AS Roma v Genoa prediction

The match

AS Roma host Genoa in Serie A on Saturday 17 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is AS Roma to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

AS Roma are unbeaten in their last 14 matches.

Genoa have scored in five consecutive matches.

Form and the table

Eight of AS Roma’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of AS Roma’s last 15 results (40%). At home, AS Roma have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches — 2.43 points per game, scoring 2.57 and conceding 0.57. AS Roma have scored 14 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). AS Roma have conceded three goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Genoa’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Genoa’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Genoa have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 away matches — 0.83 points per game, scoring 0.50 and conceding 0.83. Genoa have scored five goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Genoa have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

AS Roma (third) and Genoa (17th) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AS Roma the stronger side, 472 rating points above Genoa (AS Roma 1946, Genoa 1473, after at least 310 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Genoa 2–1 AS Roma.

Team news

AS Roma have one name on the availability list: M. Bah (out, Jumpers Knee) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-12. Predicted AS Roma XI (3-4-2-1): M. Svilar, G. Mancini, Hermoso, E. Ndicka, B. Cristante, Wesley, M. Koné, E. Lulli, N. Molina, N. Pisilli, P. Dybala — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Donyell Malen (5.8 per match over seven appearances, six goals and one assist) and Paulo Dybala (5.0 per match over seven appearances, four assists) have been AS Roma’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AS Roma (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Donyell Malen averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 892 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Paulo Dybala averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 586 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances.

Genoa have one name on the availability list: L. Venturino (out, Jumpers Knee) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-12. Predicted Genoa XI (3-4-2-1): J. Bijlow, L. Østigård, A. Marcandalli, J. Vásquez, M. Ellertsson, M. Frendrup, D. Sow, K. Ehizibue, B. Norton-Cuffy, A. Amorim, M. Osmajić — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Morten Frendrup (4.6 per match over seven appearances, one assist) and Junior Messias (4.3 per match over seven appearances, one goal) have been Genoa’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Genoa (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Morten Frendrup averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 630 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last seven appearances. Junior Messias averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 289 minutes, with a shot in four of the last seven appearances.