AC Milan v Sassuolo prediction
Team pages: AC Milan · Sassuolo · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for AC Milan v Sassuolo, Serie A on Sun, 14 Mar 2027 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
AC Milan host Sassuolo in Serie A on Sunday 14 March (kick-off 17:30 UK).
The key numbers
Sassuolo have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. AC Milan are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Sassuolo are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Eight of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, AC Milan have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.29. AC Milan have scored 14 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). AC Milan have conceded seven goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
10 of Sassuolo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Sassuolo’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Sassuolo have no wins, two draws and five defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.29 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.86. Sassuolo have scored 12 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Sassuolo have conceded 14 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.
AC Milan (fourth) and Sassuolo (12th) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AC Milan the stronger side, 176 rating points above Sassuolo (AC Milan 1708, Sassuolo 1532, after at least 311 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Sassuolo are unbeaten in the last three meetings with AC Milan. The most recent meeting, on 11 October 2026, finished Sassuolo 1–1 AC Milan.
Team news
Predicted AC Milan XI (3-4-2-1): M. Maignan, S. Pavlović, K. De Winter, M. Gila, S. Chukwueze, Y. Musah, L. Modrić, A. Rabiot, P. Estupiñán, D. Moreira, G. Ramos — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Rabiot (4.9 per match over nine appearances, four goals and four assists) and Diego Moreira (4.8 per match over six appearances, three goals and one assist) have been AC Milan’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AC Milan (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Rabiot averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1397 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Diego Moreira averages 1.5 shots per 90 over 619 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Sassuolo have four names on the availability list: D. Boloca (out, Muscle Bruise), E. Pieragnolo (out, Jumpers Knee), Fali Candé (out, Jumpers Knee) and Y. Paz (out, Jumpers Knee) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-19. Predicted Sassuolo XI (4-3-3): A. Murić, J. Doig, S. Cinquegrano, F. Leysen, D. Ćaleta-Car, N. Matić, D. Bakola, K. Thorstvedt, A. Laurienté, K. Bowie, S. Esposito — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Darryl Bakola (5.4 per match over eight appearances, three assists) and Vasilije Adžić (4.5 per match over seven appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Sassuolo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sassuolo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Darryl Bakola averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 577 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances. Vasilije Adžić averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 626 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A
- Head-to-head (last 6): AC Milan 2 · draws 3 · Sassuolo 1 · 3.67 goals/game
- Recent form: AC Milan 3W 1D 1L · Sassuolo 1W 2D 2L
AC Milan v Sassuolo (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | AC Milan for / against | Line | Sassuolo for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.63 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.5 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.38 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.63 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.38 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.25 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
AC Milan
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Camarda n 8 | 18 | 3.1 | 1.3 | — |
| A. Saelemaekers n 8 | 31.1 | 1.8 | 3.3 | — |
| K. De Winter n 8 | 87.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | — |
| P. Estupiñán n 8 | 54.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | — |
| A. Cissè n 8 | 47.3 | 1.7 | 2.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Cissè n 8 | 47.3 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Gonçalo Ramos n 8 | 71.9 | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| A. Rabiot n 8 | 66.3 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| F. Camarda n 8 | 18 | 1.9 | 0 |
| Diego Moreira n 8 | 60.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Cissè n 8 | 47.3 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Gonçalo Ramos n 8 | 71.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| A. Rabiot n 8 | 66.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Diego Moreira n 8 | 60.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| A. Saelemaekers n 8 | 31.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Saelemaekers n 8 | 31.1 | 3.6 |
| S. Pavlović n 8 | 78.1 | 2.6 |
| A. Rabiot n 8 | 66.3 | 2.5 |
| R. Loftus-Cheek n 8 | 41.4 | 2.4 |
| D. Bartesaghi n 8 | 68.5 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Maignan n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
Sassuolo
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieron Bowie n 8 | 30.3 | 2.6 | 1.5 | — |
| S. Cinquegrano n 7 | 78.7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | — |
| A. Ghion n 8 | 45.4 | 1.5 | 2.7 | — |
| S. Cinquegrano n 3 | 87.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | — |
| S. Esposito n 8 | 65.8 | 1.4 | 2.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kieron Bowie n 8 | 30.3 | 4.8 | 3.7 |
| D. Berardi n 8 | 64.8 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| A. Laurienté n 8 | 82.3 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| K. Thorstvedt n 8 | 46.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| B. Domínguez n 8 | 23.5 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vasilije Adžić n 8 | 53.8 | 1 | 0 |
| Kieron Bowie n 8 | 30.3 | 0.7 | 0 |
| D. Bakola n 8 | 72.1 | 0 | 0.5 |
| B. Domínguez n 8 | 23.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| C. Volpato n 8 | 58.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Lipani n 8 | 32.3 | 4.2 |
| I. Van der Brempt n 8 | 48.4 | 4 |
| D. Bakola n 8 | 72.1 | 3.9 |
| Rafael Obrador n 8 | 52.5 | 2.1 |
| A. Ghion n 8 | 45.4 | 2 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind AC Milan v Sassuolo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-10-11 Sassuolo 1–1 AC Milan
- 2026-05-03 Sassuolo 2–0 AC Milan
- 2025-12-14 AC Milan 2–2 Sassuolo
- 2024-12-03 AC Milan 6–1 Sassuolo
- 2024-04-14 Sassuolo 3–3 AC Milan
- 2023-12-30 AC Milan 1–0 Sassuolo
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between AC Milan and Sassuolo?
- In their last 6 meetings, AC Milan won 2, Sassuolo won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of AC Milan and Sassuolo?
- Recent form — AC Milan 3W 1D 1L; Sassuolo 1W 2D 2L.
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Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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