3 AC Milan.
Team news
Predicted AC Milan XI (3-4-2-1): M. Maignan, S. Pavlović, K. De Winter, M. Gila, S. Chukwueze, Y. Musah, L. Modrić, A. Rabiot, P. Estupiñán, D. Moreira, G. Ramos — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Rabiot (4.9 per match over nine appearances, four goals and four assists) and Diego Moreira (4.8 per match over six appearances, three goals and one assist) have been AC Milan’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AC Milan (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Rabiot averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1397 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Diego Moreira averages 1.5 shots per 90 over 619 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Bologna XI (4-2-3-1): Ł. Skorupski, T. Heggem, A. Theate, E. Helland, E. Holm, L. Ferguson, T. Pobega, N. Cambiaghi, F. Bernardeschi, N. Zortea, R. Piccoli — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Juan Miranda (4.1 per match over six appearances, two assists) and Lewis Ferguson (3.5 per match over seven appearances) have been Bologna’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bologna (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Juan Miranda averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 486 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last six appearances. Lewis Ferguson averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 1475 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A
- Head-to-head (last 6): AC Milan 3 · draws 1 · Bologna 2 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: AC Milan 3W 1D 1L · Bologna 1W 2D 2L
AC Milan v Bologna (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | AC Milan for / against | Line | Bologna for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.63 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.38 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.38 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.38 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.38 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.25 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
AC Milan
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Camarda n 8 | 18 | 3.1 | 1.3 | — |
| A. Saelemaekers n 8 | 31.1 | 1.8 | 3.3 | — |
| K. De Winter n 8 | 87.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | — |
| P. Estupiñán n 8 | 54.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | — |
| A. Cissè n 8 | 47.3 | 1.7 | 2.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Cissè n 8 | 47.3 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Gonçalo Ramos n 8 | 71.9 | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| A. Rabiot n 8 | 66.3 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| F. Camarda n 8 | 18 | 1.9 | 0 |
| Diego Moreira n 8 | 60.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Cissè n 8 | 47.3 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Gonçalo Ramos n 8 | 71.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| A. Rabiot n 8 | 66.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Diego Moreira n 8 | 60.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| A. Saelemaekers n 8 | 31.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Saelemaekers n 8 | 31.1 | 3.6 |
| S. Pavlović n 8 | 78.1 | 2.6 |
| A. Rabiot n 8 | 66.3 | 2.5 |
| R. Loftus-Cheek n 8 | 41.4 | 2.4 |
| D. Bartesaghi n 8 | 68.5 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Maignan n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
Bologna
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ferguson n 8 | 90 | 2.6 | 1.4 | — |
| R. Piccoli n 8 | 67.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | — |
| T. Pobega n 8 | 65.6 | 2.1 | 0.7 | — |
| N. Moro n 8 | 21.3 | 2.1 | 1.6 | — |
| A. Dovbyk n 8 | 22.4 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dovbyk n 8 | 22.4 | 3 | 1.5 |
| F. Bernardeschi n 8 | 68.9 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| J. Rowe n 8 | 66.8 | 2.2 | 1 |
| J. Enem n 5 | 41 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| R. Orsolini n 8 | 49 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dovbyk n 8 | 22.4 | 1 | 0 |
| R. Orsolini n 8 | 49 | 0.7 | 0 |
| J. Rowe n 8 | 66.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| J. Enem n 5 | 41 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Juan Miranda n 8 | 83.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Emil Holm n 8 | 48.5 | 4.2 |
| Juan Miranda n 8 | 83.3 | 2.4 |
| T. Pobega n 8 | 65.6 | 2.2 |
| O. El Azzouzi n 8 | 79 | 2.1 |
| N. Moro n 8 | 21.3 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Ł. Skorupski n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
| M. Pessina n 6 | 88.7 | 2.4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind AC Milan v Bologna — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-03 Bologna 0–3 AC Milan
- 2025-09-14 AC Milan 1–0 Bologna
- 2025-05-14 AC Milan 0–1 Bologna
- 2025-05-09 AC Milan 3–1 Bologna
- 2025-02-27 Bologna 2–1 AC Milan
- 2024-01-27 AC Milan 2–2 Bologna
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between AC Milan and Bologna?
- In their last 6 meetings, AC Milan won 3, Bologna won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of AC Milan and Bologna?
- Recent form — AC Milan 3W 1D 1L; Bologna 1W 2D 2L.
Today’s boards
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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