AC Milan v Parma prediction
Team pages: AC Milan · Parma · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for AC Milan v Parma, Serie A on Sun, 06 Dec 2026 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
AC Milan host Parma in Serie A on Sunday 6 December (kick-off 17:30 UK).
The key numbers
Parma have scored four goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
AC Milan are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Eight of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, AC Milan have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.29. AC Milan have scored 14 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). AC Milan have conceded seven goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Five of Parma’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in four of Parma’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). Away from home, Parma have one win, no draws and five defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.33 and conceding 1.67. Parma have conceded 13 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
AC Milan (fourth) and Parma (19th) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AC Milan the stronger side, 294 rating points above Parma (AC Milan 1708, Parma 1414, after at least 197 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished AC Milan 0–1 Parma.
Team news
Predicted AC Milan XI (3-4-2-1): M. Maignan, S. Pavlović, K. De Winter, M. Gila, S. Chukwueze, Y. Musah, L. Modrić, A. Rabiot, P. Estupiñán, D. Moreira, G. Ramos — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Rabiot (4.9 per match over nine appearances, four goals and four assists) and Diego Moreira (4.6 per match over six appearances, three goals and one assist) have been AC Milan’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AC Milan (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Rabiot averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1397 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Diego Moreira averages 1.2 shots per 90 over 619 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Parma XI (3-4-2-1): E. Corvi, M. Troilo, E. Del Prato, D. Carlos, M. Keita, E. Valeri, S. Britschgi, A. Bernabé, V. Sierro, C. Ordoñez, E. Touré — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mariano Troilo (3.5 per match over eight appearances) and Emanuele Valeri (3.3 per match over nine appearances) have been Parma’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Parma (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mariano Troilo averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 715 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last eight appearances. Emanuele Valeri averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 732 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A
- Head-to-head (last 6): AC Milan 2 · draws 2 · Parma 2 · 3.5 goals/game
- Recent form: AC Milan 3W 1D 1L · Parma 1W 1D 3L
AC Milan v Parma (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | AC Milan for / against | Line | Parma for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.5 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.63 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.38 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.5 for · 16.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.38 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.25 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.25 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
AC Milan
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Camarda n 8 | 18 | 3.1 | 1.3 | — |
| A. Saelemaekers n 8 | 31.1 | 1.8 | 3.3 | — |
| K. De Winter n 8 | 87.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | — |
| P. Estupiñán n 8 | 54.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | — |
| A. Cissè n 8 | 47.3 | 1.7 | 2.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Cissè n 8 | 47.3 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Gonçalo Ramos n 8 | 71.9 | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| A. Rabiot n 8 | 66.3 | 2 | 0.8 |
| F. Camarda n 8 | 18 | 1.9 | 0 |
| Diego Moreira n 8 | 60.9 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Cissè n 8 | 47.3 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Gonçalo Ramos n 8 | 71.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| A. Rabiot n 8 | 66.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Diego Moreira n 8 | 60.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| A. Saelemaekers n 8 | 31.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Saelemaekers n 8 | 31.1 | 3.6 |
| S. Pavlović n 8 | 78.1 | 2.6 |
| A. Rabiot n 8 | 66.3 | 2.5 |
| R. Loftus-Cheek n 8 | 41.4 | 2.4 |
| D. Bartesaghi n 8 | 68.5 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Maignan n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
Parma
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdou Konate n 4 | 51.3 | 2.6 | 0.9 | — |
| Ousmane Diallo n 3 | 24.3 | 2.5 | 3.7 | — |
| Vincent Sierro n 8 | 60.6 | 1.9 | 1.1 | — |
| A. N'Diaye n 8 | 63.8 | 1.8 | 1.6 | — |
| D. Drobnic n 4 | 78.8 | 1.7 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Romero n 8 | 50.6 | 3.8 | 1.8 |
| S. Lontani n 8 | 58.6 | 2.5 | 1 |
| E. Touré n 8 | 71.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| G. Fabbian n 8 | 47.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| M. Frigan n 8 | 28 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Almqvist n 8 | 18.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| S. Lontani n 8 | 58.6 | 0.6 | 0 |
| David Romero n 8 | 50.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
| N. Elphege n 8 | 41.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| E. Touré n 8 | 71.4 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Abdou Konate n 4 | 51.3 | 2.6 |
| C. Ordoñez n 8 | 60.6 | 2.2 |
| Mandela Keita n 8 | 73.5 | 2 |
| A. N'Diaye n 8 | 63.8 | 1.8 |
| P. Almqvist n 8 | 18.4 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Corvi n 8 | 90 | 3.4 |
| G. Daffara n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind AC Milan v Parma — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-22 AC Milan 0–1 Parma
- 2025-11-08 Parma 2–2 AC Milan
- 2025-01-26 AC Milan 3–2 Parma
- 2024-08-24 Parma 2–1 AC Milan
- 2021-04-10 Parma 1–3 AC Milan
- 2020-12-13 AC Milan 2–2 Parma
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between AC Milan and Parma?
- In their last 6 meetings, AC Milan won 2, Parma won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of AC Milan and Parma?
- Recent form — AC Milan 3W 1D 1L; Parma 1W 1D 3L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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