AC Milan v Fiorentina result

Full-time · AC Milan 2–1 Fiorentina

Serie A · · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Updated · refreshed continuously

AC Milan 2–1 Fiorentina — AC Milan won this Serie A match.

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said AC Milan: 2.02 to 0.97 in expected goals, from 14 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the 75th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

AC Milan beat Fiorentina 2–1 at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Serie A on Sunday 19 October. AC Milan are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Fiorentina: Robin Gosens (55’); AC Milan: Rafael Leão (63’, assisted by Strahinja Pavlović; 86’ pen).

Discipline

Livio Marinelli, Italy showed six yellow cards — against 4.5 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — AC Milan: Zachary Athekame (50’), Youssouf Fofana (60’) and F. Tomori (74’); Fiorentina: H. Nicolussi (54’), F. Parisi (85’) and Luca Ranieri (88’).

What it changes

AC Milan move up from third to first (seven league matches played).

Fiorentina move down from 17th to 18th (seven league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Rafael Leão (AC Milan) 10.9, Luka Modrić (AC Milan) 6.2 and Robin Gosens (Fiorentina) 4.6 led the match.

Next up

AC Milan next travel to Bournemouth on 22 October 2026.

Fiorentina next travel to Inter on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for AC Milan: Bournemouth v AC Milan, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Fiorentina: Inter v Fiorentina, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: AC Milan 2–1 Fiorentina · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milan
  • Referee: Livio Marinelli, Italy
  • Head-to-head (last 6): AC Milan 3 · draws 1 · Fiorentina 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: AC Milan 4W 1D 0L · Fiorentina 1W 1D 3L

AC Milan 2–1 Fiorentina (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.13
Goals
against 0.38 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 4.75
Corners
against 3.38 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 3
Shots on target
against 2.63 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 October 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 October 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAC Milan for / againstLineFiorentina for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
16.5 for · 8.13 against n 8
19.5standard
12.5 for · 10.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 2.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
14.13 for · 17.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Livio Marinelli, Italy.

AC Milan
AC Milan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Zachary Athekame n 844.4
2.37/2
1.34/1
H. Nicolussi
A. Rabiot n 869.3
2.17/3
1.66/3
—
K. De Winter n 859.5
2.15/4
0.21/0
—
Rafael Leão n 837
1.84/2
34/2
—
R. Loftus-Cheek n 850.8
1.65/2
0.93/1
—
AC Milan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Giménez n 858.9
3.16/4
1.55/3
C. Nkunku n 837.5
2.74/3
1.23/1
Rafael Leão n 837
2.76/2
1.54/1
Y. Fofana n 874.5
2.47/5
1.16/1
R. Loftus-Cheek n 850.8
2.25/3
0.72/1
AC Milan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Pulišić n 840.4
1.13/1
0.62/0
S. Chukwueze n 823.9
00/0
1.43/0
A. Saelemaekers n 864.4
0.21/0
0.94/1
C. Nkunku n 837.5
0.62/0
00/0
Rafael Leão n 837
0.62/0
00/0
AC Milan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Bartesaghi n 844.8
36/4
S. Chukwueze n 823.9
2.85/1
Zachary Athekame n 844.4
2.55/3
A. Rabiot n 869.3
2.37/3
Álex Jiménez n 846.4
2.25/2
AC Milan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Terracciano n 883
24/3
M. Maignan n 885.8
1.73/2
Fiorentina
Fiorentina — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Pongračić n 885.6
2.88/7
1.16/2
—
H. Nicolussi n 880.6
2.48/6
27/4
Zachary Athekame
T. Lamptey n 858.1
2.36/4
1.23/1
—
N. Fortini n 331.7
1.92/0
1.91/1
—
Pablo Marí n 880.5
1.75/4
0.82/2
—
Fiorentina — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Kean n 878.5
3.78/6
1.15/2
R. Piccoli n 853.5
2.56/4
1.34/2
C. Ndour n 840.4
1.43/2
0.31/0
Rolando Mandragora n 869
1.16/1
0.74/0
Dodô n 886.8
0.85/1
0.32/0
Fiorentina — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Guðmundsson n 864.1
0.41/1
0.53/0
C. Ndour n 840.4
0.31/0
0.62/0
M. Kean n 878.5
0.74/1
00/0
R. Piccoli n 853.5
0.42/0
00/0
R. Gosens n 879
00/0
0.31/1
Fiorentina — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Fortini n 331.7
6.62/2
J. Fazzini n 849.1
3.45/4
T. Lamptey n 858.1
2.97/4
Rolando Mandragora n 869
2.67/4
F. Parisi n 840.3
2.24/1
Fiorentina — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David de Gea n 890.1
3.57/6

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AC MilanFiorentina
56%Possession44%
1.98Expected goals (xG)1.08
14Shots5
4Shots on target1
7Shots off target3
3Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box2
1Corners3
0Offsides2
14Fouls12
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves2
485Passes362
87%Pass accuracy85%

AC Milan player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Maignan9000000006.9
F. Tomori90001004Y7
M. Gabbia9000100006.9
S. Pavlović9001101107.3
Y. Fofana90002112Y6.6
L. Modrić9000004607.5
S. Ricci9000001106.9
D. Bartesaghi9000003206.9
A. Saelemaekers8900100106.6
Rafael Leão8920221108.5
Zachary Athekame57001012Y6.3
S. Giménez sub3300210007.3
K. De Winter sub800000106.7
M. Valletta sub10000000–

Fiorentina player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
David de Gea9000000007
M. Pongračić9000100106.6
Pablo Marí9000000206.5
L. Ranieri90000001Y6.6
Dodô9000100006.3
N. Fagioli9000002207.2
Rolando Mandragora8800000006.2
H. Nicolussi87001000Y6
M. Kean7700000006.2
J. Fazzini7000000106.9
R. Gosens6910110006.6
F. Parisi sub21000000Y6
A. Guðmundsson sub2000000006.5
R. Piccoli sub1300000006.3
S. Sohm sub1100000006.7
E. Džeko sub1000001006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind AC Milan v Fiorentina — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AC MilanWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
FiorentinaLLDWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
AC Milan 3 · 1 draw · Fiorentina 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 Fiorentina
  • 2024-10-06 Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan
  • 2024-03-30 Fiorentina 1–2 AC Milan
  • 2023-11-25 AC Milan 1–0 Fiorentina
  • 2023-03-04 Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan
  • 2022-11-13 AC Milan 2–1 Fiorentina
League standing · 2025/26
AC Milan#5 pos70 pts38 pl+18 GD
Fiorentina#15 pos42 pts38 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
AC Milan scored1.39
Fiorentina scored1.08
AC Milan conceded0.92
Fiorentina conceded1.32

Shot map and expected goals

AC Milan 2.02 xG from 14 shots, Fiorentina 0.97 from 5. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Strahinja Pavlovic 20' · 0.50 xGYoussouf Fofana 70' · 0.12 xGSantiago Giménez 80' · 0.12 xGYoussouf Fofana 94' · 0.11 xGSantiago Giménez 75' · 0.10 xGFikayo Tomori 58' · 0.08 xGFikayo Tomori 4' · 0.08 xGMatteo Gabbia 76' · 0.05 xGDodô 88' · 0.04 xGSantiago Giménez 69' · 0.03 xGDodô 74' · 0.03 xGZachary Athekame 41' · 0.02 xGAlexis Saelemaekers 44' · 0.02 xGMarin Pongracic 96' · 0.02 xGHans Nicolussi Caviglia 52' · 0.02 xGYoussouf Fofana 71' · 0.01 xGRobin Gosens 54' · 0.87 xG · goalRafael Leão 85' · 0.76 xG · goalRafael Leão 62' · 0.02 xG · goal
AC Milan (attacking right)Fiorentina (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
AC Milan1422.02
Fiorentina510.97

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between AC Milan and Fiorentina?
In their last 6 meetings, AC Milan won 3, Fiorentina won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AC Milan and Fiorentina?
Recent form — AC Milan 4W 1D 0L; Fiorentina 1W 1D 3L.

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